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FE

Ferwhere

0x152f…a549polymarket ↗last active 15m ago
All-time PnL
-$17.8k
Win rate
16.7%
17 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
-$370.19
30d PnL
-$17.8k
30d trades
100
30d wins
8
8.0%
30d volume
$45.5k
Category edge
World
4.3%
-29.0pp
n=23
Sports
28.0%
-20.0pp
n=25

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
16.7% (8 wins / 40 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 10 markets — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 8-day series
$0.00
-$17.8k
Trading pattern
Sports-Leaningtwo-sidedsmall-sizelongshot-hunterBuy-leaning · Sports 52%
Why Sports-Leaninghigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Sports 52% of categorized tradesa lean toward Sports without full specialization.
Directional bias: +0.42 (two-sided)Trades both sides fairly evenly — no strong directional lean.
Entry pricing: avg 0.10Enters at long-odds prices (<0.30) — a longshot-hunter pattern.
Typical position size: median $290Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 1.43 (varied)Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 10¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $290.45 · p90 $1000.00
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Fri 22:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
SELL·15m ago·0x152f…a549why? →
Yes on Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?
2560 @ 0.999
SELL·16m ago·0x152f…a549why? →
Yes on Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
736745 @ 0.001
SELL·22m ago·0x152f…a549why? →
Yes on Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
736745 @ 0.002
SELL·1h ago·0x152f…a549why? →
Yes on Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 2 Cabo Verde?
10390.03 @ 0.004
BUY·1h ago·0x152f…a549why? →
Yes on Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?
2560 @ 0.050
SELL·1h ago·0x152f…a549why? →
Yes on Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?
10256.41 @ 0.008
SELL·1h ago·0x152f…a549why? →
Yes on Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to Score
642.63 @ 0.210
BUY·1h ago·0x152f…a549why? →
Yes on Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to Score
642.636362 @ 0.220
BUY·1h ago·0x152f…a549why? →
Yes on Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to Score in Second Half
625 @ 0.160
BUY·1h ago·0x152f…a549why? →
Yes on Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to Score in First Half
2089.55 @ 0.048
BUY·1h ago·0x152f…a549why? →
Yes on Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Cabo Verde?
4285.714284 @ 0.070
SELL·3h agoageing·0x152f…a549why? →
Egypt on Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance
-$0.14 · 136.98 @ 0.999
BUY·3h agoageing·0x152f…a549why? →
Egypt on Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance
+$36.99 · 136.9863 @ 0.730
BUY·6h agoageing·0x152f…a549why? →
Yes on Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?
10256.410255 @ 0.039
BUY·6h agoageing·0x152f…a549why? →
Yes on Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 2 Cabo Verde?
10390.0312 @ 0.019
BUY·6h agoageing·0x152f…a549why? →
Yes on Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Cabo Verde?
5000 @ 0.080
BUY·1d agostale·0x152f…a549why? →
Yes on Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3530.606059 @ 0.033
SELL·1d agostale·0x152f…a549why? →
Yes on Will Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 American League Championship Series?
4548.94 @ 0.026
BUY·1d agostale·0x152f…a549why? →
Yes on Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
16138.787877 @ 0.033
SELL·6d agostale·0x152f…a549why? →
Yes on Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
39815.48 @ 0.014
BUY·6d agostale·0x152f…a549why? →
Yes on Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
7000 @ 0.001
BUY·7d agostale·0x152f…a549why? →
Yes on Will United States win on 2026-06-25?
-$148.35 · 345 @ 0.430
BUY·7d agostale·0x152f…a549why? →
Yes on Will United States win on 2026-06-25?
-$109.50 · 438 @ 0.250
BUY·7d agostale·0x152f…a549why? →
Yes on Will United States win on 2026-06-25?
-$1.20k · 5217.391303 @ 0.230
BUY·7d agostale·0x152f…a549why? →
Yes on Will United States win on 2026-06-25?
-$1.50k · 2941.176469 @ 0.510
BUY·7d agostale·0x152f…a549why? →
Yes on Will United States win on 2026-06-25?
-$4.97k · 9548.211537 @ 0.520
BUY·9d agostale·0x152f…a549why? →
Yes on Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?
2836.878372 @ 0.042
BUY·9d agostale·0x152f…a549why? →
Yes on Will Czechia vs. Mexico end in a draw?
-$100.00 · 416.666665 @ 0.240
BUY·9d agostale·0x152f…a549why? →
Yes on Will Czechia win on 2026-06-24?
-$100.00 · 454.545453 @ 0.220
SELL·9d agostale·0x152f…a549why? →
Yes on Will Haiti win on 2026-06-24?
+$22.73 · 4545.45 @ 0.005
BUY·9d agostale·0x152f…a549why? →
Yes on Will Morocco vs. Haiti end in a draw?
-$100.00 · 909.090908 @ 0.110
BUY·9d agostale·0x152f…a549why? →
Yes on Will Morocco vs. Haiti end in a draw?
-$100.00 · 243.902438 @ 0.410
BUY·9d agostale·0x152f…a549why? →
Yes on Will Haiti win on 2026-06-24?
-$500.00 · 4545.454544 @ 0.110
SELL·9d agostale·0x152f…a549why? →
Yes on Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
266666.66 @ 0.002
SELL·9d agostale·0x152f…a549why? →
Yes on Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?
12221.96 @ 0.013
SELL·9d agostale·0x152f…a549why? →
Yes on Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?
29503.66 @ 0.005
SELL·9d agostale·0x152f…a549why? →
Yes on Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?
11693.66 @ 0.012
SELL·9d agostale·0x152f…a549why? →
Yes on Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?
8267.99 @ 0.010
BUY·9d agostale·0x152f…a549why? →
Yes on Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
200000 @ 0.002
BUY·9d agostale·0x152f…a549why? →
Yes on Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
-$100.00 · 11467.550909 @ 0.009
SELL·9d agostale·0x152f…a549why? →
Yes on Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
+$530.91 · 76783.13 @ 0.007
BUY·11d agostale·0x152f…a549why? →
Yes on Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
-$485.00 · 28288.8555 @ 0.017
SELL·11d agostale·0x152f…a549why? →
Yes on Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?
12266.63 @ 0.014
SELL·11d agostale·0x152f…a549why? →
Yes on Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?
5681.85 @ 0.010
SELL·11d agostale·0x152f…a549why? →
Yes on Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?
18899.98 @ 0.016
BUY·11d agostale·0x152f…a549why? →
Yes on Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
7819.444444 @ 0.018
BUY·11d agostale·0x152f…a549why? →
Yes on Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?
5512.285713 @ 0.054
BUY·11d agostale·0x152f…a549why? →
Yes on Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?
3269.677141 @ 0.061
BUY·11d agostale·0x152f…a549why? →
Yes on Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?
-$600.00 · 20696.89655 @ 0.029
SELL·11d agostale·0x152f…a549why? →
Yes on Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
11860.79 @ 0.105
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.