SMU on SMU vs. Louisville
— 1873.87 @ 0.450
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ME
memevc
All-time PnL
$432.85
Win rate
33.3%
13 of 40
Total trades
40
Avg PnL / trade
$144.29
30d PnL
$0.00
30d trades
13
30d wins
0
0.0%
30d volume
$9.62k
Category edge
Sports
46.2%
-4.6pp
n=13
vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice
Signal hit rate
35.0% (7 wins / 13 misses)⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 3 markets — verify independentlyCumulative PnL · 14-day series
$70.98
-$8.31k
Trading pattern
Sports-Leaningsell-heavysmall-sizeSell-leaning · Sports 50%
Why Sports-Leaninghigh confidence · 40 trades
Category focus: Sports 50% of categorized trades — a lean toward Sports without full specialization.
Directional bias: -0.50 (sell-heavy) — Mostly sells outcomes — tends to fade/short rather than back them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.45 — Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $175 — Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 1.03 (varied) — Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.
Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.
Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 45¢ · 40 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $174.60 · p90 $1.09k
Activity · UTC
00h12h23h
peak Sat 21:00 · 40 trades
Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.
Recent trades
EXPORT
Under on Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5
— +$1.18k · 2613.33 @ 0.450
Lions on Lions vs. Bills
— +$1.18k · 3920 @ 0.300
Yes on Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
— 733.56 @ 0.711
Giants on Cowboys vs. Giants
— -$1.78k · 2867.27 @ 0.380
No on Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-13?
— +$909.84 · 1716.68 @ 0.530
Yes on Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
— -$984.95 · 1931.28 @ 0.490
No on Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
— 1416.87 @ 0.830
No on Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
— 169.84 @ 0.830
No on Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
— 77.96 @ 0.829
Yes on Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
— 5113.04 @ 0.220
No on Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?
— -$137.89 · 404.25 @ 0.659
Yes on No one announced as next James Bond?
— 854.15 @ 0.216
Yes on US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
— 295.95 @ 0.820
No on Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
— -$129.77 · 720.95 @ 0.820
No on Will Euphoria be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?
— 268.73 @ 0.725
No on LA28 Olympics run as scheduled?
— 42.37 @ 0.117
No on LA28 Olympics run as scheduled?
— 42.37288 @ 0.118
No on Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
— 387.14 @ 0.460
Yes on Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
— 1068.625 @ 0.160
Yes on Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
— 279.1094 @ 0.208
Yes on Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
— 497.543668 @ 0.108
No on Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?
— +$980.00 · 1484.85 @ 0.660
Over on Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5
— -$756.49 · 1719.3 @ 0.560
Yes on Iran full airspace closure by July 31?
— -$27.70 · 200 @ 0.139
Yes on Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?
— -$461.18 · 1441.18 @ 0.680
No on Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?
— -$6.02k · 7000 @ 0.140
Under on Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 8.5 Total Corners
— +$463.38 · 965.384614 @ 0.520
Yes on Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?
— 408.45 @ 0.198
Yes on Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
— 2.27 @ 0.267
Yes on Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
— 626.918628 @ 0.262
Yes on Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
— 228.125 @ 0.160
Yes on Over $25M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?
— -$5.40 · 30 @ 0.820
Yes on Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win MSI 2026?
— -$118.35 · 200 @ 0.408
Yes on Will France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
— -$73.40 · 200 @ 0.633
No on Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
— -$236.60 · 364 @ 0.350
No on Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?
— +$73.79 · 115.29 @ 0.640
Yes on Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
— 217.78 @ 0.368
No on Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
— +$83.98 · 279.93 @ 0.300
No on Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
— -$86.78 · 279.935482 @ 0.310
Integrity indicators
No anomalies detected for this trader.
Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.