Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
— 239.546863 @ 0.501
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RO
RolyPoliOli
All-time PnL
$485.36
Win rate
49.0%
49 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
$5.06
30d PnL
$485.36
30d trades
100
30d wins
47
47.0%
30d volume
$3.23k
Category edge
Crypto
48.5%
-23.0pp
n=99
vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice
Signal hit rate
48.5% (48 wins / 51 misses)Cumulative PnL · 7-day series
$519.96
$0.00
Trading pattern
Crypto Specialistbuy-heavysmall-sizecategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Crypto 100%
Why Crypto Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Crypto 100% of categorized trades — ≥60% concentrated in one category → a Crypto specialist.
Directional bias: +1.00 (buy-heavy) — Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.49 — Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $15 — Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 1.08 (varied) — Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.
Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.
Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 49¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $15.00 · p90 $60.00
Activity · UTC
00h12h23h
peak Fri 00:00 · 100 trades
Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.
Recent trades
EXPORT
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET
— -$60.00 · 113.207548 @ 0.530
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
— -$30.00 · 61.22449 @ 0.490
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
— -$15.00 · 32.608696 @ 0.460
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
— +$20.82 · 40.816327 @ 0.490
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
— +$13.85 · 28.846154 @ 0.520
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
— +$12.27 · 27.272728 @ 0.550
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET
— +$23.46 · 38.461539 @ 0.390
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET
— +$11.79 · 26.785715 @ 0.560
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET
— -$5.00 · 10 @ 0.500
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET
— +$5.69 · 10.694681 @ 0.468
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET
— +$199.67 · 439.672 @ 0.546
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET
— -$120.00 · 241.6804 @ 0.497
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET
— -$60.00 · 116.084231 @ 0.517
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET
— -$30.00 · 241.058462 @ 0.124
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET
— -$15.00 · 27.272728 @ 0.550
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET
— +$73.33 · 133.333334 @ 0.450
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET
— -$30.00 · 50.841667 @ 0.590
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET
— -$15.00 · 32.608696 @ 0.460
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
— +$115.29 · 235.294118 @ 0.510
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
— -$60.00 · 115.384616 @ 0.520
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
— -$30.00 · 63.829788 @ 0.470
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
— -$15.00 · 28.846154 @ 0.520
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
— +$28.96 · 58.962548 @ 0.509
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
— -$15.00 · 25 @ 0.600
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
— +$25.71 · 35.714286 @ 0.280
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
— +$126.23 · 246.2296 @ 0.487
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
— -$60.00 · 101.694914 @ 0.590
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
— -$30.00 · 58.82353 @ 0.510
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
— -$15.00 · 30 @ 0.500
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
— +$31.22 · 61.22449 @ 0.490
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
— -$15.00 · 27.272728 @ 0.550
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
— -$15.00 · 30.612245 @ 0.490
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET
— +$12.30 · 27.303572 @ 0.549
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
— +$113.00 · 233.004422 @ 0.515
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
— -$60.00 · 124.653878 @ 0.481
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET
— -$30.00 · 57.692308 @ 0.520
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
— -$15.00 · 27.272728 @ 0.550
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
— +$13.30 · 28.301887 @ 0.530
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET
— +$12.78 · 27.777778 @ 0.540
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET
— +$13.30 · 28.301887 @ 0.530
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
— +$28.82 · 58.82353 @ 0.510
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET
— -$15.00 · 22.727273 @ 0.660
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET
— +$14.41 · 29.411765 @ 0.510
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
— +$51.11 · 111.111112 @ 0.540
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET
— -$30.00 · 56.603774 @ 0.530
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
— -$15.00 · 28.301887 @ 0.530
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
— +$28.94 · 58.942157 @ 0.509
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
— -$15.00 · 26.957143 @ 0.556
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
— +$25.22 · 55.220728 @ 0.543
Integrity indicators
No anomalies detected for this trader.
Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.