Yes on Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-09-18?
— 158.07777 @ 0.900
← leaderboard
AN
anon1385
All-time PnL
$79.73
Win rate
57.1%
57 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
$4.02
30d PnL
$84.32
30d trades
99
30d wins
12
12.1%
30d volume
$2.32k
Category edge
Crypto
44.4%
-35.6pp
n=9
World
87.5%
-1.4pp
n=8
Politics
88.9%
+0.4pp
n=18
vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice
Signal hit rate
71.1% (32 wins / 13 misses)⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 12 markets — verify independentlyCumulative PnL · 16-day series
$86.38
$0.00
Trading pattern
Politics-Leaningbuy-heavysmall-sizeBuy-leaning · Politics 37%
Why Politics-Leaninghigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Politics 37% of categorized trades — a lean toward Politics without full specialization.
Directional bias: +0.56 (buy-heavy) — Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.54 — Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $11 — Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 1.26 (varied) — Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.
Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.
Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 54¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $11.00 · p90 $55.00
Activity · UTC
00h12h23h
peak Tue 22:00 · 100 trades
Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.
Recent trades
EXPORT
No on Will CDU win less than 8% of all valid second votes?
— 66.85 @ 0.090
No on Will CDU win less than 8% of all valid second votes?
— 122 @ 0.110
No on Israel closes its airspace by September 30?
— 0.2 @ 0.017
No on Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 45 and 50 million views in week 1?
— 61.92 @ 0.250
No on Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 45 and 50 million views in week 1?
— 61.91 @ 0.400
No on Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
— 89.383117 @ 0.615
No on Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?
— 275.71 @ 0.410
No on Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?
— 23.809524 @ 0.420
No on Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?
— 251.90762 @ 0.417
No on Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 45 and 50 million views in week 1?
— 62.962963 @ 0.540
No on Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 45 and 50 million views in week 1?
— 60.867119 @ 0.575
No on Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?
— 79.08 @ 0.980
No on Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?
— 69.084629 @ 0.579
No on US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
— 12.643676 @ 0.870
No on Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?
— 44.325582 @ 0.429
No on Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?
— 50 @ 0.400
No on Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?
— 9.99 @ 0.400
No on Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?
— 87.813621 @ 0.558
Yes on Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026?
— 12 @ 0.250
Yes on Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026?
— 7.068966 @ 0.283
No on NATO downs another Russian drone by September 15?
— 32.5 @ 0.400
No on NATO downs another Russian drone by September 15?
— 50 @ 0.600
No on Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?
— 92.436975 @ 0.595
No on Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win less than 27% of all valid votes?
— -$0.88 · 88.33 @ 0.990
No on Will the Moderate Party (M) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
— +$9.95 · 109.945055 @ 0.910
No on Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win less than 27% of all valid votes?
— +$18.33 · 73.333332 @ 0.750
Yes on Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
— +$1.80 · 9 @ 0.200
No on Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?
— 16.949153 @ 0.590
No on Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
— 0.59 @ 0.720
No on Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?
— 38.26678 @ 0.575
No on Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?
— 54.256667 @ 0.553
No on Will CDU win less than 8% of all valid second votes?
— 31 @ 0.290
No on Will CDU win less than 8% of all valid second votes?
— 37.931035 @ 0.290
No on Will CDU win less than 8% of all valid second votes?
— 31.034483 @ 0.290
No on Will CDU win less than 8% of all valid second votes?
— 88.888889 @ 0.270
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET
— +$11.23 · 36.231883 @ 0.690
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET
— -$1.00 · 50 @ 0.020
No on Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?
— 2 @ 0.590
Yes on Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
— +$0.36 · 0.8 @ 0.450
No on Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
— 0.63 @ 0.850
No on Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?
— 104.53 @ 0.630
Yes on LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?
— -$20.00 · 60.606061 @ 0.330
No on LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?
— -$7.00 · 13.461539 @ 0.520
No on LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?
— -$9.00 · 17.307693 @ 0.520
No on LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?
— -$9.00 · 17.307693 @ 0.520
No on Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?
— 4.065041 @ 0.492
No on Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?
— 18 @ 0.500
No on Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?
— 32 @ 0.500
No on Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?
— 50.469925 @ 0.495
Integrity indicators
No anomalies detected for this trader.
Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.