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berlinskies

0x2d2d…b69dpolymarket ↗last active 22m ago
All-time PnL
-$118.07
Win rate
53.7%
54 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
-$2.19
30d PnL
-$118.07
30d trades
100
30d wins
29
29.0%
30d volume
$4.20k
Category edge
Crypto
66.7%
+9.1pp
n=12
Sports
54.1%
+7.4pp
n=37

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
54.5% (36 wins / 30 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 3 markets — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 1-day series
Not enough data to chart yet.
Trading pattern
Sports Specialistbuy-heavysmall-sizecategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Sports 82%
Why Sports Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Sports 82% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Sports specialist.
Directional bias: +0.90 (buy-heavy)Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.55Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $11Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 1.49 (varied)Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 55¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $10.80 · p90 $160.00
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Fri 16:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
BUY·22m ago·0x2d2d…b69dwhy? →
Luminosity on Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs BBL (BO3) - Logitech G Play Connect Playoffs
270.67 @ 0.650
BUY·25m ago·0x2d2d…b69dwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET
+$19.39 · 29.382353 @ 0.340
BUY·26m ago·0x2d2d…b69dwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
+$33.48 · 43.478261 @ 0.230
BUY·29m ago·0x2d2d…b69dwhy? →
Golden State Valkyries on Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-12.5)
9.71 @ 0.480
BUY·30m ago·0x2d2d…b69dwhy? →
Indiana Fever on Spread: Indiana Fever (-15.5)
9.34 @ 0.500
BUY·34m ago·0x2d2d…b69dwhy? →
Under on CA Central Córdoba vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia: O/U 4.5
5.802326 @ 0.860
BUY·41m ago·0x2d2d…b69dwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET
+$8.52 · 18.518519 @ 0.540
BUY·43m ago·0x2d2d…b69dwhy? →
Yes on Will CA Central Córdoba vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia end in a draw?
9.615385 @ 0.520
BUY·44m ago·0x2d2d…b69dwhy? →
Under on CA Central Córdoba vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia: O/U 3.5
6.480517 @ 0.770
BUY·53m ago·0x2d2d…b69dwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET
-$10.00 · 20.408164 @ 0.490
BUY·59m ago·0x2d2d…b69dwhy? →
Shopify Rebellion on LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels - Game 4 Winner
378.95 @ 0.390
BUY·1h ago·0x2d2d…b69dwhy? →
Sentinels on LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels - Game 4 Winner
14.691175 @ 0.680
BUY·1h ago·0x2d2d…b69dwhy? →
Sentinels on LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels - Game 4 Winner
46.875 @ 0.640
BUY·1h ago·0x2d2d…b69dwhy? →
MIBR on Counter-Strike: MIBR vs NRG (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs
283.45 @ 0.620
BUY·1h ago·0x2d2d…b69dwhy? →
Shopify Rebellion on LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels - Game 3 Winner
14.705883 @ 0.680
BUY·1h ago·0x2d2d…b69dwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 6PM ET
+$19.39 · 29.382353 @ 0.340
BUY·1h ago·0x2d2d…b69dwhy? →
Shopify Rebellion on LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels - Game 3 Winner
364.34 @ 0.286
BUY·1h ago·0x2d2d…b69dwhy? →
Sentinels on LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels - Game 3 Winner
167.22222 @ 0.897
BUY·1h ago·0x2d2d…b69dwhy? →
Michael Zheng on Tiburon: Michael Zheng vs Mitchell Krueger
+$3.41 · 28.409091 @ 0.880
BUY·2h agoageing·0x2d2d…b69dwhy? →
UMass on Spread: UMass (-33.5)
9.69 @ 0.500
BUY·2h agoageing·0x2d2d…b69dwhy? →
Arizona Diamondbacks on New York Yankees vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
9.34 @ 0.500
BUY·2h agoageing·0x2d2d…b69dwhy? →
Turma do Pagode on Map Handicap: SHIN (-1.5) vs Turma do Pagode (+1.5)
352.921569 @ 0.510
BUY·2h agoageing·0x2d2d…b69dwhy? →
Sentinels on LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels - Game 2 Winner
287.356322 @ 0.870
BUY·3h agoageing·0x2d2d…b69dwhy? →
Over on Washington Nationals vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5
9.34 @ 0.500
BUY·3h agoageing·0x2d2d…b69dwhy? →
Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos on M15 Belém: Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos vs Gabriel Schenekenberg
+$5.12 · 30.108429 @ 0.830
BUY·3h agoageing·0x2d2d…b69dwhy? →
Shopify Rebellion on LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels - Game 1 Winner
-$150.00 · 454.545455 @ 0.330
BUY·3h agoageing·0x2d2d…b69dwhy? →
Sentinels on LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels - Game 1 Winner
+$88.09 · 238.079364 @ 0.630
BUY·3h agoageing·0x2d2d…b69dwhy? →
Over on Seattle Mariners vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5
9.17 @ 0.510
BUY·3h agoageing·0x2d2d…b69dwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 4PM ET
-$10.00 · 25 @ 0.400
BUY·3h agoageing·0x2d2d…b69dwhy? →
Golden State Valkyries on Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-13.5)
9.69 @ 0.490
BUY·3h agoageing·0x2d2d…b69dwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
+$4.08 · 9.072728 @ 0.550
BUY·3h agoageing·0x2d2d…b69dwhy? →
No on Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 21, 2026?
16.66 @ 0.700
BUY·4h agoageing·0x2d2d…b69dwhy? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - September 18, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET
+$3.76 · 8.754386 @ 0.570
BUY·4h agoageing·0x2d2d…b69dwhy? →
Juan Sebastian Osorio on M15 Belém: Juan Sebastian Osorio vs Pedro Sakamoto
+$13.46 · 38.446154 @ 0.650
BUY·4h agoageing·0x2d2d…b69dwhy? →
Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg on Rennes: Francesco Maestrelli vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg
+$12.31 · 37.298506 @ 0.670
BUY·4h agoageing·0x2d2d…b69dwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
-$4.99 · 7.128572 @ 0.700
BUY·4h agoageing·0x2d2d…b69dwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET
+$2.57 · 7.560605 @ 0.660
BUY·4h agoageing·0x2d2d…b69dwhy? →
Anna Blinkova on Sao Paulo Open: Anna Blinkova vs Alina Charaeva
+$5.49 · 30.487805 @ 0.820
BUY·4h agoageing·0x2d2d…b69dwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
-$5.00 · 15.625 @ 0.320
BUY·4h agoageing·0x2d2d…b69dwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 3PM ET
-$10.00 · 28.571429 @ 0.350
BUY·4h agoageing·0x2d2d…b69dwhy? →
Under on Mercer vs. Georgia Tech: O/U 60.5
9.34 @ 0.500
BUY·4h agoageing·0x2d2d…b69dwhy? →
Under on North Dakota vs. Nebraska: O/U 51.5
39.6 @ 0.470
BUY·4h agoageing·0x2d2d…b69dwhy? →
Over on FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: 1st Half O/U 1.5
+$0.68 · 5.67045 @ 0.880
BUY·4h agoageing·0x2d2d…b69dwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
-$5.00 · 50 @ 0.100
BUY·4h agoageing·0x2d2d…b69dwhy? →
DN SOOPers Challengers on LoL: Fuego vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group A
50 @ 0.920
BUY·4h agoageing·0x2d2d…b69dwhy? →
Under on FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: 1st Half O/U 1.5
-$5.00 · 13.888889 @ 0.360
BUY·4h agoageing·0x2d2d…b69dwhy? →
Over on Buffalo vs. Penn State: O/U 51.5
43.95 @ 0.420
BUY·4h agoageing·0x2d2d…b69dwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET
-$4.99 · 8.603447 @ 0.580
BUY·4h agoageing·0x2d2d…b69dwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET
+$12.24 · 17.24138 @ 0.290
BUY·4h agoageing·0x2d2d…b69dwhy? →
Andrea Lazaro Garcia on Valencia: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Joelle Steur
-$25.00 · 55.555556 @ 0.450
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.