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XW

xwingboy

0x2fa9…a486polymarket ↗last active 24m ago
All-time PnL
-$42.1k
Win rate
64.2%
64 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
-$518.95
30d PnL
-$42.0k
30d trades
100
30d wins
52
52.0%
30d volume
$198.5k
Category edge
Sports
58.9%
+2.3pp
n=95

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
58.9% (56 wins / 39 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 3 markets — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 10-day series
$2.60k
-$42.0k
Trading pattern
Sports Specialistbuy-heavymid-sizecategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Sports 100%
Why Sports Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Sports 100% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Sports specialist.
Directional bias: +0.92 (buy-heavy)Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.64Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $1,000Mid-sized typical stake.
Sizing consistency: CV 0.98 (moderate)Stakes vary moderately across trades.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 64¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $1000.00 · p90 $5.00k
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Sat 13:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
BUY·24m ago·0x2fa9…a486why? →
No on Will Columbus Crew win on 2026-09-19?
1947.88 @ 0.420
BUY·35m ago·0x2fa9…a486why? →
No on Will Charlotte FC win on 2026-09-19?
7397.726912 @ 0.676
BUY·2h agoageing·0x2fa9…a486why? →
No on Will Santos FC win on 2026-09-19?
4780.57 @ 0.885
BUY·6h agoageing·0x2fa9…a486why? →
No on Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-09-19?
+$497.57 · 5497.566866 @ 0.909
BUY·8h agoageing·0x2fa9…a486why? →
No on Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-09-19?
-$5.00k · 7692.307693 @ 0.650
BUY·8h agoageing·0x2fa9…a486why? →
No on Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-09-19?
+$1.25k · 6250 @ 0.800
BUY·10h agoageing·0x2fa9…a486why? →
No on Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-09-19?
-$5.00k · 7190.863713 @ 0.695
BUY·10h agoageing·0x2fa9…a486why? →
No on Will Paris FC win on 2026-09-19?
-$5.00k · 10638.297873 @ 0.470
BUY·10h agoageing·0x2fa9…a486why? →
No on Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-09-19?
+$64.41 · 222.11 @ 0.710
BUY·11h agoageing·0x2fa9…a486why? →
No on Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-09-19?
+$857.76 · 5857.755342 @ 0.854
BUY·11h agoageing·0x2fa9…a486why? →
No on Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-19?
-$5.00k · 6024.096382 @ 0.830
BUY·11h agoageing·0x2fa9…a486why? →
No on Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-09-19?
+$1.02k · 6024.096386 @ 0.830
BUY·11h agoageing·0x2fa9…a486why? →
No on Will Everton FC win on 2026-09-19?
-$5.00k · 10869.565218 @ 0.460
BUY·11h agoageing·0x2fa9…a486why? →
No on Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-09-19?
+$2.25k · 7246.376812 @ 0.690
BUY·12h agoageing·0x2fa9…a486why? →
No on Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-09-19?
+$1.61k · 6613.760262 @ 0.756
BUY·12h agoageing·0x2fa9…a486why? →
No on Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-09-19?
-$5.00k · 9090.909091 @ 0.550
BUY·13h agoageing·0x2fa9…a486why? →
No on Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-09-19?
+$2.58k · 7575.757576 @ 0.660
BUY·1d agostale·0x2fa9…a486why? →
No on Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-09-18?
-$5.00k · 8334.399 @ 0.600
BUY·1d agostale·0x2fa9…a486why? →
No on Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-18?
+$2.69k · 7692.307691 @ 0.650
BUY·1d agostale·0x2fa9…a486why? →
No on Will Elche CF win on 2026-09-18?
-$5.00k · 6172.839505 @ 0.810
BUY·1d agostale·0x2fa9…a486why? →
No on Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-09-18?
-$5.00k · 10416.666667 @ 0.480
BUY·2d agostale·0x2fa9…a486why? →
No on Will Málaga CF win on 2026-09-17?
+$1.85k · 6849.315066 @ 0.730
BUY·2d agostale·0x2fa9…a486why? →
No on Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-09-17?
-$5.00k · 9090.909091 @ 0.550
BUY·2d agostale·0x2fa9…a486why? →
No on Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-09-17?
-$5.00k · 11196.122445 @ 0.447
BUY·2d agostale·0x2fa9…a486why? →
No on Will Juventus FC win on 2026-09-17?
-$5.00k · 26315.789474 @ 0.190
BUY·2d agostale·0x2fa9…a486why? →
No on Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-17?
-$5.00k · 14285.714286 @ 0.350
BUY·2d agostale·0x2fa9…a486why? →
No on Will PFK Levski Sofia vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg end in a draw?
+$1.76k · 6756.756757 @ 0.740
BUY·2d agostale·0x2fa9…a486why? →
No on Will Crystal Palace FC vs. KKS Lech Poznań end in a draw?
+$982.80 · 5982.804762 @ 0.836
BUY·2d agostale·0x2fa9…a486why? →
No on Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?
+$1.76k · 6756.756757 @ 0.740
BUY·2d agostale·0x2fa9…a486why? →
No on Will Beşiktaş JK vs. Olympique de Marseille end in a draw?
+$1.49k · 6493.506491 @ 0.770
BUY·2d agostale·0x2fa9…a486why? →
No on Will Juventus FC vs. NEC end in a draw?
+$560.33 · 5560.33333 @ 0.899
SELL·3d agostale·0x2fa9…a486why? →
No on Will Levante UD win on 2026-09-16?
1388.88 @ 0.684
BUY·3d agostale·0x2fa9…a486why? →
No on Will Levante UD win on 2026-09-16?
1388.888889 @ 0.720
BUY·3d agostale·0x2fa9…a486why? →
No on Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-09-16?
+$1.22k · 2222.222223 @ 0.450
BUY·3d agostale·0x2fa9…a486why? →
No on Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-09-16?
+$86.96 · 1086.956512 @ 0.920
BUY·4d agostale·0x2fa9…a486why? →
No on Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-15?
-$1.00k · 1510.322309 @ 0.662
BUY·4d agostale·0x2fa9…a486why? →
No on Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-09-15?
+$1.27k · 2272.727273 @ 0.440
BUY·4d agostale·0x2fa9…a486why? →
No on Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-09-15?
+$369.86 · 1369.863014 @ 0.730
BUY·5d agostale·0x2fa9…a486why? →
No on Will CA Banfield win on 2026-09-14?
+$266.10 · 1266.104428 @ 0.790
BUY·5d agostale·0x2fa9…a486why? →
No on Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-14?
-$1000.00 · 1351.35135 @ 0.740
BUY·5d agostale·0x2fa9…a486why? →
No on Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-09-14?
+$449.28 · 1449.275361 @ 0.690
BUY·5d agostale·0x2fa9…a486why? →
No on Will AS Roma win on 2026-09-14?
-$1.00k · 2702.702703 @ 0.370
BUY·6d agostale·0x2fa9…a486why? →
No on Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-09-13?
-$1.00k · 4621.336819 @ 0.216
BUY·6d agostale·0x2fa9…a486why? →
No on Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-13?
-$1000.00 · 1818.181817 @ 0.550
BUY·6d agostale·0x2fa9…a486why? →
No on Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-13?
-$179.09 · 500.84 @ 0.358
BUY·6d agostale·0x2fa9…a486why? →
No on Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-13?
+$449.28 · 1449.275363 @ 0.690
BUY·6d agostale·0x2fa9…a486why? →
No on Will Le Mans FC win on 2026-09-13?
+$219.51 · 1219.512194 @ 0.820
BUY·6d agostale·0x2fa9…a486why? →
No on Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-09-13?
+$265.82 · 1265.822785 @ 0.790
BUY·6d agostale·0x2fa9…a486why? →
No on Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-09-13?
-$1.00k · 3225.806452 @ 0.310
BUY·6d agostale·0x2fa9…a486why? →
No on Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-09-13?
+$315.79 · 1315.78947 @ 0.760
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.