Yes on Will Donald Trump attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
— 200 @ 0.100
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SD
sdfsdfsdfsdf2
All-time PnL
$0.00
Win rate
0.0%
0 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
$0.00
30d PnL
$0.00
30d trades
100
30d wins
0
0.0%
30d volume
$2.41k
Trading pattern
Diversifiedsell-heavysmall-sizeSell-leaning · Politics 27%
Why Diversifiedhigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Politics 27% of categorized trades — spread across many categories (<35% in any one) → diversified.
Directional bias: -1.00 (sell-heavy) — Mostly sells outcomes — tends to fade/short rather than back them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.40 — Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $7 — Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 2.38 (varied) — Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.
Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.
Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 40¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $6.65 · p90 $53.87
Activity · UTC
00h12h23h
peak Sun 22:00 · 100 trades
Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.
Recent trades
EXPORT
Yes on Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 in September?
— 12 @ 0.680
No on Will San Jose Sharks be the 2027 NHL Western Conference Champion?
— 59.39 @ 0.907
No on Will SC Freiburg qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?
— 5 @ 0.660
No on Will San Jose Sharks be the 2027 NHL Western Conference Champion?
— 244.22 @ 0.910
No on Will San Jose Sharks be the 2027 NHL Western Conference Champion?
— 20 @ 0.906
No on Will San Jose Sharks be the 2027 NHL Western Conference Champion?
— 70.5 @ 0.918
No on Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
— 700 @ 0.550
No on Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $180 Week of September 21 2026?
— 47 @ 0.210
No on Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?
— 20.19 @ 0.100
Yes on Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?
— 5 @ 0.220
Yes on Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?
— 20 @ 0.140
Yes on Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?
— 71 @ 0.210
No on Will XRP dip to $1.00 by December 31, 2026?
— 15.62 @ 0.690
Yes on Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on September 28?
— 20 @ 0.280
Yes on Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-19 House election by 30%-35%?
— 20 @ 0.170
Yes on Will US crude oil reserves fall to 270M by September 25, 2026?
— 20 @ 0.023
Yes on Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 Week of September 21 2026?
— 20 @ 0.780
Yes on Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $1.25 Week of September 21 2026?
— 20 @ 0.034
Yes on Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-20 House election by 30%-35%?
— 12.6 @ 0.110
Yes on Will BSW be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?
— 44.3 @ 0.020
Yes on Will BSW be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?
— 5.7 @ 0.030
Yes on Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $187.50 Week of September 21 2026?
— 20 @ 0.610
Yes on Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $620 Week of September 21 2026?
— 32 @ 0.120
Yes on Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $620 Week of September 21 2026?
— 20 @ 0.130
Yes on Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $162 Week of September 21 2026?
— 55 @ 0.150
Yes on Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $345 Week of September 21 2026?
— 77 @ 0.630
No on Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by October 31, 2026?
— 24 @ 0.160
No on Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by October 31, 2026?
— 20 @ 0.170
Yes on Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $930 Week of September 21 2026?
— 3 @ 0.200
No on Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $495 in September?
— 30 @ 0.050
Yes on Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
— 200 @ 0.030
No on Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $495 in September?
— 60 @ 0.060
Yes on Will Hyperliquid reach $150 by December 31, 2026?
— 1.37 @ 0.110
Yes on Will NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in September?
— 30 @ 0.250
No on Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $184 Week of September 21 2026?
— 20 @ 0.200
Yes on Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
— 200 @ 0.039
No on Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,450 Week of September 21 2026?
— 20 @ 0.460
Yes on Will Hyperliquid reach $150 by December 31, 2026?
— 18.63 @ 0.110
No on Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
— 133 @ 0.670
No on Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.75 and $3.00 on October 31, 2026?
— 2 @ 0.660
No on Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026?
— 539.05 @ 0.110
Yes on Will Jalen Duren play for the Detroit Pistons in 2026-27?
— 60 @ 0.847
Yes on Will the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?
— 106.1 @ 0.180
Yes on Will the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?
— 37.89 @ 0.190
Yes on Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?
— 17.26 @ 0.448
Yes on Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-04 House election by 40%-45%?
— 5 @ 0.100
Yes on Will the Republican Party control the Wisconsin Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
— 10 @ 0.120
No on Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Connecticut gubernatorial election by 20%-25%?
— 3.2 @ 0.820
Yes on Will the Browns win the season series against the Steelers during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
— 6 @ 0.040
Integrity indicators
No anomalies detected for this trader.
Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.