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IS

issacpphpotp

0x2d8a…e818polymarket ↗last active 23m ago
All-time PnL
-$3.19k
Win rate
34.6%
35 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
-$53.59
30d PnL
$1.29k
30d trades
66
30d wins
12
18.2%
30d volume
$12.9k
Category edge
Sports
27.6%
-25.1pp
n=76

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
27.6% (21 wins / 55 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 19 markets — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 7-day series
$0.00
-$4.94k
Trading pattern
Sports Specialistbuy-heavysmall-sizecategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Sports 85%
Why Sports Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Sports 85% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Sports specialist.
Directional bias: +0.60 (buy-heavy)Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.38Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $160Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 1.54 (varied)Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 38¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $160.00 · p90 $777.68
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Sat 23:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
BUY·23m ago·0x2d8a…e818why? →
No on Will Gable Steveson win in Round 1?
555.555556 @ 0.360
BUY·24m ago·0x2d8a…e818why? →
Yes on Will the fight be won by submission?
200.25 @ 0.200
BUY·25m ago·0x2d8a…e818why? →
Sean Sharaf on UFC 331: Gable Steveson vs. Sean Sharaf (Heavyweight, Prelims)
600 @ 0.100
SELL·32m ago·0x2d8a…e818why? →
Alonzo Menifield on UFC 331: Alonzo Menifield vs. Iwo Baraniewski (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)
-$0.02 · 17 @ 0.999
SELL·32m ago·0x2d8a…e818why? →
Yes on Will the fight be won by decision?
-$87.05 · 470 @ 0.815
SELL·33m ago·0x2d8a…e818why? →
Over on O/U 2.5 Rounds
-$0.78 · 778.46 @ 0.999
SELL·34m ago·0x2d8a…e818why? →
No on Will Iwo Baraniewski win in Round 1?
389.46 @ 0.999
SELL·34m ago·0x2d8a…e818why? →
Yes on Will the fight be won by decision?
-$2.60 · 530 @ 0.995
BUY·59m ago·0x2d8a…e818why? →
Alonzo Menifield on UFC 331: Alonzo Menifield vs. Iwo Baraniewski (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)
+$12.41 · 17 @ 0.270
BUY·1h ago·0x2d8a…e818why? →
No on Will Iwo Baraniewski win in Round 1?
30 @ 0.570
BUY·1h ago·0x2d8a…e818why? →
Yes on Will Alonzo Menifield win in Round 2?
-$100.00 · 1000 @ 0.100
BUY·1h ago·0x2d8a…e818why? →
Yes on Will Alonzo Menifield win in Round 3?
1000.328572 @ 0.070
BUY·1h ago·0x2d8a…e818why? →
Yes on Will Iwo Baraniewski win in Round 3?
-$70.00 · 959.10959 @ 0.073
BUY·1h ago·0x2d8a…e818why? →
No on Will Iwo Baraniewski win in Round 1?
359.46386 @ 0.556
SELL·1h ago·0x2d8a…e818why? →
Under on O/U 2.5 Rounds
-$6.45 · 645.16 @ 0.990
SELL·1h ago·0x2d8a…e818why? →
Over on O/U 2.5 Rounds
-$0.40 · 227.27 @ 0.998
SELL·1h ago·0x2d8a…e818why? →
No on Will Robelis Despaigne win in Round 1?
-$0.38 · 384.61 @ 0.999
SELL·1h ago·0x2d8a…e818why? →
Over on O/U 1.5 Rounds
-$0.57 · 571.42 @ 0.999
SELL·1h ago·0x2d8a…e818why? →
Tai Tuivasa on UFC 331: Tai Tuivasa vs. Robelis Despaigne (Heavyweight, Prelims)
+$175.99 · 261.81 @ 0.672
BUY·2h agoageing·0x2d8a…e818why? →
No on Will Robelis Despaigne win in Round 1?
+$184.62 · 384.615385 @ 0.520
BUY·2h agoageing·0x2d8a…e818why? →
Over on O/U 2.5 Rounds
+$177.27 · 227.272728 @ 0.220
BUY·2h agoageing·0x2d8a…e818why? →
Tai Tuivasa on UFC 331: Tai Tuivasa vs. Robelis Despaigne (Heavyweight, Prelims)
-$120.00 · 545.454546 @ 0.220
BUY·2h agoageing·0x2d8a…e818why? →
Over on O/U 1.5 Rounds
+$371.43 · 571.428572 @ 0.350
BUY·2h agoageing·0x2d8a…e818why? →
Yes on Will the fight be won by decision?
+$800.00 · 1000 @ 0.200
BUY·2h agoageing·0x2d8a…e818why? →
Over on O/U 2.5 Rounds
+$578.46 · 778.461539 @ 0.257
BUY·2h agoageing·0x2d8a…e818why? →
Yes on Will the fight end before Round 3?
-$100.00 · 370.370371 @ 0.270
BUY·2h agoageing·0x2d8a…e818why? →
Under on O/U 2.5 Rounds
+$445.16 · 645.161291 @ 0.310
BUY·2h agoageing·0x2d8a…e818why? →
Yes on Will Charles Jourdain win by KO or TKO?
-$100.00 · 1000 @ 0.100
BUY·2h agoageing·0x2d8a…e818why? →
Patricio Pitbull on UFC 331: Patricio Pitbull vs. Dooho Choi (Featherweight, Main Card)
645.162904 @ 0.310
BUY·2h agoageing·0x2d8a…e818why? →
on UFC 331: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card) AND UFC 331: Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)
2059.539528 @ 0.140
SELL·2h agoageing·0x2d8a…e818why? →
Yes on Will over 50 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?
204.33 @ 0.063
SELL·2h agoageing·0x2d8a…e818why? →
Yes on Will over 60 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?
318.37 @ 0.080
SELL·2h agoageing·0x2d8a…e818why? →
Yes on Will over 58 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?
457.15 @ 0.090
SELL·2h agoageing·0x2d8a…e818why? →
Yes on Will over 62 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?
479.53 @ 0.084
SELL·2h agoageing·0x2d8a…e818why? →
Yes on Will over 55 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?
800.07 @ 0.070
BUY·4d agostale·0x2d8a…e818why? →
Yes on Will over 50 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?
72.753845 @ 0.650
BUY·4d agostale·0x2d8a…e818why? →
Deportivo Alavés on 1st Half Spread: Deportivo Alavés (-1.5)
-$55.00 · 392.857143 @ 0.140
BUY·4d agostale·0x2d8a…e818why? →
Over on Deportivo Alavés vs. Valencia CF: 1st Half O/U 1.5
-$120.00 · 375.272813 @ 0.320
BUY·4d agostale·0x2d8a…e818why? →
Yes on Will over 58 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?
270.30875 @ 0.370
BUY·4d agostale·0x2d8a…e818why? →
Yes on Will over 60 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?
154.764894 @ 0.323
BUY·4d agostale·0x2d8a…e818why? →
Yes on Will over 62 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?
479.535455 @ 0.209
BUY·4d agostale·0x2d8a…e818why? →
Yes on Will over 55 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?
107.938724 @ 0.463
BUY·4d agostale·0x2d8a…e818why? →
Yes on Will over 60 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?
163.612904 @ 0.306
BUY·4d agostale·0x2d8a…e818why? →
Yes on Will over 58 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?
186.848388 @ 0.268
BUY·4d agostale·0x2d8a…e818why? →
Yes on Will over 50 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?
131.578948 @ 0.380
BUY·4d agostale·0x2d8a…e818why? →
Yes on Will over 55 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?
401.845642 @ 0.373
BUY·4d agostale·0x2d8a…e818why? →
Yes on Will over 55 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?
290.285715 @ 0.344
BUY·6d agostale·0x2d8a…e818why? →
Over on SSC Napoli vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 1.5
-$800.00 · 2758.62069 @ 0.290
SELL·6d agostale·0x2d8a…e818why? →
SV 07 Elversberg on Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)
-$0.43 · 431.03 @ 0.999
SELL·6d agostale·0x2d8a…e818why? →
SV 07 Elversberg on Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)
-$0.48 · 483.87 @ 0.999
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.