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thebitcoinboy

0x1bd8…e5f8polymarket ↗last active 20m ago
All-time PnL
-$3.09k
Win rate
11.5%
12 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
-$108.44
30d PnL
-$2.82k
30d trades
100
30d wins
3
3.0%
30d volume
$38.2k
Category edge
Sports
13.0%
-26.6pp
n=23

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
13.0% (3 wins / 20 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 12 markets — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 8-day series
$158.14
-$1.65k
Trading pattern
Sports Specialistbuy-heavysmall-sizelongshot-huntercategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Sports 100%
Why Sports Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Sports 100% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Sports specialist.
Directional bias: +0.74 (buy-heavy)Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.24Enters at long-odds prices (<0.30) — a longshot-hunter pattern.
Typical position size: median $205Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 1.08 (varied)Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 24¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $205.29 · p90 $962.56
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Fri 20:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
BUY·20m ago·0x1bd8…e5f8why? →
on Sevilla FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5 AND Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-19?
384.315953 @ 0.508
BUY·49m ago·0x1bd8…e5f8why? →
on Will Toulouse FC vs. Le Havre AC end in a draw? AND Will SS Lazio win on 2026-09-19? AND FC Barcelona leading at halftime? AND Will Angers SCO vs. ES Troyes AC end in a draw?
10042.622712 @ 0.191
SELL·3h agoageing·0x1bd8…e5f8why? →
on Will Athletic Club vs. Deportivo Alavés end in a draw? AND Will Everton FC vs. Ipswich Town FC end in a draw? AND Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19? AND Will Newcastle United FC vs. Hull City AFC end in a draw?
1959.725292 @ 0.000
BUY·3h agoageing·0x1bd8…e5f8why? →
Over on Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5
-$200.00 · 571.428572 @ 0.350
BUY·4h agoageing·0x1bd8…e5f8why? →
Yes on Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19?
-$100.00 · 1000 @ 0.100
BUY·4h agoageing·0x1bd8…e5f8why? →
on Newcastle United FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 3.5 AND Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Coventry City FC end in a draw?
1209.877158 @ 0.159
BUY·5h agoageing·0x1bd8…e5f8why? →
on Will Athletic Club vs. Deportivo Alavés end in a draw? AND Will Everton FC vs. Ipswich Town FC end in a draw? AND Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19? AND Will Newcastle United FC vs. Hull City AFC end in a draw?
1959.725292 @ 0.296
BUY·22h agoageing·0x1bd8…e5f8why? →
on AS Monaco FC vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 3.5 AND RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Elche CF: O/U 2.5 AND Brentford FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5
4293.044311 @ 0.179
SELL·22h agoageing·0x1bd8…e5f8why? →
on FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 5.5 AND Brentford FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5 AND Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Elche CF end in a draw?
1447.550937 @ 0.000
SELL·22h agoageing·0x1bd8…e5f8why? →
on FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 6.5 AND Brentford FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5 AND Will AS Monaco FC vs. Racing Club de Lens end in a draw? AND Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-09-18? AND FC Bayern München leading at halftime? AND Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Elche CF end in a draw?
2326.528842 @ 0.000
SELL·22h agoageing·0x1bd8…e5f8why? →
on FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 6.5 AND Brentford FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5 AND Will AS Monaco FC vs. Racing Club de Lens end in a draw? AND Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Elche CF end in a draw? AND Will Brentford FC win on 2026-09-18?
1881.407217 @ 0.000
BUY·22h agoageing·0x1bd8…e5f8why? →
on Brentford FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Score AND Will Brentford FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?
692.379574 @ 0.279
BUY·22h agoageing·0x1bd8…e5f8why? →
Over on FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 7.5
-$200.00 · 1000.5 @ 0.200
BUY·23h agoageing·0x1bd8…e5f8why? →
on FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 5.5 AND Brentford FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5 AND Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Elche CF end in a draw?
1447.550937 @ 0.066
BUY·23h agoageing·0x1bd8…e5f8why? →
on Brentford FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5 AND Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-09-18?
1337.03657 @ 0.071
BUY·1d agostale·0x1bd8…e5f8why? →
on FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 6.5 AND Brentford FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5 AND Will AS Monaco FC vs. Racing Club de Lens end in a draw? AND Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Elche CF end in a draw? AND Will Brentford FC win on 2026-09-18?
1881.407217 @ 0.204
BUY·1d agostale·0x1bd8…e5f8why? →
on FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 6.5 AND Brentford FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5 AND Will AS Monaco FC vs. Racing Club de Lens end in a draw? AND Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-09-18? AND FC Bayern München leading at halftime? AND Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Elche CF end in a draw?
2326.528842 @ 0.082
BUY·1d agostale·0x1bd8…e5f8why? →
on Brentford FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5 AND Will AS Monaco FC vs. Racing Club de Lens end in a draw? AND Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-09-18? AND FC Bayern München leading at halftime? AND Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Elche CF end in a draw? AND Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-18?
6373.192394 @ 0.105
SELL·1d agostale·0x1bd8…e5f8why? →
on Manchester City FC vs. Norwich City FC: Both Teams to Score AND Crystal Palace FC vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 4.5 AND Juventus FC vs. NEC: O/U 5.5 AND Will Málaga CF vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw? AND Will Beşiktaş JK vs. Olympique de Marseille end in a draw?
1125.608468 @ 0.000
BUY·1d agostale·0x1bd8…e5f8why? →
on Manchester City FC vs. Norwich City FC: Both Teams to Score AND Will Celtic FC vs. Ferencvárosi TC end in a draw? AND Will Málaga CF vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw? AND Will Lillestrøm SK vs. SC União Torreense end in a draw? AND Will Beşiktaş JK vs. Olympique de Marseille end in a draw?
918.13902 @ 0.210
SELL·1d agostale·0x1bd8…e5f8why? →
on Real Betis Balompié vs. Getafe CF: O/U 1.5 AND Manchester City FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 2.5
948.24033 @ 0.997
BUY·1d agostale·0x1bd8…e5f8why? →
on Manchester City FC vs. Norwich City FC: Both Teams to Score AND Crystal Palace FC vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 4.5 AND Juventus FC vs. NEC: O/U 5.5 AND Will Málaga CF vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw? AND Will Beşiktaş JK vs. Olympique de Marseille end in a draw?
1125.608468 @ 0.085
SELL·1d agostale·0x1bd8…e5f8why? →
on Real Betis Balompié vs. Getafe CF: O/U 1.5 AND Manchester City FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 1.5
791.569007 @ 0.000
BUY·1d agostale·0x1bd8…e5f8why? →
on Manchester City FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 3.5 AND Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw? AND Will Juventus FC vs. NEC end in a draw? AND Will Málaga CF vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw? AND Will Beşiktaş JK vs. Olympique de Marseille end in a draw?
1060.667713 @ 0.273
SELL·2d agostale·0x1bd8…e5f8why? →
on Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-09-17? AND Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-09-17? AND Manchester City FC leading at halftime? AND Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-17?
1514.540998 @ 0.000
BUY·2d agostale·0x1bd8…e5f8why? →
on Real Betis Balompié vs. Getafe CF: O/U 1.5 AND Manchester City FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 1.5
791.569007 @ 0.121
BUY·2d agostale·0x1bd8…e5f8why? →
on Manchester City FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 2.5 AND Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-17?
357.50435 @ 0.270
BUY·2d agostale·0x1bd8…e5f8why? →
on Real Betis Balompié vs. Getafe CF: O/U 1.5 AND Manchester City FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 2.5
948.24033 @ 0.306
BUY·2d agostale·0x1bd8…e5f8why? →
on Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-09-17? AND Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-09-17? AND Manchester City FC leading at halftime? AND Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-17?
1514.540998 @ 0.255
BUY·2d agostale·0x1bd8…e5f8why? →
Yes on Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-16?
-$100.00 · 1026.583 @ 0.097
BUY·3d agostale·0x1bd8…e5f8why? →
on RC Deportivo A Coruña vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 1.5 AND Club Atlético de Madrid vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 3.5 AND Will Levante UD vs. Athletic Club end in a draw? AND Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-16?
2762.998367 @ 0.174
BUY·3d agostale·0x1bd8…e5f8why? →
on AC Milan vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 1.5 AND FC Barcelona vs. Real Racing Club: O/U 3.5 AND Will Everton FC win on 2026-09-09? AND Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-16? AND Will Coventry City FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw? AND FC Barcelona leading at halftime?
1094.349966 @ 0.220
BUY·3d agostale·0x1bd8…e5f8why? →
on FC Barcelona vs. Real Racing Club: O/U 3.5 AND Will Everton FC win on 2026-09-09? AND Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-16? AND Will Coventry City FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw? AND FC Barcelona leading at halftime?
1802.715574 @ 0.268
BUY·3d agostale·0x1bd8…e5f8why? →
on FC Barcelona vs. Real Racing Club: O/U 3.5 AND Will Everton FC win on 2026-09-09? AND Will Levante UD vs. Athletic Club end in a draw? AND Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-16? AND Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-16? AND Will AC Milan win on 2026-09-16? AND Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-16? AND Will RC Deportivo A Coruña vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw?
3752.860107 @ 0.076
BUY·3d agostale·0x1bd8…e5f8why? →
on FC Barcelona vs. Real Racing Club: O/U 3.5 AND Will Everton FC win on 2026-09-09? AND Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-16? AND Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-16? AND Will AC Milan win on 2026-09-16? AND Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-16? AND Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-09-16? AND Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-09-16?
2002.704544 @ 0.024
BUY·3d agostale·0x1bd8…e5f8why? →
on Club Puebla vs. Deportivo Toluca FC: O/U 1.5 AND Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-09-04?
1065.857438 @ 0.645
BUY·3d agostale·0x1bd8…e5f8why? →
on Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-09-15? AND Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-09-04?
709.528373 @ 0.272
SELL·3d agostale·0x1bd8…e5f8why? →
on Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-15? AND Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-15? AND Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-15?
1488.551471 @ 0.141
BUY·3d agostale·0x1bd8…e5f8why? →
on Elche CF vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5 AND Liverpool FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5 AND Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-15?
1848.852545 @ 0.261
BUY·4d agostale·0x1bd8…e5f8why? →
on Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-15? AND Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-15? AND Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-15?
1488.551472 @ 0.325
BUY·4d agostale·0x1bd8…e5f8why? →
on Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-15? AND Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona end in a draw? AND Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-15? AND Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-15?
1722.478221 @ 0.280
BUY·4d agostale·0x1bd8…e5f8why? →
on Deportivo Alavés vs. Valencia CF: O/U 3.5 AND Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-15? AND Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-09-15? AND Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-15? AND Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-15?
4334.200296 @ 0.222
BUY·4d agostale·0x1bd8…e5f8why? →
on Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-15? AND Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-09-15? AND Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-15? AND Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-15?
4015.852297 @ 0.240
BUY·4d agostale·0x1bd8…e5f8why? →
on Club León FC vs. Atlético San Luis: O/U 2.5 AND Will Club León FC win on 2026-09-12? AND Will Atletico FC Cali win on 2026-09-14?
3200.466573 @ 0.150
BUY·4d agostale·0x1bd8…e5f8why? →
on Leeds United FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 5.5 AND Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-14?
1115.962943 @ 0.436
BUY·5d agostale·0x1bd8…e5f8why? →
on Villarreal CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 4.5 AND Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-09-14? AND Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-14?
2915.175809 @ 0.165
BUY·5d agostale·0x1bd8…e5f8why? →
on Leeds United FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5 AND Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-09-14? AND Will AS Roma win on 2026-09-14?
4069.891016 @ 0.234
BUY·5d agostale·0x1bd8…e5f8why? →
on Torino FC vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5 AND Will Como 1907 win on 2026-09-14? AND Will Torino FC win on 2026-09-14?
1135.715822 @ 0.428
BUY·5d agostale·0x1bd8…e5f8why? →
on Torino FC vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5 AND Como 1907 vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 3.5 AND Will Como 1907 win on 2026-09-14? AND Will AS Roma win on 2026-09-14?
2009.799939 @ 0.240
BUY·5d agostale·0x1bd8…e5f8why? →
on Club Santos Laguna vs. FC Juárez: O/U 2.5 AND Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-09-13? AND Will Racing Club win on 2026-09-13?
2323.451251 @ 0.207
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.