⌘K
← leaderboard
QI

qianyi2026

0x1cf1…6ca1polymarket ↗last active 16m ago
All-time PnL
$8.73
Win rate
91.9%
92 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
$0.24
30d PnL
$8.73
30d trades
100
30d wins
34
34.0%
30d volume
$13.9k
Category edge
Politics
28.6%
-44.9pp
n=7
Other
100.0%
+26.3pp
n=35
Crypto
50.0%
-7.7pp
n=20

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
75.8% (47 wins / 15 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 4 markets — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 4-day series
$39.29
-$51.33
Trading pattern
Other-Leaningbuy-heavysmall-sizefavorite-backerBuy-leaning · Other 53%
Why Other-Leaninghigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Other 53% of categorized tradesa lean toward Other without full specialization.
Directional bias: +0.64 (buy-heavy)Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.91Enters at favorite prices (>0.70) — backs likely outcomes.
Typical position size: median $67Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 1.24 (varied)Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 91¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $66.82 · p90 $393.60
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Fri 03:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
BUY·16m ago·0x1cf1…6ca1why? →
No on Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in July?
50 @ 0.979
BUY·16m ago·0x1cf1…6ca1why? →
No on Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in July?
166 @ 0.976
BUY·19m ago·0x1cf1…6ca1why? →
No on Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $52 in July?
50 @ 0.959
BUY·19m ago·0x1cf1…6ca1why? →
No on Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $52 in July?
11.1 @ 0.958
BUY·26m ago·0x1cf1…6ca1why? →
No on Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?
400 @ 0.984
BUY·34m ago·0x1cf1…6ca1why? →
No on Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?
100 @ 0.983
BUY·3h agoageing·0x1cf1…6ca1why? →
Yes on Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 2T yuan?
14.99 @ 0.995
BUY·16h agoageing·0x1cf1…6ca1why? →
No on Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?
60 @ 0.979
SELL·16h agoageing·0x1cf1…6ca1why? →
No on Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 July 20-26?
-$0.06 · 60 @ 0.999
BUY·16h agoageing·0x1cf1…6ca1why? →
No on Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?
40 @ 0.979
BUY·16h agoageing·0x1cf1…6ca1why? →
No on Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?
+$0.14 · 72 @ 0.998
BUY·16h agoageing·0x1cf1…6ca1why? →
No on Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $465 in July?
48.99 @ 0.949
SELL·1d agostale·0x1cf1…6ca1why? →
Yes on Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?
36.9 @ 0.280
BUY·1d agostale·0x1cf1…6ca1why? →
No on Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?
500 @ 0.973
SELL·1d agostale·0x1cf1…6ca1why? →
No on Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 July 20-26?
-$0.10 · 100 @ 0.999
SELL·1d agostale·0x1cf1…6ca1why? →
No on Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 July 20-26?
-$0.17 · 169.99 @ 0.999
BUY·1d agostale·0x1cf1…6ca1why? →
No on Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $270 in July?
60 @ 0.958
BUY·1d agostale·0x1cf1…6ca1why? →
No on Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in July?
36 @ 0.988
BUY·1d agostale·0x1cf1…6ca1why? →
No on Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?
266 @ 0.980
BUY·1d agostale·0x1cf1…6ca1why? →
No on Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?
50.2 @ 0.912
BUY·1d agostale·0x1cf1…6ca1why? →
No on Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?
34.26 @ 0.979
BUY·1d agostale·0x1cf1…6ca1why? →
No on Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?
24 @ 0.912
BUY·1d agostale·0x1cf1…6ca1why? →
No on Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?
200 @ 0.975
BUY·1d agostale·0x1cf1…6ca1why? →
No on Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?
19.99 @ 0.911
BUY·1d agostale·0x1cf1…6ca1why? →
No on Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?
5.84 @ 0.910
BUY·1d agostale·0x1cf1…6ca1why? →
No on Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?
500 @ 0.965
BUY·1d agostale·0x1cf1…6ca1why? →
No on Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?
239 @ 0.979
BUY·1d agostale·0x1cf1…6ca1why? →
No on Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?
257 @ 0.981
BUY·1d agostale·0x1cf1…6ca1why? →
No on Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 July 20-26?
+$10.29 · 643.26 @ 0.984
SELL·1d agostale·0x1cf1…6ca1why? →
No on Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 July 20-26?
-$16.20 · 202.54 @ 0.920
BUY·1d agostale·0x1cf1…6ca1why? →
No on Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?
131 @ 0.981
BUY·1d agostale·0x1cf1…6ca1why? →
No on Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?
387.88 @ 0.981
BUY·1d agostale·0x1cf1…6ca1why? →
No on Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?
400 @ 0.979
BUY·2d agostale·0x1cf1…6ca1why? →
No on Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 July 20-26?
+$7.63 · 449 @ 0.983
BUY·2d agostale·0x1cf1…6ca1why? →
No on Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 July 20-26?
+$1.10 · 61.34 @ 0.982
BUY·2d agostale·0x1cf1…6ca1why? →
No on Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?
24 @ 0.976
BUY·2d agostale·0x1cf1…6ca1why? →
No on Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?
300 @ 0.959
BUY·2d agostale·0x1cf1…6ca1why? →
No on Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?
100 @ 0.959
BUY·2d agostale·0x1cf1…6ca1why? →
No on Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?
100 @ 0.958
BUY·2d agostale·0x1cf1…6ca1why? →
No on Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?
256 @ 0.958
BUY·2d agostale·0x1cf1…6ca1why? →
No on Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 July 20-26?
+$18.23 · 101.27 @ 0.820
BUY·2d agostale·0x1cf1…6ca1why? →
No on Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 July 20-26?
+$18.23 · 101.27 @ 0.820
SELL·2d agostale·0x1cf1…6ca1why? →
No on Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 July 20-26?
-$0.60 · 300 @ 0.998
BUY·3d agostale·0x1cf1…6ca1why? →
No on Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on July 24?
-$85.00 · 100 @ 0.850
BUY·3d agostale·0x1cf1…6ca1why? →
No on Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of July 20 2026?
+$2.40 · 600 @ 0.996
BUY·3d agostale·0x1cf1…6ca1why? →
No on Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of July 20 2026?
+$1.60 · 33.94 @ 0.953
BUY·3d agostale·0x1cf1…6ca1why? →
No on Will Google (GOOGL) close at >$370 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 20 – Jul 24?
+$0.50 · 49.89 @ 0.990
BUY·3d agostale·0x1cf1…6ca1why? →
Yes on Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of July 20 above $330?
+$0.65 · 65 @ 0.990
BUY·3d agostale·0x1cf1…6ca1why? →
No on Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of July 20 above $430?
+$0.65 · 65 @ 0.990
BUY·3d agostale·0x1cf1…6ca1why? →
No on Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of July 20 above $440?
+$0.65 · 65 @ 0.990
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.