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arena113

0x16f1…e1d1polymarket ↗last active 18m ago
All-time PnL
-$774.81
Win rate
51.1%
51 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
-$16.49
30d PnL
-$314.90
30d trades
52
30d wins
12
23.1%
30d volume
$5.38k
Category edge
Sports
50.5%
-0.8pp
n=97

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
51.0% (50 wins / 48 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 8 markets — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 40-day series
$97.67
-$848.32
Trading pattern
Sports Specialisttwo-sidedsmall-sizecategory-focusedBalanced · Sports 98%
Why Sports Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Sports 98% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Sports specialist.
Directional bias: +0.00 (two-sided)Trades both sides fairly evenly — no strong directional lean.
Entry pricing: avg 0.58Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $69Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 1.26 (varied)Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 58¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $68.64 · p90 $299.70
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Sun 09:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
BUY·18m ago·0x16f1…e1d1why? →
DN SOOPers Challengers on LoL: Fuego vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group A
260.09 @ 0.840
BUY·19h agoageing·0x16f1…e1d1why? →
JD Gaming on LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winner
+$25.04 · 131.78 @ 0.810
SELL·2d agostale·0x16f1…e1d1why? →
Invictus Gaming on LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs
+$17.00 · 25 @ 0.680
SELL·4d agostale·0x16f1…e1d1why? →
T1 Academy on Game Handicap: T1.A (-1.5) vs KT Rolster Challengers (+1.5)
-$0.10 · 100 @ 0.999
BUY·6d agostale·0x16f1…e1d1why? →
White Dragons on LoL: The Otter Side vs White Dragons (BO5) - LPLOL Playoffs
+$44.00 · 200 @ 0.780
BUY·6d agostale·0x16f1…e1d1why? →
Anyones Legend on LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 4 Winner
-$123.40 · 146.9 @ 0.840
BUY·6d agostale·0x16f1…e1d1why? →
Anyones Legend on LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 4 Winner
-$3.00 · 5 @ 0.600
SELL·7d agostale·0x16f1…e1d1why? →
Team Vitality on LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner
-$0.06 · 59.99 @ 0.999
SELL·8d agostale·0x16f1…e1d1why? →
Cupid Esports on LoL: Cupid Esports vs Maryville University - Game 2 Winner
-$0.07 · 70 @ 0.999
SELL·8d agostale·0x16f1…e1d1why? →
Natus Vincere on LoL: GIANTX vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - LEC Playoffs
-$1.40 · 140.02 @ 0.990
SELL·9d agostale·0x16f1…e1d1why? →
Winthrop University on LoL: Winthrop University vs Maryville University - Game 3 Winner
-$0.10 · 100 @ 0.999
SELL·9d agostale·0x16f1…e1d1why? →
Winthrop University on LoL: Winthrop University vs Maryville University (BO5) - North American Challengers League Playoffs
+$13.00 · 100 @ 0.130
BUY·9d agostale·0x16f1…e1d1why? →
Dplus KIA Challengers on LoL: T1 Academy vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs
-$50.00 · 200 @ 0.250
BUY·10d agostale·0x16f1…e1d1why? →
Maryville University on LoL: Maryville University vs NRG Esports - Game 4 Winner
+$24.42 · 222 @ 0.890
SELL·10d agostale·0x16f1…e1d1why? →
Zena Esports on LoL: GMBLERS ESPORTS vs Zena Esports (BO5) - LIT Playoffs
-$0.30 · 300 @ 0.999
BUY·10d agostale·0x16f1…e1d1why? →
Zena Esports on LoL: GMBLERS ESPORTS vs Zena Esports (BO5) - LIT Playoffs
+$51.00 · 300 @ 0.830
SELL·10d agostale·0x16f1…e1d1why? →
Lodis on LoL: devils.one vs Lodis (BO5) - Rift Legends Playoffs
-$0.59 · 593.31 @ 0.999
SELL·10d agostale·0x16f1…e1d1why? →
DN SOOPers Challengers on LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs
-$0.18 · 184.35 @ 0.999
SELL·10d agostale·0x16f1…e1d1why? →
Yes on Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
200 @ 0.200
BUY·10d agostale·0x16f1…e1d1why? →
Nongshim Esports Academy on LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs
-$42.50 · 62.5 @ 0.680
BUY·11d agostale·0x16f1…e1d1why? →
VfB eSports on LoL: VfB eSports vs CGN Esports (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division Promotion Playoffs
-$32.00 · 100 @ 0.320
SELL·13d agostale·0x16f1…e1d1why? →
Karmine Corp on LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner
-$0.20 · 200 @ 0.999
SELL·13d agostale·0x16f1…e1d1why? →
FURIA Esports on LoL: FURIA Esports vs RED Canids - Game 1 Winner
-$0.20 · 200 @ 0.999
BUY·13d agostale·0x16f1…e1d1why? →
T1 on LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner
-$140.00 · 200 @ 0.700
SELL·13d agostale·0x16f1…e1d1why? →
Team WE on LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
+$6.47 · 300 @ 0.022
BUY·14d agostale·0x16f1…e1d1why? →
Vivo Keyd Stars on LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs paiN Gaming (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs
-$181.97 · 284.49 @ 0.640
BUY·14d agostale·0x16f1…e1d1why? →
Vivo Keyd Stars on LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs paiN Gaming - Game 2 Winner
-$1.19 · 1.95 @ 0.610
SELL·14d agostale·0x16f1…e1d1why? →
Team Vitality on LoL: Team Vitality vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winner
+$8.00 · 200 @ 0.040
SELL·14d agostale·0x16f1…e1d1why? →
Top Esports on LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
+$0.33 · 5 @ 0.065
SELL·16d agostale·0x16f1…e1d1why? →
BNK FEARX on LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Playoffs
+$36.00 · 400 @ 0.090
SELL·16d agostale·0x16f1…e1d1why? →
BNK FEARX on LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner
-$0.20 · 199.98 @ 0.999
BUY·16d agostale·0x16f1…e1d1why? →
BNK FEARX on LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner
+$44.00 · 100 @ 0.560
SELL·17d agostale·0x16f1…e1d1why? →
T1 on LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner
+$10.00 · 100 @ 0.100
BUY·17d agostale·0x16f1…e1d1why? →
T1 on LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner
-$31.53 · 76.9 @ 0.410
SELL·19d agostale·0x16f1…e1d1why? →
Arctic Pandas on LoL: Verdant vs Arctic Pandas - Game 2 Winner
-$7.90 · 10 @ 0.210
SELL·20d agostale·0x16f1…e1d1why? →
JD Gaming on LoL: JD Gaming vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
+$1.17 · 39 @ 0.030
BUY·20d agostale·0x16f1…e1d1why? →
KT Rolster on LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner
+$2.66 · 8.54 @ 0.689
SELL·20d agostale·0x16f1…e1d1why? →
Dplus KIA on LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Playoffs
+$120.00 · 200 @ 0.600
SELL·21d agostale·0x16f1…e1d1why? →
RED Canids on LoL: LOUD vs RED Canids - Game 1 Winner
+$65.60 · 199.99 @ 0.328
BUY·21d agostale·0x16f1…e1d1why? →
Top Esports on LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
-$180.00 · 300 @ 0.600
SELL·21d agostale·0x16f1…e1d1why? →
LGD Gaming on LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
-$2.50 · 5 @ 0.500
BUY·21d agostale·0x16f1…e1d1why? →
BNK FEARX on LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 3 Winner
+$70.27 · 152.77 @ 0.540
SELL·22d agostale·0x16f1…e1d1why? →
HANJIN BRION on LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Play-In
+$6.90 · 599.99 @ 0.011
BUY·23d agostale·0x16f1…e1d1why? →
BNK FEARX on LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX - Game 4 Winner
+$56.00 · 400 @ 0.860
SELL·23d agostale·0x16f1…e1d1why? →
Nongshim Red Force on LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX - Game 3 Winner
+$10.00 · 200 @ 0.050
BUY·24d agostale·0x16f1…e1d1why? →
KT Rolster on LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - LCK Play-In
+$67.00 · 100 @ 0.330
BUY·25d agostale·0x16f1…e1d1why? →
Lenovo Legion Honvéd on LoL: MAGAZA vs Lenovo Legion Honvéd (BO5) - EBL Playoffs
+$3.70 · 10 @ 0.630
BUY·27d agostale·0x16f1…e1d1why? →
DN SOOPers Challengers on LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 2 Winner
+$43.00 · 100 @ 0.570
BUY·27d agostale·0x16f1…e1d1why? →
T1 on LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner
-$43.00 · 100 @ 0.430
BUY·27d agostale·0x16f1…e1d1why? →
LGD Gaming on LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner
+$28.21 · 128.205127 @ 0.780
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.