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Thebigshot

0x2ca1…ddcdpolymarket ↗last active 16m ago
All-time PnL
$15.6k
Win rate
44.6%
45 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
$210.71
30d PnL
-$12.2k
30d trades
60
30d wins
18
30.0%
30d volume
$79.6k
Category edge
Sports
43.4%
-9.0pp
n=99

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
43.4% (43 wins / 56 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 4 markets — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 39-day series
$31.3k
-$9.26k
Trading pattern
Sports Specialistbuy-heavymid-sizecategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Sports 100%
Why Sports Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Sports 100% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Sports specialist.
Directional bias: +0.92 (buy-heavy)Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.45Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $989Mid-sized typical stake.
Sizing consistency: CV 1.28 (varied)Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 45¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $989.28 · p90 $4.83k
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Wed 19:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
BUY·16m ago·0x2ca1…ddcdwhy? →
Alex Hernandez on Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Alex Hernandez vs Alan Magadan
694.77 @ 0.580
BUY·16h agoageing·0x2ca1…ddcdwhy? →
Miami Marlins on San Diego Padres vs. Miami Marlins
-$10.80 · 20 @ 0.540
BUY·16h agoageing·0x2ca1…ddcdwhy? →
Miami Marlins on San Diego Padres vs. Miami Marlins
-$12.96 · 24 @ 0.540
BUY·16h agoageing·0x2ca1…ddcdwhy? →
Miami Marlins on San Diego Padres vs. Miami Marlins
-$13.92 · 25.78 @ 0.540
BUY·16h agoageing·0x2ca1…ddcdwhy? →
Miami Marlins on San Diego Padres vs. Miami Marlins
-$2.66k · 4931.85 @ 0.540
BUY·1d agostale·0x2ca1…ddcdwhy? →
No on Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-07-24?
+$1.35 · 2.65306 @ 0.490
BUY·1d agostale·0x2ca1…ddcdwhy? →
No on Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-07-24?
+$7.65 · 15 @ 0.490
BUY·1d agostale·0x2ca1…ddcdwhy? →
Miami Marlins on San Diego Padres vs. Miami Marlins
-$908.93 · 3495.89 @ 0.260
BUY·1d agostale·0x2ca1…ddcdwhy? →
Miami Marlins on San Diego Padres vs. Miami Marlins
-$1.20 · 5 @ 0.240
BUY·1d agostale·0x2ca1…ddcdwhy? →
Mike Davis on UFC Fight Night: Mike Davis vs. Nurullo Aliev (Lightweight, Prelims)
-$471.90 · 1430 @ 0.330
BUY·2d agostale·0x2ca1…ddcdwhy? →
Miami Marlins on San Diego Padres vs. Miami Marlins
-$500.00 · 5000 @ 0.100
BUY·3d agostale·0x2ca1…ddcdwhy? →
Minnesota Twins on Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians
+$1.02k · 2000 @ 0.490
SELL·3d agostale·0x2ca1…ddcdwhy? →
Atlanta Braves on San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves
-$314.50 · 3500 @ 0.910
BUY·3d agostale·0x2ca1…ddcdwhy? →
Atlanta Braves on San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves
+$2.52k · 4000 @ 0.370
BUY·3d agostale·0x2ca1…ddcdwhy? →
Atlanta Braves on San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves
+$1.20k · 4000 @ 0.700
BUY·4d agostale·0x2ca1…ddcdwhy? →
Los Angeles Angels on St. Louis Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Angels
-$487.50 · 3250 @ 0.150
BUY·4d agostale·0x2ca1…ddcdwhy? →
Los Angeles Angels on St. Louis Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Angels
-$1.05k · 3000 @ 0.350
BUY·4d agostale·0x2ca1…ddcdwhy? →
Pittsburgh Pirates on Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Yankees
+$2.01k · 3000 @ 0.330
BUY·5d agostale·0x2ca1…ddcdwhy? →
Philadelphia Phillies on Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Phillies
-$5.30k · 10000 @ 0.530
BUY·5d agostale·0x2ca1…ddcdwhy? →
Massimo Giunta on Segovia: Alejandro Moro Canas vs Massimo Giunta
-$1.88k · 4000 @ 0.470
BUY·6d agostale·0x2ca1…ddcdwhy? →
Detroit Tigers on Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago Cubs
+$1.28k · 2000 @ 0.360
BUY·6d agostale·0x2ca1…ddcdwhy? →
Boston Red Sox on Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox
+$16.50 · 30 @ 0.450
BUY·6d agostale·0x2ca1…ddcdwhy? →
Miami Marlins on Miami Marlins vs. Houston Astros
-$3.01k · 7000 @ 0.430
BUY·6d agostale·0x2ca1…ddcdwhy? →
Minnesota Twins on Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians
-$3.50k · 7000 @ 0.500
BUY·6d agostale·0x2ca1…ddcdwhy? →
Henrique Rocha on Estoril Open: Henrique Rocha vs Pedro Martinez
-$300.00 · 3000 @ 0.100
BUY·6d agostale·0x2ca1…ddcdwhy? →
Henrique Rocha on Estoril Open: Henrique Rocha vs Pedro Martinez
-$560.00 · 1999.99 @ 0.280
BUY·10d agostale·0x2ca1…ddcdwhy? →
Seattle Sounders FC on Spread: Seattle Sounders FC (-1.5)
-$97.59 · 1394.16 @ 0.070
BUY·10d agostale·0x2ca1…ddcdwhy? →
Spain on Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
+$8.20k · 20000 @ 0.590
BUY·10d agostale·0x2ca1…ddcdwhy? →
Alex Molcan on Croatia Open: Alex Molcan vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
+$1.06k · 1400 @ 0.240
BUY·10d agostale·0x2ca1…ddcdwhy? →
Alex Molcan on Croatia Open: Alex Molcan vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
+$1.22k · 2000 @ 0.390
BUY·10d agostale·0x2ca1…ddcdwhy? →
Damir Dzumhur on Croatia Open: Damir Dzumhur vs Matteo Arnaldi
+$520.00 · 800 @ 0.350
BUY·10d agostale·0x2ca1…ddcdwhy? →
Jie Cui on Lincoln: Matthew Forbes vs Jie Cui
-$44.65 · 95 @ 0.470
BUY·11d agostale·0x2ca1…ddcdwhy? →
New York Mets on New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies
+$409.50 · 750 @ 0.454
BUY·11d agostale·0x2ca1…ddcdwhy? →
New York Mets on New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies
+$2.75 · 5 @ 0.450
BUY·11d agostale·0x2ca1…ddcdwhy? →
England on England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
-$5.25k · 9768.3 @ 0.537
BUY·12d agostale·0x2ca1…ddcdwhy? →
France on France vs. Spain: Team to Advance
-$136.12 · 375.49 @ 0.362
BUY·14d agostale·0x2ca1…ddcdwhy? →
Alexander Zverev on Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverev
-$920.00 · 4000 @ 0.230
BUY·15d agostale·0x2ca1…ddcdwhy? →
England on Norway vs. England: Team to Advance
+$1.73k · 4085.4 @ 0.576
BUY·15d agostale·0x2ca1…ddcdwhy? →
Yes on Will England win on 2026-07-11?
-$5.08k · 10100 @ 0.502
BUY·17d agostale·0x2ca1…ddcdwhy? →
Miami Marlins on Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)
+$275.00 · 500 @ 0.450
BUY·17d agostale·0x2ca1…ddcdwhy? →
Yes on Will France win on 2026-07-09?
+$1.33k · 3330 @ 0.600
BUY·18d agostale·0x2ca1…ddcdwhy? →
Damir Dzumhur on Iasi: Zsombor Piros vs Damir Dzumhur
-$2.24k · 4760.05 @ 0.470
BUY·18d agostale·0x2ca1…ddcdwhy? →
Under on Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 6.5
-$126.13 · 286.67 @ 0.440
BUY·18d agostale·0x2ca1…ddcdwhy? →
Under on Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 6.5
-$300.40 · 698.6 @ 0.430
BUY·19d agostale·0x2ca1…ddcdwhy? →
Miami Marlins on Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)
-$220.00 · 500 @ 0.440
BUY·19d agostale·0x2ca1…ddcdwhy? →
Miami Marlins on Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)
-$265.00 · 500 @ 0.530
BUY·19d agostale·0x2ca1…ddcdwhy? →
Miami Marlins on Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5)
-$1.80 · 5 @ 0.360
BUY·19d agostale·0x2ca1…ddcdwhy? →
Colombia on Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance
-$896.01 · 1659.28 @ 0.540
SELL·19d agostale·0x2ca1…ddcdwhy? →
Egypt on Spread: Argentina (-1.5)
-$1.90 · 1899.92 @ 0.999
BUY·19d agostale·0x2ca1…ddcdwhy? →
Egypt on Spread: Argentina (-1.5)
+$892.96 · 1899.92 @ 0.530
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.