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fanat12

0x33f8…c5e4polymarket ↗last active 29m ago
All-time PnL
$1.80k
Win rate
63.6%
64 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
$13.01
30d PnL
$286.33
30d trades
100
30d wins
14
14.0%
30d volume
$23.6k
Category edge
Pop Culture
55.3%
-2.2pp
n=38

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
52.4% (22 wins / 20 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 9 markets — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 8-day series
$192.83
-$242.62
Trading pattern
Pop Culture Specialisttwo-sidedsmall-sizecategory-focusedBalanced · Pop Culture 96%
Why Pop Culture Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Pop Culture 96% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Pop Culture specialist.
Directional bias: +0.18 (two-sided)Trades both sides fairly evenly — no strong directional lean.
Entry pricing: avg 0.58Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $96Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 1.40 (varied)Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 58¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $96.00 · p90 $648.22
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Fri 23:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
BUY·29m ago·0x33f8…c5e4why? →
No on Will "Practical Magic 2" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 10m?
230 @ 0.763
BUY·30m ago·0x33f8…c5e4why? →
No on Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 8th Weekend Box Office be between 4.5m and 5m?
244.58 @ 0.926
BUY·32m ago·0x33f8…c5e4why? →
Yes on Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 60m and 65m?
755 @ 0.199
BUY·3h agoageing·0x33f8…c5e4why? →
Yes on Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30?
5000 @ 0.377
SELL·3h agoageing·0x33f8…c5e4why? →
Yes on Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 8th Weekend Box Office be between 4.5m and 5m?
164.15 @ 0.075
BUY·3h agoageing·0x33f8…c5e4why? →
Yes on Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 8th Weekend Box Office be at least 6m?
343.82 @ 0.250
BUY·3h agoageing·0x33f8…c5e4why? →
Yes on Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 55m?
488.38 @ 0.013
BUY·3h agoageing·0x33f8…c5e4why? →
Yes on Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 55m and 60m?
3542.29 @ 0.084
BUY·3h agoageing·0x33f8…c5e4why? →
No on Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 65m and 70m?
164.35 @ 0.539
BUY·3h agoageing·0x33f8…c5e4why? →
No on Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 70m?
473 @ 0.889
SELL·1d agostale·0x33f8…c5e4why? →
Yes on Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 940m and 950m by September 30?
2024.55 @ 0.518
SELL·3d agostale·0x33f8…c5e4why? →
Yes on Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30?
594.55 @ 0.300
SELL·3d agostale·0x33f8…c5e4why? →
Yes on Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30?
145.3 @ 0.340
SELL·4d agostale·0x33f8…c5e4why? →
Yes on Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 940m and 950m by September 30?
149.9 @ 0.612
BUY·5d agostale·0x33f8…c5e4why? →
Yes on Will "Runner" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 6m?
+$8.50 · 99.99 @ 0.915
BUY·5d agostale·0x33f8…c5e4why? →
No on Will "Runner" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 6m?
+$20.31 · 223.18 @ 0.909
SELL·5d agostale·0x33f8…c5e4why? →
Yes on Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 940m and 950m by September 30?
49.9 @ 0.600
SELL·5d agostale·0x33f8…c5e4why? →
No on Will "Runner" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 6m?
-$1.49 · 31 @ 0.952
SELL·6d agostale·0x33f8…c5e4why? →
No on Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 970m by September 30?
5.1 @ 0.995
BUY·6d agostale·0x33f8…c5e4why? →
Yes on Will "Practical Magic 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 32m and 34m?
-$8.55 · 108.1 @ 0.079
SELL·6d agostale·0x33f8…c5e4why? →
No on Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 970m by September 30?
807.08 @ 0.986
SELL·6d agostale·0x33f8…c5e4why? →
No on Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 970m by September 30?
320.36 @ 0.988
BUY·6d agostale·0x33f8…c5e4why? →
Yes on Will "Runner" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 6m?
+$26.60 · 69.72 @ 0.619
BUY·6d agostale·0x33f8…c5e4why? →
No on Will "Runner" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 6m?
+$136.60 · 860 @ 0.841
BUY·6d agostale·0x33f8…c5e4why? →
Yes on Will "Runner" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 6m?
+$29.56 · 67.41 @ 0.562
BUY·9d agostale·0x33f8…c5e4why? →
Yes on Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30?
399.85 @ 0.590
BUY·9d agostale·0x33f8…c5e4why? →
Yes on Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 940m and 950m by September 30?
25.57 @ 0.200
SELL·9d agostale·0x33f8…c5e4why? →
No on Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 970m by September 30?
20 @ 0.980
BUY·10d agostale·0x33f8…c5e4why? →
No on Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30?
50 @ 0.320
BUY·10d agostale·0x33f8…c5e4why? →
Yes on Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 940m and 950m by September 30?
2000 @ 0.310
BUY·10d agostale·0x33f8…c5e4why? →
Yes on Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 940m and 950m by September 30?
1430.01 @ 0.300
SELL·10d agostale·0x33f8…c5e4why? →
Yes on Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30?
2197.65 @ 0.670
SELL·10d agostale·0x33f8…c5e4why? →
No on Will "By Any Means" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 6m and 7m?
-$2.88 · 575.5 @ 0.995
SELL·10d agostale·0x33f8…c5e4why? →
Yes on Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30?
103 @ 0.720
BUY·11d agostale·0x33f8…c5e4why? →
No on Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 960m and 970m by September 30?
1363 @ 0.968
BUY·11d agostale·0x33f8…c5e4why? →
No on Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 960m and 970m by September 30?
49.99 @ 0.988
SELL·11d agostale·0x33f8…c5e4why? →
Yes on Will "Onslaught" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 2m?
-$1.75 · 77.99 @ 0.978
BUY·11d agostale·0x33f8…c5e4why? →
Yes on Will "By Any Means" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 8m?
-$5.00 · 358 @ 0.014
SELL·11d agostale·0x33f8…c5e4why? →
No on Will "By Any Means" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 6m?
-$0.78 · 781.71 @ 0.999
BUY·11d agostale·0x33f8…c5e4why? →
Yes on Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30?
1708.2 @ 0.379
SELL·11d agostale·0x33f8…c5e4why? →
Yes on Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 940m by September 30?
40.9 @ 0.015
BUY·11d agostale·0x33f8…c5e4why? →
Louisville on Spread: Ole Miss (-7.5)
+$184.00 · 400 @ 0.540
BUY·11d agostale·0x33f8…c5e4why? →
Louisville on Louisville vs. Ole Miss
-$50.00 · 200 @ 0.250
BUY·11d agostale·0x33f8…c5e4why? →
Wisconsin on Wisconsin vs. Notre Dame
-$48.00 · 300 @ 0.160
BUY·11d agostale·0x33f8…c5e4why? →
Wisconsin on Spread: Notre Dame (-10.5)
-$204.00 · 400 @ 0.510
SELL·11d agostale·0x33f8…c5e4why? →
Yes on Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30?
7.05 @ 0.320
SELL·11d agostale·0x33f8…c5e4why? →
Yes on Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 940m and 950m by September 30?
50 @ 0.610
SELL·11d agostale·0x33f8…c5e4why? →
Yes on Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 940m and 950m by September 30?
220.23 @ 0.610
BUY·11d agostale·0x33f8…c5e4why? →
Yes on Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30?
659.99 @ 0.310
SELL·11d agostale·0x33f8…c5e4why? →
Yes on Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 940m and 950m by September 30?
6.74 @ 0.640
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.