No on Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?
— 525 @ 0.900
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SU
SupercubPA18
All-time PnL
-$609.66
Win rate
67.9%
68 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
-$21.60
30d PnL
-$604.79
30d trades
100
30d wins
19
19.0%
30d volume
$10.1k
Category edge
Politics
60.5%
+1.0pp
n=76
vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice
Signal hit rate
60.5% (46 wins / 30 misses)⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 21 markets — verify independentlyCumulative PnL · 10-day series
$71.54
-$539.87
Trading pattern
Politics Specialisttwo-sidedsmall-sizefavorite-backercategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Politics 98%
Why Politics Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Politics 98% of categorized trades — ≥60% concentrated in one category → a Politics specialist.
Directional bias: +0.28 (two-sided) — Trades both sides fairly evenly — no strong directional lean.
Entry pricing: avg 0.81 — Enters at favorite prices (>0.70) — backs likely outcomes.
Typical position size: median $47 — Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 2.04 (varied) — Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.
Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.
Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 81¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $47.30 · p90 $178.40
Activity · UTC
00h12h23h
peak Mon 15:00 · 100 trades
Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.
Recent trades
EXPORT
No on Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?
— 100.42 @ 0.926
No on Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?
— 337.42 @ 0.995
No on Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?
— 44.84 @ 0.770
Yes on Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?
— 10 @ 0.200
No on Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?
— 398.99 @ 0.950
No on Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?
— 34.27 @ 0.690
No on Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?
— 8.52 @ 0.700
No on Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?
— 173 @ 0.700
No on Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?
— +$1.61 · 96 @ 0.017
No on Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?
— 33 @ 0.770
No on Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?
— 11.84 @ 0.760
No on Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?
— 87.49 @ 0.910
No on Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?
— -$90.24 · 96 @ 0.940
No on Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?
— 68 @ 0.870
No on Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?
— 128.3 @ 0.840
No on Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?
— 149 @ 0.900
No on Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?
— 19.42 @ 0.900
No on Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?
— -$3.79 · 46.22 @ 0.918
No on Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?
— 109 @ 0.860
No on Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?
— -$1.15 · 18.78 @ 0.939
No on Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?
— 555 @ 0.880
No on Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?
— +$4.55 · 65 @ 0.930
No on Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?
— 109 @ 0.790
No on Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026?
— +$13.60 · 200 @ 0.932
No on Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?
— -$1.10 · 10 @ 0.110
No on Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?
— -$13.15 · 136.98 @ 0.904
No on Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?
— -$0.55 · 5.01 @ 0.890
No on Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?
— 100 @ 0.957
No on Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?
— +$7.42 · 130.99 @ 0.943
No on Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?
— 187.99 @ 0.949
No on Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?
— 49.43 @ 0.947
No on Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?
— -$3.93 · 107 @ 0.963
No on Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?
— +$0.98 · 6 @ 0.837
No on Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?
— -$1.50 · 50 @ 0.970
No on Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?
— +$0.95 · 5 @ 0.809
No on Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026?
— +$13.05 · 50 @ 0.261
No on Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026?
— +$40.65 · 150 @ 0.271
No on Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
— 2000 @ 0.840
No on Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?
— 1403.03 @ 0.770
No on Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026?
— -$5.63 · 8 @ 0.704
No on Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026?
— +$8.89 · 31.86 @ 0.721
No on Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?
— +$132.10 · 264.2 @ 0.500
No on Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026?
— -$510.78 · 705.19 @ 0.276
No on Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026?
— -$9.03 · 15 @ 0.398
No on Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?
— +$1.21 · 13 @ 0.907
No on Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?
— +$1.95 · 21 @ 0.907
No on Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?
— +$6.72 · 73 @ 0.908
No on Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?
— +$0.33 · 5 @ 0.933
No on Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?
— +$0.34 · 5 @ 0.932
Integrity indicators
No anomalies detected for this trader.
Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.