Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET
— 122.645 @ 0.010
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GU
gustavee
All-time PnL
$20.14
Win rate
45.5%
45 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
$1.83
30d PnL
$20.14
30d trades
100
30d wins
5
5.0%
30d volume
$561.09
Category edge
Crypto
68.4%
+7.3pp
n=57
vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice
Signal hit rate
68.4% (39 wins / 18 misses)⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 1 market — verify independentlyCumulative PnL · 1-day series
Not enough data to chart yet.
Trading pattern
Crypto Specialistbuy-heavysmall-sizecategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Crypto 100%
Why Crypto Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Crypto 100% of categorized trades — ≥60% concentrated in one category → a Crypto specialist.
Directional bias: +0.98 (buy-heavy) — Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.64 — Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $3 — Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 1.55 (varied) — Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.
Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.
Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 64¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $3.08 · p90 $8.70
Activity · UTC
00h12h23h
peak Sun 22:00 · 100 trades
Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.
Recent trades
EXPORT
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET
— 21 @ 0.980
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET
— 38.12 @ 0.990
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET
— 42 @ 0.990
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET
— 6.7979 @ 0.990
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET
— 5.20405 @ 0.980
Up on Ethereum Up or Down - July 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET
— 6.9292 @ 0.990
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET
— 7.125 @ 0.160
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET
— 9 @ 0.810
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET
— 6.339066 @ 0.969
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET
— 8.142856 @ 0.210
Up on Ethereum Up or Down - July 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET
— 7.391733 @ 0.970
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET
— 5.82104 @ 0.950
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET
— 3.57894 @ 0.950
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 6PM ET
— 1.4 @ 0.950
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 6PM ET
— 4.89472 @ 0.950
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 6PM ET
— 4.89472 @ 0.950
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 6PM ET
— 3.91578 @ 0.950
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 6PM ET
— 4.302075 @ 0.960
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 6PM ET
— 3.898697 @ 0.954
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET
— 8 @ 0.580
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET
— 8.780486 @ 0.410
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 6PM ET
— 32.45 @ 0.970
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET
— 2.833332 @ 0.360
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
— +$0.10 · 2.47915 @ 0.960
Up on Ethereum Up or Down - July 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET
— 4.876922 @ 0.650
Up on Ethereum Up or Down - July 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET
— 1.651514 @ 0.660
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
— -$1.00 · 10 @ 0.100
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
— +$5.51 · 55.08888 @ 0.900
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
— +$0.68 · 6.978011 @ 0.903
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
— +$0.78 · 8.703288 @ 0.910
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - July 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET
— 10.268291 @ 0.410
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
— -$1.00 · 9.090908 @ 0.110
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
— +$4.97 · 46.765665 @ 0.894
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET
— 10.371427 @ 0.350
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
— +$0.65 · 5.932581 @ 0.890
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
— -$1.08 · 9 @ 0.120
Up on XRP Up or Down - July 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET
— 2.258619 @ 0.580
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
— +$0.60 · 3.7619 @ 0.840
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
— +$3.98 · 13.718306 @ 0.710
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
— +$2.65 · 9.126758 @ 0.710
Up on XRP Up or Down - July 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET
— 4.204544 @ 0.440
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
— +$0.76 · 2.31343 @ 0.670
Down on Solana Up or Down - July 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET
— 2.467739 @ 0.620
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET
— 1.25 @ 0.800
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET
— 1.594933 @ 0.790
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
— +$2.35 · 5 @ 0.530
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
— +$2.40 · 5.113206 @ 0.530
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
— +$4.47 · 9.509431 @ 0.530
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
— +$1.18 · 2.509431 @ 0.530
Integrity indicators
No anomalies detected for this trader.
Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.