No on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 19?
— 3864.858263 @ 0.979
← leaderboard
23
0x2348…ec52
All-time PnL
-$25.94
Win rate
58.6%
59 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
-$2.39
30d PnL
-$69.37
30d trades
100
30d wins
17
17.0%
30d volume
$142.1k
Category edge
Politics
57.1%
+33.0pp
n=7
Economy
60.0%
+23.6pp
n=5
Sports
62.5%
+15.3pp
n=8
Crypto
64.3%
+9.1pp
n=70
vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice
Signal hit rate
62.8% (59 wins / 35 misses)⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 20 markets — verify independentlyCumulative PnL · 9-day series
$741.37
-$609.49
Trading pattern
Crypto Specialisttwo-sidedmid-sizefavorite-backercategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Crypto 76%
Why Crypto Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Crypto 76% of categorized trades — ≥60% concentrated in one category → a Crypto specialist.
Directional bias: +0.42 (two-sided) — Trades both sides fairly evenly — no strong directional lean.
Entry pricing: avg 0.85 — Enters at favorite prices (>0.70) — backs likely outcomes.
Typical position size: median $913 — Mid-sized typical stake.
Sizing consistency: CV 1.02 (varied) — Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.
Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.
Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 85¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $912.56 · p90 $3.50k
Activity · UTC
00h12h23h
peak Fri 15:00 · 100 trades
Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.
Recent trades
EXPORT
No on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 19?
— 3585.23 @ 0.997
No on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 19?
— 1744.964 @ 0.985
No on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 19?
— 1840.271342 @ 0.980
No on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 19?
— 1914.3 @ 0.977
No on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 19?
— 1914.3086 @ 0.981
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
— -$7.15 · 119.166667 @ 0.060
No on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 18?
— +$4.31k · 4832.87 @ 0.892
No on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 18?
— -$2.01k · 2065.863772 @ 0.972
No on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 18?
— -$1.28k · 1331 @ 0.960
No on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 18?
— -$1.37k · 1436.008348 @ 0.957
No on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 18?
— -$49.09 · 5564.26 @ 0.991
No on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 18?
— +$10.46 · 1307.983871 @ 0.992
No on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 18?
— +$43.88 · 4256.276384 @ 0.990
No on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 18?
— +$4.53k · 4768.73 @ 0.950
No on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 18?
— -$267.52 · 277.297909 @ 0.965
No on Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?
— -$19.91 · 766.18 @ 0.974
No on Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?
— -$8.59 · 343.74 @ 0.975
No on Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?
— -$14.58 · 918.11 @ 0.984
No on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 18?
— -$4.39k · 4491.432473 @ 0.978
No on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 18?
— +$1.00k · 1425.26 @ 0.703
No on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 18?
— -$230.79 · 265.275861 @ 0.870
No on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 18?
— -$354.32 · 412 @ 0.860
No on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 18?
— -$312.48 · 359.172407 @ 0.870
No on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 18?
— -$341.10 · 388.813858 @ 0.877
No on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 17?
— -$3.18 · 3178.66 @ 0.999
No on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 17?
— +$30.52 · 3009.956 @ 0.990
No on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 17?
— +$7.38 · 168.709636 @ 0.956
No on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 17?
— -$251.85 · 2567.85 @ 0.902
No on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 17?
— +$50.07 · 2567.856833 @ 0.981
No on Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?
— +$6.16 · 205.319566 @ 0.970
No on Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?
— +$22.16 · 635.103066 @ 0.965
No on Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?
— +$16.08 · 513.721633 @ 0.969
No on Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?
— +$27.64 · 673.895625 @ 0.959
No on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 17?
— -$20.07 · 5017.79 @ 0.996
No on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 17?
— +$2.92 · 265.692545 @ 0.989
No on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 17?
— +$25.57 · 2329.15596 @ 0.989
No on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 17?
— +$36.27 · 2422.950692 @ 0.985
No on Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
— +$7.75 · 129.15 @ 0.060
Yes on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 16?
— +$20.31 · 2030.0909 @ 0.990
Yes on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 16?
— +$12.50 · 1208.79798 @ 0.990
Yes on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 16?
— +$13.21 · 1113.1131 @ 0.988
No on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 16?
— -$30.57 · 3528.58 @ 0.991
No on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 16?
— +$110.33 · 3528.581076 @ 0.969
No on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 16?
— -$10.97 · 3660.72 @ 0.997
Yes on Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
— +$5.75 · 47.886358 @ 0.880
No on Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
— -$2.91 · 22.384616 @ 0.130
No on Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
— -$13.88 · 106.769231 @ 0.130
Yes on Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
— +$148.06 · 1233.79545 @ 0.880
No on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 16?
— +$2.01 · 111.7515 @ 0.982
Integrity indicators
No anomalies detected for this trader.
Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.