Yes on Will voter turnout be between 56% and 59% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?
— 334.42 @ 0.156
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VI
vinii
All-time PnL
$405.84
Win rate
40.0%
40 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
$65.11
30d PnL
$325.56
30d trades
100
30d wins
2
2.0%
30d volume
$17.0k
Category edge
Science & Tech
83.3%
avg
n=6
vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice
Signal hit rate
83.3% (5 wins / 1 misses)⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 8 markets — verify independentlyCumulative PnL · 1-day series
Not enough data to chart yet.
Trading pattern
World-Leaningtwo-sidedsmall-sizeBuy-leaning · World 41%
Why World-Leaninghigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: World 41% of categorized trades — a lean toward World without full specialization.
Directional bias: +0.48 (two-sided) — Trades both sides fairly evenly — no strong directional lean.
Entry pricing: avg 0.45 — Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $61 — Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 1.37 (varied) — Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.
Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.
Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 45¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $60.83 · p90 $529.40
Activity · UTC
00h12h23h
peak Fri 22:00 · 100 trades
Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.
Recent trades
EXPORT
Yes on Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?
— 469.43 @ 0.074
Yes on Will voter turnout be between 59% and 62% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?
— 745.65 @ 0.734
Yes on Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?
— 180 @ 0.310
Yes on Will Oura's market cap be between $15B and $17.5B at market close on IPO day?
— 394.96 @ 0.300
No on Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?
— 5 @ 0.330
Yes on Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?
— 2396.58 @ 0.287
Yes on US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?
— 292.99 @ 0.218
Grüne on Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: More Votes to BSW or Grüne?
— 84 @ 0.719
No on Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by December 31?
— 151 @ 0.767
Yes on US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?
— 500 @ 0.114
No on Will CATL be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
— 277.83 @ 0.568
Yes on Will CDU be in the next Berlin state government?
— 16.51 @ 0.160
Yes on Trump invokes war powers in Yemen by September 30?
— 35.22 @ 0.231
No on Will Grok 5 be released by October 31, 2026?
— 285.49 @ 0.910
No on Will the next Grok model (4.7+) debut at a score of at least 1500 by June 30, 2027?
— 602.93 @ 0.926
Yes on Will Linke win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
— 67.19 @ 0.080
Yes on Will Grüne win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
— 50.44 @ 0.320
No on Will Declan Rice finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
— 178.46 @ 0.920
No on Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in September 2026?
— 45 @ 0.015
No on Will Trump speak to Masoud Pezeshkian in September?
— 119.9 @ 0.939
No on Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in September?
— 135 @ 0.149
Yes on Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
— 1858.03 @ 0.244
No on Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
— 841.56 @ 0.715
No on Trump invokes war powers in Yemen by September 30?
— 553.78 @ 0.886
Yes on Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
— 214 @ 0.730
Yes on US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
— 28.67 @ 0.370
Yes on Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
— 96.89 @ 0.470
Yes on NATO troops fighting in Yemen before 2027?
— 1053.03 @ 0.022
Yes on Trump invokes war powers in Yemen by September 30?
— 650 @ 0.041
No on Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in September 2026?
— 5 @ 0.390
No on Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in September 2026?
— 866.16 @ 0.177
No on Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in September 2026?
— 349.08 @ 0.059
Yes on Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?
— 812.28 @ 0.945
Yes on US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?
— 47 @ 0.310
Yes on US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
— 533.72 @ 0.478
No on Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
— 300 @ 0.690
Yes on Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
— 2989.59 @ 0.206
Yes on US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
— 100 @ 0.480
Yes on US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
— 200 @ 0.480
No on Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government?
— 12.32 @ 0.092
No on Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government?
— 1397.06 @ 0.060
Yes on Will CDU win 35-39 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
— 106 @ 0.299
No on Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher?
— 80 @ 0.670
No on Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $2.00T and $2.25T?
— 845.5 @ 0.626
Yes on Will voter turnout be between 56% and 59% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?
— 44.08 @ 0.240
No on Will OpenAI or Anthropic announce recursive self-improvement by October 31, 2026?
— 60 @ 0.850
No on Will Grüne win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
— 241.9 @ 0.576
No on Will CDU win 35-39 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
— 307.99 @ 0.657
Yes on Will CDU win 40-44 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
— 430.67 @ 0.350
Integrity indicators
No anomalies detected for this trader.
Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.