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Bogdanreay

0x1b6d…2f1apolymarket ↗last active 46m ago
All-time PnL
-$4.32k
Win rate
24.1%
24 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
-$80.63
30d PnL
-$4.68k
30d trades
100
30d wins
14
14.0%
30d volume
$65.3k
Category edge
Crypto
0.0%
-68.4pp
n=5
Sports
23.9%
-26.7pp
n=92

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
22.7% (22 wins / 75 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 11 markets — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 15-day series
$1.33k
-$7.71k
Trading pattern
Sports Specialistbuy-heavysmall-sizecategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Sports 95%
Why Sports Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Sports 95% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Sports specialist.
Directional bias: +0.78 (buy-heavy)Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.33Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $405Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 1.34 (varied)Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 33¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $405.00 · p90 $1.50k
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Sun 20:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
BUY·46m ago·0x1b6d…2f1awhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET
-$25.00 · 178.571427 @ 0.140
BUY·47m ago·0x1b6d…2f1awhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET
-$25.00 · 147.058822 @ 0.170
BUY·47m ago·0x1b6d…2f1awhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET
-$100.00 · 263.157893 @ 0.380
SELL·52m ago·0x1b6d…2f1awhy? →
100 Thieves on Counter-Strike: NIP vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winner
1176.47 @ 0.470
BUY·59m ago·0x1b6d…2f1awhy? →
100 Thieves on Counter-Strike: NIP vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winner
1176.470587 @ 0.170
BUY·1h ago·0x1b6d…2f1awhy? →
Nemiga on Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs G2 - Map 2 Winner
1131.68 @ 0.110
BUY·2h agoageing·0x1b6d…2f1awhy? →
G2 on Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs G2 - Map 1 Winner
-$200.00 · 798.546152 @ 0.250
SELL·23h agoageing·0x1b6d…2f1awhy? →
Lee/Ye on Livesport Prague Open (Doubles): Lee/Ye vs Shibahara/Zvonareva
-$0.57 · 567.02 @ 0.999
BUY·23h agoageing·0x1b6d…2f1awhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
-$5.00 · 500 @ 0.010
BUY·23h agoageing·0x1b6d…2f1awhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
-$25.00 · 945.213332 @ 0.026
BUY·23h agoageing·0x1b6d…2f1awhy? →
3DMAX on Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Group C
-$100.00 · 737.91357 @ 0.136
BUY·23h agoageing·0x1b6d…2f1awhy? →
Lee/Ye on Livesport Prague Open (Doubles): Lee/Ye vs Shibahara/Zvonareva
+$467.02 · 567.02 @ 0.176
SELL·1d agostale·0x1b6d…2f1awhy? →
HOTU on Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Heroic (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Group B
-$447.73 · 1000.23 @ 0.552
BUY·1d agostale·0x1b6d…2f1awhy? →
3DMAX on Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Group C
-$300.00 · 884.79257 @ 0.339
BUY·1d agostale·0x1b6d…2f1awhy? →
Team Nemesis on Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier
-$200.00 · 1818.181817 @ 0.110
BUY·1d agostale·0x1b6d…2f1awhy? →
Team Nemesis on Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier
-$300.00 · 833.888887 @ 0.360
BUY·1d agostale·0x1b6d…2f1awhy? →
HOTU on Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Heroic (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Group B
+$700.23 · 1000.234665 @ 0.300
BUY·2d agostale·0x1b6d…2f1awhy? →
Over on Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5
-$100.00 · 1164.903427 @ 0.086
BUY·2d agostale·0x1b6d…2f1awhy? →
Over on Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5
-$450.00 · 1972.247716 @ 0.228
BUY·2d agostale·0x1b6d…2f1awhy? →
Over on Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5
-$500.00 · 1265.822783 @ 0.395
BUY·2d agostale·0x1b6d…2f1awhy? →
Yes on Lionel Messi: 2+ goals
-$100.00 · 1806.287332 @ 0.055
BUY·2d agostale·0x1b6d…2f1awhy? →
Over on Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 1.5
-$1000.00 · 4528.7852 @ 0.221
BUY·2d agostale·0x1b6d…2f1awhy? →
Over on Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 0.5
-$200.00 · 1538.461537 @ 0.130
BUY·2d agostale·0x1b6d…2f1awhy? →
Over on Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 1.5
-$200.00 · 2857.142856 @ 0.070
BUY·2d agostale·0x1b6d…2f1awhy? →
Over on Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 0.5
-$500.00 · 1428.571427 @ 0.350
BUY·2d agostale·0x1b6d…2f1awhy? →
Over on Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5
-$500.00 · 1709.401708 @ 0.292
BUY·2d agostale·0x1b6d…2f1awhy? →
Over on Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 1.5
-$200.00 · 1052.631577 @ 0.190
BUY·3d agostale·0x1b6d…2f1awhy? →
Yes on Lionel Messi: 2+ goals
-$300.00 · 3750 @ 0.080
BUY·3d agostale·0x1b6d…2f1awhy? →
Over on Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 1.5
-$500.00 · 1923.076922 @ 0.260
BUY·3d agostale·0x1b6d…2f1awhy? →
Yes on Michael Olise: 1+ goals
-$300.00 · 3333.333332 @ 0.090
BUY·7d agostale·0x1b6d…2f1awhy? →
Over on France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5
-$300.00 · 625 @ 0.480
BUY·7d agostale·0x1b6d…2f1awhy? →
Over on France vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 1.5
-$300.00 · 1000 @ 0.300
SELL·10d agostale·0x1b6d…2f1awhy? →
Over on Norway vs. England: 1st Half O/U 1.5
-$4.94 · 4942.49 @ 0.999
BUY·10d agostale·0x1b6d…2f1awhy? →
Over on Argentina vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 1.5
-$730.00 · 2920 @ 0.250
BUY·10d agostale·0x1b6d…2f1awhy? →
Over on Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5
-$300.00 · 771.821729 @ 0.389
BUY·10d agostale·0x1b6d…2f1awhy? →
Over on Norway vs. England: O/U 3.5
-$300.00 · 1463.414633 @ 0.205
BUY·10d agostale·0x1b6d…2f1awhy? →
Over on Norway vs. England: 1st Half O/U 1.5
+$1.66k · 1928.571427 @ 0.140
BUY·10d agostale·0x1b6d…2f1awhy? →
Over on Norway vs. England: 1st Half O/U 1.5
+$1.82k · 2098.76 @ 0.130
BUY·10d agostale·0x1b6d…2f1awhy? →
Over on Norway vs. England: 1st Half O/U 1.5
+$615.17 · 915.166665 @ 0.328
BUY·11d agostale·0x1b6d…2f1awhy? →
Over on Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5
+$312.24 · 612.244896 @ 0.490
BUY·11d agostale·0x1b6d…2f1awhy? →
Over on Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5
-$300.00 · 1043.478259 @ 0.287
SELL·11d agostale·0x1b6d…2f1awhy? →
Over on Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 1.5
-$792.87 · 1299.79 @ 0.390
BUY·11d agostale·0x1b6d…2f1awhy? →
Over on Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 1.5
+$2.44k · 2941.176469 @ 0.170
BUY·11d agostale·0x1b6d…2f1awhy? →
Over on Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 1.5
+$669.57 · 869.565216 @ 0.230
BUY·11d agostale·0x1b6d…2f1awhy? →
Over on Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 1.5
+$223.46 · 306.11 @ 0.270
BUY·11d agostale·0x1b6d…2f1awhy? →
Over on Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 1.5
+$582.35 · 882.35294 @ 0.340
SELL·12d agostale·0x1b6d…2f1awhy? →
Over on France vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5
-$12.12 · 4848.48 @ 0.998
BUY·12d agostale·0x1b6d…2f1awhy? →
Over on France vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5
+$2.85k · 4848.484847 @ 0.412
BUY·12d agostale·0x1b6d…2f1awhy? →
Over on France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5
-$1000.00 · 3955.303234 @ 0.253
BUY·12d agostale·0x1b6d…2f1awhy? →
Over on France vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 1.5
-$500.00 · 4166.666665 @ 0.120
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.