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0x15Ad5A9847e97355A0b541E7Bd37c1643D0ec802-1771935951352

0x15ad…c802polymarket ↗last active 16m ago
All-time PnL
-$239.68
Win rate
43.0%
43 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
-$2.79
30d PnL
-$239.68
30d trades
100
30d wins
37
37.0%
30d volume
$2.35k
Category edge
Crypto
42.5%
-25.1pp
n=87

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
42.5% (37 wins / 50 misses)
Cumulative PnL · 1-day series
Not enough data to chart yet.
Trading pattern
Crypto Specialistbuy-heavysmall-sizecategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Crypto 100%
Why Crypto Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Crypto 100% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Crypto specialist.
Directional bias: +1.00 (buy-heavy)Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.50Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $20Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 0.44 (consistent)Stakes are uniform — systematic, flat-sizing behaviour.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 50¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $20.00 · p90 $50.00
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Tue 12:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
BUY·16m ago·0x15ad…c802why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET
98.137253 @ 0.509
BUY·16m ago·0x15ad…c802why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET
100 @ 0.500
BUY·17m ago·0x15ad…c802why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET
100 @ 0.500
BUY·17m ago·0x15ad…c802why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET
100 @ 0.500
BUY·18m ago·0x15ad…c802why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET
100 @ 0.500
BUY·18m ago·0x15ad…c802why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET
100 @ 0.500
BUY·18m ago·0x15ad…c802why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET
100 @ 0.500
BUY·19m ago·0x15ad…c802why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET
100 @ 0.500
BUY·19m ago·0x15ad…c802why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET
100 @ 0.500
BUY·19m ago·0x15ad…c802why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET
100 @ 0.500
BUY·19m ago·0x15ad…c802why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET
100 @ 0.500
BUY·20m ago·0x15ad…c802why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET
100 @ 0.500
BUY·20m ago·0x15ad…c802why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET
100 @ 0.500
BUY·5d agostale·0x15ad…c802why? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - July 21, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
-$20.00 · 39.509802 @ 0.506
BUY·5d agostale·0x15ad…c802why? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - July 21, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET
-$20.00 · 39.215685 @ 0.510
BUY·5d agostale·0x15ad…c802why? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - July 21, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET
-$20.00 · 39.509802 @ 0.506
BUY·5d agostale·0x15ad…c802why? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - July 21, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
+$19.51 · 39.509802 @ 0.506
BUY·5d agostale·0x15ad…c802why? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - July 21, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET
-$20.00 · 39.509802 @ 0.506
BUY·5d agostale·0x15ad…c802why? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - July 21, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
-$20.00 · 39.509802 @ 0.506
BUY·5d agostale·0x15ad…c802why? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - July 21, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET
+$19.22 · 39.215685 @ 0.510
BUY·5d agostale·0x15ad…c802why? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - July 21, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
+$19.22 · 39.215685 @ 0.510
BUY·5d agostale·0x15ad…c802why? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - July 21, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
-$20.00 · 39.215685 @ 0.510
BUY·5d agostale·0x15ad…c802why? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - July 21, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
+$19.51 · 39.509802 @ 0.506
BUY·5d agostale·0x15ad…c802why? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - July 21, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET
-$20.00 · 39.215685 @ 0.510
BUY·5d agostale·0x15ad…c802why? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - July 21, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
+$19.22 · 39.215685 @ 0.510
BUY·5d agostale·0x15ad…c802why? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - July 21, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
+$19.51 · 39.509802 @ 0.506
BUY·5d agostale·0x15ad…c802why? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - July 21, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET
+$19.22 · 39.215685 @ 0.510
BUY·5d agostale·0x15ad…c802why? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - July 21, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET
+$19.22 · 39.215685 @ 0.510
BUY·5d agostale·0x15ad…c802why? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - July 21, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET
-$20.00 · 39.215685 @ 0.510
BUY·5d agostale·0x15ad…c802why? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - July 21, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET
+$19.51 · 39.509802 @ 0.506
BUY·5d agostale·0x15ad…c802why? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - July 21, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET
-$20.00 · 39.509802 @ 0.506
BUY·5d agostale·0x15ad…c802why? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - July 21, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
-$20.00 · 39.509802 @ 0.506
BUY·5d agostale·0x15ad…c802why? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - July 21, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
+$19.22 · 39.215685 @ 0.510
BUY·5d agostale·0x15ad…c802why? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - July 21, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
+$19.22 · 39.215685 @ 0.510
BUY·5d agostale·0x15ad…c802why? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - July 21, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
-$20.00 · 39.509802 @ 0.506
BUY·5d agostale·0x15ad…c802why? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - July 21, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
+$19.22 · 39.215685 @ 0.510
BUY·5d agostale·0x15ad…c802why? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - July 21, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
-$20.00 · 39.509802 @ 0.506
BUY·5d agostale·0x15ad…c802why? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - July 21, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
-$20.00 · 39.509802 @ 0.506
BUY·5d agostale·0x15ad…c802why? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - July 21, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
-$20.00 · 39.215685 @ 0.510
BUY·5d agostale·0x15ad…c802why? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - July 21, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
-$20.00 · 39.509802 @ 0.506
BUY·5d agostale·0x15ad…c802why? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - July 21, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
+$19.51 · 39.509802 @ 0.506
BUY·5d agostale·0x15ad…c802why? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - July 21, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
+$19.66 · 39.663528 @ 0.504
BUY·5d agostale·0x15ad…c802why? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - July 21, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
+$19.66 · 39.663528 @ 0.504
BUY·5d agostale·0x15ad…c802why? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - July 21, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET
+$19.22 · 39.215685 @ 0.510
BUY·5d agostale·0x15ad…c802why? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - July 21, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET
+$19.66 · 39.663528 @ 0.504
BUY·5d agostale·0x15ad…c802why? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - July 21, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET
+$19.66 · 39.663528 @ 0.504
BUY·5d agostale·0x15ad…c802why? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - July 21, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET
+$19.22 · 39.215685 @ 0.510
BUY·5d agostale·0x15ad…c802why? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - July 21, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET
-$20.00 · 39.509802 @ 0.506
BUY·5d agostale·0x15ad…c802why? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - July 21, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
+$19.51 · 39.509802 @ 0.506
BUY·5d agostale·0x15ad…c802why? →
Down on Ethereum Up or Down - July 21, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET
-$20.00 · 39.215685 @ 0.510
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.