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0x31095b7B7aed098BfffF9B27da5580D9700e4EF4-1780931312263

0x3109…4ef4polymarket ↗last active 10m ago
All-time PnL
$2.16k
Win rate
40.0%
40 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
$144.27
30d PnL
$224.59
30d trades
33
30d wins
1
3.0%
30d volume
$4.90k
Category edge
Sports
63.6%
+24.0pp
n=22

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
63.6% (14 wins / 8 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 4 markets — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 9-day series
$3.09k
$0.00
Trading pattern
Sports Specialistbuy-heavysmall-sizelongshot-huntercategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Sports 100%
Why Sports Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Sports 100% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Sports specialist.
Directional bias: +0.74 (buy-heavy)Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.21Enters at long-odds prices (<0.30) — a longshot-hunter pattern.
Typical position size: median $55Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 1.87 (varied)Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 21¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $55.18 · p90 $251.76
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Sun 15:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
BUY·10m ago·0x3109…4ef4why? →
Yes on Will Real Betis reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League Round of 16?
735.70766 @ 0.462
BUY·10m ago·0x3109…4ef4why? →
Yes on Will Sporting CP reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League Round of 16?
997.647059 @ 0.501
BUY·42m ago·0x3109…4ef4why? →
on Will SS Lazio win on 2026-09-19? AND Venezia FC vs. SS Lazio: Draw at halftime?
339.470099 @ 0.213
BUY·49m ago·0x3109…4ef4why? →
on Venezia FC vs. SS Lazio: O/U 3.5 AND Spread: SS Lazio (-1.5) AND SS Lazio leading at halftime?
323.933522 @ 0.148
BUY·55m ago·0x3109…4ef4why? →
on Venezia FC vs. SS Lazio: O/U 2.5 AND Will SS Lazio win on 2026-09-19? AND SS Lazio leading at halftime?
657.139839 @ 0.220
BUY·5d agostale·0x3109…4ef4why? →
on Spread: Como 1907 (-1.5) AND Torino FC vs. AS Roma: Both Teams to Score AND Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5) AND Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-14?
502.210254 @ 0.052
BUY·5d agostale·0x3109…4ef4why? →
on Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5 AND Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5) AND Will Juventus FC win on 2026-09-13?
349.8668 @ 0.137
BUY·6d agostale·0x3109…4ef4why? →
on Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5 AND Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Score
199.850162 @ 0.251
BUY·6d agostale·0x3109…4ef4why? →
on Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Score AND Spread: RB Leipzig (-1.5) AND Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-09-13? AND Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-13?
537.322829 @ 0.089
BUY·6d agostale·0x3109…4ef4why? →
on Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5 AND US Lecce vs. AC Monza: Both Teams to Score AND Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Score AND Spread: SSC Napoli (-1.5) AND Brighton & Hove Albion FC leading at halftime? AND Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-13?
794.559207 @ 0.024
BUY·7d agostale·0x3109…4ef4why? →
on Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5) AND Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5) AND Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw? AND Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-09-12? AND Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-09-12?
1019.684065 @ 0.014
BUY·7d agostale·0x3109…4ef4why? →
on Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-09-12? AND Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-09-12? AND Will SS Lazio vs. AC Milan end in a draw?
251.734946 @ 0.076
BUY·8d agostale·0x3109…4ef4why? →
Yes on Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
6770.399143 @ 0.030
BUY·8d agostale·0x3109…4ef4why? →
Yes on Will Lautaro Martínez (Inter) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Serie A season?
851.712 @ 0.234
BUY·9d agostale·0x3109…4ef4why? →
on Will Como 1907 win on 2026-09-10? AND Como 1907 to score first vs. RB Leipzig? AND Como 1907 leading at halftime?
140.937505 @ 0.343
BUY·9d agostale·0x3109…4ef4why? →
Yes on Will Juventus win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?
2413.155834 @ 0.112
BUY·9d agostale·0x3109…4ef4why? →
Yes on Will Kai Havertz (Arsenal) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season?
261.576272 @ 0.057
BUY·9d agostale·0x3109…4ef4why? →
No on Will Donyell Malen (Roma) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Serie A season?
259.09091 @ 0.440
BUY·9d agostale·0x3109…4ef4why? →
Yes on Will Real Betis reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League semifinal?
35.863572 @ 0.056
BUY·9d agostale·0x3109…4ef4why? →
Yes on Will Inter Milan reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League semifinal?
82.153845 @ 0.243
BUY·9d agostale·0x3109…4ef4why? →
Yes on Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
11538.461539 @ 0.026
SELL·9d agostale·0x3109…4ef4why? →
on SSC Napoli vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5 AND SSC Napoli vs. Arsenal FC: Draw at halftime?
321.533113 @ 0.999
BUY·10d agostale·0x3109…4ef4why? →
on SSC Napoli vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5 AND SSC Napoli vs. Arsenal FC: Draw at halftime?
321.533113 @ 0.300
BUY·10d agostale·0x3109…4ef4why? →
Yes on Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
25857.995143 @ 0.028
BUY·10d agostale·0x3109…4ef4why? →
on Spread: FC Barcelona (-3.5) AND Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. ŠK Slovan Bratislava: O/U 4.5 AND Sporting CP vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 3.5 AND Fenerbahçe SK vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5 AND Fenerbahçe SK vs. AS Roma: Both Teams to Score AND Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-1.5)
396.65079 @ 0.060
BUY·10d agostale·0x3109…4ef4why? →
Yes on Will Paulo Dybala (Roma) record the most assists in the 2026-27 Serie A season?
634.117648 @ 0.158
BUY·10d agostale·0x3109…4ef4why? →
Yes on Will Kai Havertz (Arsenal) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season?
1719.684118 @ 0.047
BUY·10d agostale·0x3109…4ef4why? →
Yes on Will Gonçalo Ramos (Milan) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Serie A season?
500 @ 0.100
BUY·10d agostale·0x3109…4ef4why? →
Yes on Will Rasmus Højlund (Napoli) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Serie A season?
617.822223 @ 0.081
BUY·11d agostale·0x3109…4ef4why? →
on Real Madrid CF vs. FC Internazionale Milano: Both Teams to Score in First Half AND FC Internazionale Milano to score first vs. Real Madrid CF? AND Real Madrid CF vs. FC Internazionale Milano: Draw at halftime?
180.606243 @ 0.106
BUY·11d agostale·0x3109…4ef4why? →
Yes on Will Lautaro Martínez (Inter) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Serie A season?
605.651112 @ 0.165
BUY·11d agostale·0x3109…4ef4why? →
Yes on Will Como win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?
733.588603 @ 0.136
BUY·11d agostale·0x3109…4ef4why? →
Yes on Will Como win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?
2774.665265 @ 0.270
SELL·61d agostale·0x3109…4ef4why? →
on Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5 AND Spain vs. Argentina: Draw at halftime?
253.793825 @ 0.992
BUY·61d agostale·0x3109…4ef4why? →
Argentina on Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
-$100.00 · 336.134452 @ 0.297
BUY·62d agostale·0x3109…4ef4why? →
on Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5 AND Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in Second Half
262.416149 @ 0.254
BUY·62d agostale·0x3109…4ef4why? →
on Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in Second Half AND Spain vs. Argentina: Draw at halftime?
517.542223 @ 0.150
SELL·62d agostale·0x3109…4ef4why? →
Yes on Lautaro Martínez: 1+ assists
+$49.44 · 561.79 @ 0.088
BUY·62d agostale·0x3109…4ef4why? →
Yes on Lautaro Martínez: 1+ assists
-$50.00 · 561.797751 @ 0.089
BUY·62d agostale·0x3109…4ef4why? →
Yes on Lionel Messi: 1+ assists
-$100.00 · 344.827585 @ 0.290
BUY·62d agostale·0x3109…4ef4why? →
France on Spread: France (-1.5)
-$300.00 · 909.090908 @ 0.330
BUY·64d agostale·0x3109…4ef4why? →
on France vs. England: Both Teams to Score AND Will France win on 2026-07-18?
376.369863 @ 0.321
BUY·64d agostale·0x3109…4ef4why? →
on Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5 AND Spain vs. Argentina: Draw at halftime?
253.793825 @ 0.382
BUY·64d agostale·0x3109…4ef4why? →
on Lionel Messi: 1+ assists AND Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score AND Spain vs. Argentina: Draw at halftime?
232.233008 @ 0.103
BUY·64d agostale·0x3109…4ef4why? →
on Lionel Messi: 1+ assists AND Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score AND Spain vs. Argentina: Draw at halftime?
620.777798 @ 0.038
BUY·65d agostale·0x3109…4ef4why? →
on France vs. England: O/U 1.5 AND Will France win on 2026-07-18? AND France leading at halftime? AND France to score first vs. England?
345.94982 @ 0.279
BUY·65d agostale·0x3109…4ef4why? →
Yes on Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
+$464.29 · 714.285713 @ 0.350
BUY·66d agostale·0x3109…4ef4why? →
Yes on England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score
+$1.70k · 3703.703702 @ 0.540
BUY·66d agostale·0x3109…4ef4why? →
on Harry Kane: 1+ goals AND Lionel Messi: 1+ goals AND Argentina leading at halftime? AND England to win the second half?
567.857141 @ 0.042
BUY·67d agostale·0x3109…4ef4why? →
on France vs. Spain: Team to Advance AND France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5 AND France vs. Spain: Draw at halftime?
655.128204 @ 0.234
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.