⌘K
← leaderboard
MA

marl57

0x1a12…ec08polymarket ↗last active 1h ago
All-time PnL
-$402.57
Win rate
63.3%
63 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
-$8.22
30d PnL
-$630.00
30d trades
45
30d wins
21
46.7%
30d volume
$4.39k
Category edge
Crypto
10.0%
-42.6pp
n=10
Sports
54.0%
+2.9pp
n=87

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
49.0% (48 wins / 50 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 11 markets — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 23-day series
$611.80
-$173.20
Trading pattern
Sports Specialisttwo-sidedsmall-sizecategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Sports 88%
Why Sports Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Sports 88% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Sports specialist.
Directional bias: +0.24 (two-sided)Trades both sides fairly evenly — no strong directional lean.
Entry pricing: avg 0.70Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $81Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 1.08 (varied)Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 70¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $81.20 · p90 $289.05
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Wed 12:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
BUY·1h ago·0x1a12…ec08why? →
Yes on Will AS Roma win on 2026-09-19?
220 @ 0.840
BUY·3d agostale·0x1a12…ec08why? →
No on Will Valencia CF win on 2026-09-15?
-$420.00 · 500 @ 0.840
BUY·4d agostale·0x1a12…ec08why? →
Yes on Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-14?
+$136.00 · 400 @ 0.660
BUY·4d agostale·0x1a12…ec08why? →
Yes on Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-14?
+$21.82 · 53.23 @ 0.590
BUY·6d agostale·0x1a12…ec08why? →
Spain on Spain vs. Germany
+$16.00 · 49.99 @ 0.680
BUY·9d agostale·0x1a12…ec08why? →
FK Shakhtar Donetsk on Spread: PSV (-1.5)
+$105.00 · 250 @ 0.580
BUY·9d agostale·0x1a12…ec08why? →
Belgium on Belgium vs. Germany/South Korea
-$108.00 · 150 @ 0.720
BUY·9d agostale·0x1a12…ec08why? →
Belgium on Belgium vs. Germany/South Korea
-$7.10 · 10 @ 0.710
BUY·10d agostale·0x1a12…ec08why? →
No on FC Barcelona vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: Both Teams to Score
-$89.26 · 137.32 @ 0.650
SELL·10d agostale·0x1a12…ec08why? →
Feyenoord Rotterdam on Spread: FC Barcelona (-3.5)
+$185.25 · 325 @ 0.570
SELL·10d agostale·0x1a12…ec08why? →
Yes on Will Ghana win on 2026-09-09?
-$0.03 · 29.96 @ 0.999
BUY·10d agostale·0x1a12…ec08why? →
DPR Korea on Spread: DPR Korea (-1.5)
+$1.00 · 5 @ 0.800
BUY·10d agostale·0x1a12…ec08why? →
Yes on Will Pyramids FC win on 2026-09-08?
+$28.00 · 200 @ 0.860
BUY·10d agostale·0x1a12…ec08why? →
Yes on Will DPR Korea win on 2026-09-10?
+$20.00 · 166.67 @ 0.880
BUY·10d agostale·0x1a12…ec08why? →
Yes on Will DPR Korea win on 2026-09-10?
+$4.33 · 33.33 @ 0.870
SELL·10d agostale·0x1a12…ec08why? →
New Zealand on Spread: Italy (-2.5)
+$45.00 · 60 @ 0.750
BUY·10d agostale·0x1a12…ec08why? →
New Zealand on Spread: Italy (-2.5)
-$216.00 · 300 @ 0.720
BUY·10d agostale·0x1a12…ec08why? →
Under on Pohang Steelers FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: O/U 0.5
+$2.48 · 33.81 @ 0.927
BUY·10d agostale·0x1a12…ec08why? →
Under on Gangwon FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: O/U 2.5
+$36.75 · 105 @ 0.650
BUY·10d agostale·0x1a12…ec08why? →
Under on Gangwon FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: O/U 2.5
+$22.19 · 61.65 @ 0.640
BUY·10d agostale·0x1a12…ec08why? →
Feyenoord Rotterdam on Spread: FC Barcelona (-3.5)
-$15.00 · 25 @ 0.600
BUY·10d agostale·0x1a12…ec08why? →
Yes on Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?
-$43.20 · 90 @ 0.480
BUY·10d agostale·0x1a12…ec08why? →
Real Betis Balompié on Spread: Lille OSC (-1.5)
+$10.00 · 100 @ 0.900
BUY·11d agostale·0x1a12…ec08why? →
Yes on Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-09-07?
+$14.40 · 180 @ 0.920
SELL·11d agostale·0x1a12…ec08why? →
China on Italy vs. China
-$0.15 · 150 @ 0.999
BUY·11d agostale·0x1a12…ec08why? →
China on Italy vs. China
+$4.50 · 100 @ 0.955
BUY·11d agostale·0x1a12…ec08why? →
China on Italy vs. China
+$2.00 · 50 @ 0.960
BUY·12d agostale·0x1a12…ec08why? →
Spain on Japan vs. Spain
+$6.20 · 34.45 @ 0.820
BUY·12d agostale·0x1a12…ec08why? →
Spain on Japan vs. Spain
+$19.50 · 150 @ 0.870
BUY·27d agostale·0x1a12…ec08why? →
Aston Villa FC on Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-1.5)
-$135.73 · 169.66 @ 0.800
BUY·27d agostale·0x1a12…ec08why? →
Yes on Will SSV Jeddeloh II vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 end in a draw?
-$102.96 · 396 @ 0.260
BUY·27d agostale·0x1a12…ec08why? →
SSV Jeddeloh II on Spread: 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 (-2.5)
+$52.00 · 200 @ 0.740
BUY·27d agostale·0x1a12…ec08why? →
No on Will VfL Bochum win on 2026-08-23?
-$192.00 · 300 @ 0.640
BUY·27d agostale·0x1a12…ec08why? →
SSV Jeddeloh II on Spread: 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 (-2.5)
+$16.20 · 60 @ 0.730
BUY·28d agostale·0x1a12…ec08why? →
Yes on Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-08-22?
+$58.00 · 200 @ 0.710
BUY·28d agostale·0x1a12…ec08why? →
Yes on Will Everton FC win on 2026-08-22?
+$3.85 · 77 @ 0.950
BUY·28d agostale·0x1a12…ec08why? →
Under on Lüneburger SK Hansa vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 4.5
+$24.80 · 80 @ 0.690
BUY·28d agostale·0x1a12…ec08why? →
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim on Spread: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (-2.5)
+$2.80 · 40 @ 0.930
BUY·28d agostale·0x1a12…ec08why? →
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim on Spread: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (-2.5)
+$3.00 · 50 @ 0.940
SELL·28d agostale·0x1a12…ec08why? →
Under on FC Energie Cottbus vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 2.5
-$0.21 · 205.1 @ 0.999
BUY·28d agostale·0x1a12…ec08why? →
No on Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-08-22?
+$1.05 · 15 @ 0.930
BUY·28d agostale·0x1a12…ec08why? →
Under on FC Energie Cottbus vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 2.5
+$36.92 · 205.1 @ 0.820
BUY·28d agostale·0x1a12…ec08why? →
Yes on Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-21?
+$0.05 · 3.02 @ 0.982
BUY·29d agostale·0x1a12…ec08why? →
SC St. Tönis 11/20 on Spread: Eintracht Frankfurt (-2.5)
-$8.50 · 94.44 @ 0.090
BUY·29d agostale·0x1a12…ec08why? →
Over on SC St. Tönis 11/20 vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 5.5
+$0.00 · 0.01 @ 0.600
SELL·41d agostale·0x1a12…ec08why? →
Over on FC Groningen vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 2.5
-$0.27 · 271.99 @ 0.999
SELL·41d agostale·0x1a12…ec08why? →
No on Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-09?
-$0.27 · 266.26 @ 0.999
SELL·41d agostale·0x1a12…ec08why? →
Yes on Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-08-09?
-$0.03 · 30.76 @ 0.999
SELL·45d agostale·0x1a12…ec08why? →
No on Chelsea FC vs. Juventus Turin: Both Teams to Score
-$0.01 · 6.9 @ 0.999
SELL·45d agostale·0x1a12…ec08why? →
Over on K-League Allstars vs. Manchester City: O/U 4.5
+$43.30 · 96.66 @ 0.448
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.