No on Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
— 1604.18 @ 0.050
← leaderboard
VA
valetecaolho
All-time PnL
$40.81
Win rate
100.0%
100 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
$20.44
30d PnL
$40.87
30d trades
100
30d wins
2
2.0%
30d volume
$10.9k
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 7 markets — verify independentlyTrading pattern
Politics Specialistbuy-heavysmall-sizelongshot-huntercategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Politics 100%
Why Politics Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Politics 100% of categorized trades — ≥60% concentrated in one category → a Politics specialist.
Directional bias: +0.82 (buy-heavy) — Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.23 — Enters at long-odds prices (<0.30) — a longshot-hunter pattern.
Typical position size: median $33 — Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 2.50 (varied) — Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.
Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.
Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 23¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $32.70 · p90 $205.72
Activity · UTC
00h12h23h
peak Thu 16:00 · 100 trades
Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.
Recent trades
EXPORT
No on Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
— 16687.97 @ 0.049
No on Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
— 10 @ 0.043
No on Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
— 134.66 @ 0.260
No on Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
— 156.66 @ 0.260
No on Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?
— 60 @ 0.540
No on Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
— 5.61 @ 0.039
No on Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
— 512.41 @ 0.038
No on Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
— 4682.23 @ 0.040
Yes on Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?
— 31.22 @ 0.258
No on Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?
— 50 @ 0.430
No on Will Jaques Wagner win the second-most votes in the 2026 Bahia Senate election?
— 50 @ 0.370
No on Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
— 200 @ 0.033
No on Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
— 818.42 @ 0.034
No on Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
— 150 @ 0.240
No on Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?
— 30 @ 0.380
Yes on Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Bahia?
— 5 @ 0.002
No on Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Bahia?
— 50 @ 0.030
No on Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?
— 19.98 @ 0.320
No on Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
— 594.55 @ 0.037
No on Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
— 200 @ 0.260
No on Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
— 1510.96 @ 0.036
No on Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
— 750 @ 0.250
Yes on Will Domingos Sávio win the second-most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?
— 28 @ 0.430
No on Will Benedita da Silva win the most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election?
— 220 @ 0.540
No on Will Manuela D'Ávila win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?
— 110 @ 0.750
Yes on Will Guilherme Derrite win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?
— 10 @ 0.770
Yes on Will Augusto Cury finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
— 5910.55 @ 0.001
Yes on Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
— 900 @ 0.241
Yes on Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
— 41.56 @ 0.238
No on Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
— 901.2 @ 0.240
No on Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
— 556.09 @ 0.043
Yes on Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?
— 208.07 @ 0.180
Yes on Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?
— 200 @ 0.190
Yes on Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?
— 783.39 @ 0.183
Yes on Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?
— 743.66 @ 0.120
Yes on Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?
— 600 @ 0.230
Yes on Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
— 200 @ 0.240
No on Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
— 450.1 @ 0.240
No on Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
— 118.61 @ 0.046
No on Will Benedita da Silva win the most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election?
— 37.09 @ 0.460
No on Will Jaques Wagner win the second-most votes in the 2026 Bahia Senate election?
— 119 @ 0.440
Yes on Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Bahia?
— 44.893 @ 0.022
No on Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
— 200.29 @ 0.039
Yes on Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?
— 162.43 @ 0.316
No on Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?
— 32.95 @ 0.390
Yes on Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?
— 640 @ 0.310
No on Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
— 1232.94 @ 0.243
Yes on Will Augusto Cury finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
— 2559.09 @ 0.008
Yes on Will Augusto Cury finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
— 1106.4 @ 0.007
Integrity indicators
No anomalies detected for this trader.
Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.