Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET
— 146.870586 @ 0.850
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AR
arubaspider2
All-time PnL
-$153.31
Win rate
63.2%
63 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
-$2.02
30d PnL
-$153.31
30d trades
100
30d wins
48
48.0%
30d volume
$3.17k
Category edge
Crypto
61.9%
+9.2pp
n=97
vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice
Signal hit rate
61.9% (60 wins / 37 misses)Cumulative PnL · 2-day series
$0.00
-$153.31
Trading pattern
Crypto Specialistbuy-heavysmall-sizecategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Crypto 100%
Why Crypto Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Crypto 100% of categorized trades — ≥60% concentrated in one category → a Crypto specialist.
Directional bias: +1.00 (buy-heavy) — Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.65 — Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $15 — Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 1.39 (varied) — Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.
Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.
Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 65¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $14.57 · p90 $99.38
Activity · UTC
00h12h23h
peak Sat 00:00 · 100 trades
Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.
Recent trades
EXPORT
Up on Ethereum Up or Down - September 19, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET
— 5.057143 @ 0.700
Up on Ethereum Up or Down - September 19, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET
— 38.903847 @ 0.520
Up on Ethereum Up or Down - September 19, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET
— -$24.85 · 50.5 @ 0.492
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET
— -$12.70 · 70.964737 @ 0.179
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET
— -$3.63 · 11 @ 0.330
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET
— -$2.98 · 7.095239 @ 0.420
Up on Ethereum Up or Down - September 19, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET
— +$4.20 · 7.372094 @ 0.430
Up on Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 19, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET
— -$4.69 · 4.98935 @ 0.940
Down on Dogecoin Up or Down - September 19, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET
— +$0.45 · 4.978022 @ 0.910
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET
— -$85.95 · 159.166667 @ 0.540
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET
— +$3.60 · 17.9875 @ 0.800
Up on Ethereum Up or Down - September 18, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
— +$6.81 · 16.683332 @ 0.592
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
— +$8.21 · 28.323944 @ 0.710
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - September 18, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
— -$79.05 · 88.94422 @ 0.889
Up on Ethereum Up or Down - September 18, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET
— -$5.15 · 20.6 @ 0.250
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET
— +$53.70 · 153.415385 @ 0.650
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - September 18, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
— -$6.09 · 8.22973 @ 0.740
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - September 18, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
— -$3.23 · 4.893938 @ 0.660
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET
— -$10.33 · 18.122808 @ 0.570
Up on XRP Up or Down - September 18, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET
— +$0.10 · 4.94895 @ 0.980
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET
— -$49.93 · 214.781667 @ 0.232
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET
— +$13.72 · 52.244323 @ 0.737
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
— +$5.45 · 23.688308 @ 0.770
Up on Ethereum Up or Down - September 18, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET
— +$24.62 · 102.592104 @ 0.760
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET
— +$35.94 · 143.76 @ 0.750
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET
— +$7.14 · 39.658537 @ 0.820
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - September 18, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET
— +$3.44 · 29.044936 @ 0.881
Up on Ethereum Up or Down - September 18, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET
— -$1.15 · 3.709678 @ 0.310
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET
— -$23.27 · 59.666667 @ 0.390
Up on XRP Up or Down - September 18, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET
— +$5.46 · 8.03125 @ 0.320
Up on Ethereum Up or Down - September 18, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
— +$3.54 · 11.058821 @ 0.680
Down on BNB Up or Down - September 18, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET
— +$0.55 · 9.212766 @ 0.940
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
— +$0.50 · 4.96666 @ 0.900
Up on Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 18, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET
— +$0.65 · 4.965515 @ 0.870
Up on Ethereum Up or Down - September 18, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET
— +$3.20 · 21.317646 @ 0.850
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET
— -$4.47 · 4.96666 @ 0.900
Up on Dogecoin Up or Down - September 18, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET
— +$6.71 · 26.518985 @ 0.747
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET
— +$0.82 · 4.831323 @ 0.830
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
— -$56.26 · 85.242423 @ 0.660
Up on Dogecoin Up or Down - September 18, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET
— -$1.34 · 5.153847 @ 0.260
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET
— +$5.19 · 25.95 @ 0.800
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - September 18, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET
— -$5.42 · 9.854546 @ 0.550
Down on Solana Up or Down - September 18, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
— -$4.45 · 23.421053 @ 0.190
Down on Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 18, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET
— +$5.48 · 12.072728 @ 0.546
Up on XRP Up or Down - September 18, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET
— +$0.55 · 4.96629 @ 0.890
Down on BNB Up or Down - September 18, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET
— +$0.89 · 5.559518 @ 0.840
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
— +$0.47 · 7.76595 @ 0.940
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
— +$1.79 · 13.7931 @ 0.870
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - September 18, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET
— -$28.22 · 31.707863 @ 0.890
Integrity indicators
No anomalies detected for this trader.
Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.