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0x15FBFA17C966239e525467c93B6872613428d13A-1764575993832

0x15fb…d13apolymarket ↗last active 1h ago
All-time PnL
-$536.55
Win rate
58.8%
59 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
-$9.29
30d PnL
-$201.16
30d trades
80
30d wins
26
32.5%
30d volume
$29.0k
Category edge
Sports
54.3%
+3.1pp
n=94

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
54.3% (51 wins / 43 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 36 markets — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 23-day series
$203.23
-$525.76
Trading pattern
Sports Specialisttwo-sidedsmall-sizefavorite-backercategory-focusedBalanced · Sports 100%
Why Sports Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Sports 100% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Sports specialist.
Directional bias: +0.12 (two-sided)Trades both sides fairly evenly — no strong directional lean.
Entry pricing: avg 0.81Enters at favorite prices (>0.70) — backs likely outcomes.
Typical position size: median $300Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 0.51 (moderate)Stakes vary moderately across trades.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 81¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $300.00 · p90 $500.00
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Sat 17:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
SELL·1h ago·0x15fb…d13awhy? →
Texas State on North Texas vs. Texas State
579.16 @ 0.720
BUY·1h ago·0x15fb…d13awhy? →
North Carolina on North Carolina vs. Clemson
473.684208 @ 0.760
BUY·1h ago·0x15fb…d13awhy? →
Texas State on North Texas vs. Texas State
579.16867 @ 0.829
SELL·13h agoageing·0x15fb…d13awhy? →
on Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5 AND San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
50.239684 @ 0.997
BUY·1d agostale·0x15fb…d13awhy? →
on Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5 AND San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
50.239684 @ 0.386
BUY·1d agostale·0x15fb…d13awhy? →
on Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets AND San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
52.654944 @ 0.368
SELL·1d agostale·0x15fb…d13awhy? →
Bills on Lions vs. Bills
-$0.83 · 831.09 @ 0.999
BUY·1d agostale·0x15fb…d13awhy? →
Bills on Lions vs. Bills
+$58.18 · 831.096771 @ 0.930
SELL·4d agostale·0x15fb…d13awhy? →
Chiefs on Broncos vs. Chiefs
-$0.78 · 776.09 @ 0.999
BUY·4d agostale·0x15fb…d13awhy? →
Chiefs on Broncos vs. Chiefs
+$93.13 · 776.090908 @ 0.880
SELL·5d agostale·0x15fb…d13awhy? →
Raiders on Dolphins vs. Raiders
-$0.47 · 465.11 @ 0.999
SELL·5d agostale·0x15fb…d13awhy? →
Cardinals on Cardinals vs. Chargers
-$0.22 · 221.41 @ 0.999
BUY·5d agostale·0x15fb…d13awhy? →
Cardinals on Cardinals vs. Chargers
+$48.71 · 221.410257 @ 0.780
SELL·5d agostale·0x15fb…d13awhy? →
Packers on Packers vs. Vikings
+$176.80 · 229.61 @ 0.770
BUY·5d agostale·0x15fb…d13awhy? →
Packers on Packers vs. Vikings
-$202.06 · 229.613633 @ 0.880
SELL·5d agostale·0x15fb…d13awhy? →
Eagles on Commanders vs. Eagles
-$43.90 · 243.9 @ 0.820
BUY·5d agostale·0x15fb…d13awhy? →
Eagles on Commanders vs. Eagles
+$43.90 · 243.902438 @ 0.820
SELL·5d agostale·0x15fb…d13awhy? →
Chargers on Cardinals vs. Chargers
+$202.55 · 285.28 @ 0.710
BUY·5d agostale·0x15fb…d13awhy? →
Raiders on Dolphins vs. Raiders
+$65.12 · 465.116278 @ 0.860
BUY·5d agostale·0x15fb…d13awhy? →
Chargers on Cardinals vs. Chargers
-$241.00 · 285.285406 @ 0.845
SELL·5d agostale·0x15fb…d13awhy? →
Vikings on Packers vs. Vikings
-$433.89 · 611.11 @ 0.290
BUY·5d agostale·0x15fb…d13awhy? →
Vikings on Packers vs. Vikings
+$336.11 · 611.111112 @ 0.450
SELL·5d agostale·0x15fb…d13awhy? →
Bengals on Buccaneers vs. Bengals
-$0.34 · 341.63 @ 0.999
SELL·5d agostale·0x15fb…d13awhy? →
Steelers on Falcons vs. Steelers
-$87.43 · 514.27 @ 0.830
BUY·5d agostale·0x15fb…d13awhy? →
Steelers on Falcons vs. Steelers
+$51.43 · 514.27777 @ 0.900
BUY·5d agostale·0x15fb…d13awhy? →
Jets on Jets vs. Titans
+$37.60 · 469.97825 @ 0.920
SELL·5d agostale·0x15fb…d13awhy? →
Jaguars on Browns vs. Jaguars
-$3.94 · 438.09 @ 0.991
BUY·6d agostale·0x15fb…d13awhy? →
Bengals on Buccaneers vs. Bengals
+$47.83 · 341.639535 @ 0.860
BUY·6d agostale·0x15fb…d13awhy? →
Jaguars on Browns vs. Jaguars
+$39.43 · 438.0989 @ 0.910
BUY·6d agostale·0x15fb…d13awhy? →
Ohio State on Ohio State vs. Texas
-$293.90 · 333.977266 @ 0.880
BUY·6d agostale·0x15fb…d13awhy? →
Georgia State on Georgia State vs. Kennesaw State
+$35.17 · 390.802188 @ 0.910
BUY·6d agostale·0x15fb…d13awhy? →
Boise State on Memphis vs. Boise State
+$29.84 · 298.42222 @ 0.900
SELL·6d agostale·0x15fb…d13awhy? →
Mississippi State on Mississippi State vs. Minnesota
-$13.69 · 283.84 @ 0.952
BUY·6d agostale·0x15fb…d13awhy? →
Mississippi State on Mississippi State vs. Minnesota
+$65.28 · 283.844156 @ 0.770
SELL·6d agostale·0x15fb…d13awhy? →
Wake Forest on Wake Forest vs. Purdue
-$400.56 · 616.24 @ 0.350
SELL·6d agostale·0x15fb…d13awhy? →
Wake Forest on Wake Forest vs. Purdue
-$22.35 · 35 @ 0.361
BUY·7d agostale·0x15fb…d13awhy? →
Wake Forest on Wake Forest vs. Purdue
+$117.22 · 651.2439 @ 0.820
SELL·7d agostale·0x15fb…d13awhy? →
Kent State on Wofford vs. Kent State
-$128.93 · 429.77 @ 0.700
SELL·7d agostale·0x15fb…d13awhy? →
Kent State on Wofford vs. Kent State
-$9.60 · 30 @ 0.680
BUY·7d agostale·0x15fb…d13awhy? →
Kent State on Wofford vs. Kent State
+$59.77 · 459.770115 @ 0.870
BUY·8d agostale·0x15fb…d13awhy? →
49ers on 49ers vs. Rams
+$68.87 · 626.056172 @ 0.890
SELL·9d agostale·0x15fb…d13awhy? →
Seahawks on Patriots vs. Seahawks
-$5.65 · 565.3 @ 0.990
BUY·9d agostale·0x15fb…d13awhy? →
Seahawks on Patriots vs. Seahawks
+$192.20 · 565.303029 @ 0.660
SELL·9d agostale·0x15fb…d13awhy? →
Patriots on Patriots vs. Seahawks
+$195.12 · 609.75 @ 0.320
BUY·9d agostale·0x15fb…d13awhy? →
Patriots on Patriots vs. Seahawks
-$500.00 · 609.756094 @ 0.820
SELL·11d agostale·0x15fb…d13awhy? →
SMU on SMU vs. Florida State
-$108.14 · 348.83 @ 0.690
BUY·11d agostale·0x15fb…d13awhy? →
SMU on SMU vs. Florida State
+$48.84 · 348.837207 @ 0.860
SELL·12d agostale·0x15fb…d13awhy? →
Notre Dame on Wisconsin vs. Notre Dame
-$0.32 · 322.68 @ 0.999
BUY·12d agostale·0x15fb…d13awhy? →
Notre Dame on Wisconsin vs. Notre Dame
+$22.69 · 322.688171 @ 0.930
SELL·13d agostale·0x15fb…d13awhy? →
Oregon on Boise State vs. Oregon
-$84.24 · 326.12 @ 0.742
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.