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Nat26

0x21a1…ca28polymarket ↗last active 17m ago
All-time PnL
$125.26
Win rate
46.3%
32 of 69
Total trades
69
Avg PnL / trade
$3.06
30d PnL
$176.27
30d trades
64
30d wins
19
29.7%
30d volume
$7.07k
Category edge
Crypto
40.6%
-39.9pp
n=64

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
40.3% (27 wins / 40 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 17 markets — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 5-day series
$125.26
-$298.56
Trading pattern
Crypto Specialistbuy-heavysmall-sizecategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Crypto 96%
Why Crypto Specialisthigh confidence · 69 trades
Category focus: Crypto 96% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Crypto specialist.
Directional bias: +0.51 (buy-heavy)Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.51Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $50Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 1.35 (varied)Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 51¢ · 69 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $50.00 · p90 $315.66
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Sun 00:00 · 69 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
BUY·17m ago·0x21a1…ca28why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET
140.2925 @ 0.071
BUY·21m ago·0x21a1…ca28why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET
314.063138 @ 0.503
BUY·23m ago·0x21a1…ca28why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET
-$28.00 · 103.703704 @ 0.270
BUY·56m ago·0x21a1…ca28why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET
+$361.56 · 515.56 @ 0.299
SELL·59m ago·0x21a1…ca28why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET
-$26.00 · 72.22 @ 0.640
BUY·59m ago·0x21a1…ca28why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET
+$40.44 · 72.22 @ 0.440
BUY·1h ago·0x21a1…ca28why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET
-$238.26 · 463.126227 @ 0.514
BUY·1h ago·0x21a1…ca28why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET
-$100.00 · 121.428568 @ 0.824
SELL·2h agoageing·0x21a1…ca28why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET
-$56.21 · 312.26 @ 0.820
BUY·2h agoageing·0x21a1…ca28why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET
+$165.26 · 312.262709 @ 0.471
BUY·2h agoageing·0x21a1…ca28why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET
-$69.00 · 139.4 @ 0.495
BUY·2h agoageing·0x21a1…ca28why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET
-$16.00 · 56.379311 @ 0.284
SELL·2h agoageing·0x21a1…ca28why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET
+$1.59 · 78.94 @ 0.020
BUY·2h agoageing·0x21a1…ca28why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET
-$34.00 · 62.026728 @ 0.548
BUY·2h agoageing·0x21a1…ca28why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET
-$15.00 · 78.947369 @ 0.190
SELL·2h agoageing·0x21a1…ca28why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET
+$46.72 · 62.29 @ 0.750
BUY·2h agoageing·0x21a1…ca28why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET
-$31.00 · 62.2978 @ 0.498
SELL·3h agoageing·0x21a1…ca28why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET
-$12.46 · 65.59 @ 0.810
BUY·3h agoageing·0x21a1…ca28why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET
+$22.26 · 32.258065 @ 0.310
BUY·3h agoageing·0x21a1…ca28why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET
+$18.33 · 33.333334 @ 0.450
SELL·3h agoageing·0x21a1…ca28why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET
-$0.47 · 46.51 @ 0.990
BUY·3h agoageing·0x21a1…ca28why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET
+$8.18 · 18.181819 @ 0.550
BUY·3h agoageing·0x21a1…ca28why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET
+$11.33 · 28.333332 @ 0.600
SELL·3h agoageing·0x21a1…ca28why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET
+$16.21 · 34.48 @ 0.470
BUY·3h agoageing·0x21a1…ca28why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET
-$10.00 · 34.482759 @ 0.290
SELL·3h agoageing·0x21a1…ca28why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET
-$57.44 · 183.86 @ 0.688
BUY·3h agoageing·0x21a1…ca28why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET
+$83.86 · 183.861817 @ 0.544
BUY·3h agoageing·0x21a1…ca28why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET
-$10.00 · 21.276596 @ 0.470
SELL·4h agoageing·0x21a1…ca28why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET
-$2.71 · 20.83 @ 0.870
BUY·4h agoageing·0x21a1…ca28why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET
+$10.83 · 20.833334 @ 0.480
SELL·4h agoageing·0x21a1…ca28why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET
-$46.88 · 62.5 @ 0.250
BUY·4h agoageing·0x21a1…ca28why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET
+$52.50 · 62.5 @ 0.160
BUY·11h agoageing·0x21a1…ca28why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET
+$288.25 · 635.252806 @ 0.546
BUY·11h agoageing·0x21a1…ca28why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET
-$45.00 · 300 @ 0.150
SELL·11h agoageing·0x21a1…ca28why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET
-$0.70 · 695.96 @ 0.999
BUY·11h agoageing·0x21a1…ca28why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET
+$311.05 · 695.969825 @ 0.553
BUY·11h agoageing·0x21a1…ca28why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET
-$95.00 · 195.110613 @ 0.487
BUY·11h agoageing·0x21a1…ca28why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET
-$128.00 · 258.545 @ 0.495
SELL·11h agoageing·0x21a1…ca28why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET
-$28.97 · 263.32 @ 0.890
BUY·11h agoageing·0x21a1…ca28why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET
+$117.33 · 263.326072 @ 0.554
SELL·11h agoageing·0x21a1…ca28why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
+$25.50 · 457.26 @ 0.056
BUY·11h agoageing·0x21a1…ca28why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
-$100.00 · 261.190244 @ 0.383
BUY·11h agoageing·0x21a1…ca28why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
-$100.00 · 196.078432 @ 0.510
BUY·11h agoageing·0x21a1…ca28why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
+$36.99 · 136.9863 @ 0.730
BUY·12h agoageing·0x21a1…ca28why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET
+$39.29 · 89.285715 @ 0.560
BUY·12h agoageing·0x21a1…ca28why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET
-$100.00 · 129.115513 @ 0.775
SELL·12h agoageing·0x21a1…ca28why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET
-$0.40 · 397.92 @ 0.999
BUY·12h agoageing·0x21a1…ca28why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET
-$100.00 · 190.91868 @ 0.524
BUY·12h agoageing·0x21a1…ca28why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET
+$75.44 · 175.438597 @ 0.570
BUY·12h agoageing·0x21a1…ca28why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET
+$24.45 · 124.451231 @ 0.804
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.