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AN

answer408

0x14ea…a68epolymarket ↗last active 17m ago
All-time PnL
$3.71k
Win rate
44.8%
45 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
$64.04
30d PnL
-$225.76
30d trades
60
30d wins
14
23.3%
30d volume
$12.6k
Category edge
Crypto
16.7%
-22.6pp
n=6
Sports
40.2%
-17.4pp
n=87

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
38.7% (36 wins / 57 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 12 markets — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 27-day series
$5.35k
-$554.81
Trading pattern
Sports Specialisttwo-sidedsmall-sizecategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Sports 94%
Why Sports Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Sports 94% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Sports specialist.
Directional bias: +0.44 (two-sided)Trades both sides fairly evenly — no strong directional lean.
Entry pricing: avg 0.55Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $100Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 1.50 (varied)Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 55¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $100.00 · p90 $537.00
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Sun 21:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
BUY·17m ago·0x14ea…a68ewhy? →
Under on Fulham FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 1.5
689.655173 @ 0.290
BUY·18m ago·0x14ea…a68ewhy? →
Under on OGC Nice vs. Lille OSC: O/U 2.5
1111.222223 @ 0.450
SELL·1h ago·0x14ea…a68ewhy? →
No on Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-09-20?
-$0.20 · 195.94 @ 0.999
SELL·2h agoageing·0x14ea…a68ewhy? →
Under on AZ vs. Telstar 1963: O/U 1.5
-$233.08 · 501.25 @ 0.535
BUY·3h agoageing·0x14ea…a68ewhy? →
Under on AZ vs. Telstar 1963: O/U 1.5
+$301.25 · 501.253133 @ 0.399
BUY·1d agostale·0x14ea…a68ewhy? →
Under on Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5
-$340.00 · 723.404256 @ 0.470
BUY·1d agostale·0x14ea…a68ewhy? →
Natus Vincere on LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs
-$100.00 · 500 @ 0.200
BUY·1d agostale·0x14ea…a68ewhy? →
Natus Vincere on LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI - Game 3 Winner
-$2.76 · 12 @ 0.230
BUY·5d agostale·0x14ea…a68ewhy? →
Yes on Will Willem II Tilburg win on 2026-09-15?
-$100.00 · 2683.786667 @ 0.037
SELL·5d agostale·0x14ea…a68ewhy? →
Over on Leeds United FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5
-$0.02 · 21.99 @ 0.999
BUY·5d agostale·0x14ea…a68ewhy? →
Yes on Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-09-14?
-$1000.00 · 1492.537312 @ 0.670
SELL·5d agostale·0x14ea…a68ewhy? →
EXILE esports on LoL: EXILE esports vs eSuba - Game 2 Winner
-$0.01 · 10 @ 0.999
BUY·5d agostale·0x14ea…a68ewhy? →
Yes on Will Torino FC vs. AS Roma end in a draw?
-$12.00 · 100 @ 0.120
BUY·6d agostale·0x14ea…a68ewhy? →
Under on Leeds United FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5
-$10.00 · 22.222223 @ 0.450
BUY·6d agostale·0x14ea…a68ewhy? →
KT Rolster Challengers on LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 4 Winner
-$50.00 · 156.25 @ 0.320
SELL·6d agostale·0x14ea…a68ewhy? →
Over on FC Famalicão vs. Sporting CP: O/U 0.5
-$0.00 · 2.41 @ 0.999
SELL·6d agostale·0x14ea…a68ewhy? →
Over on FC Famalicão vs. Sporting CP: O/U 0.5
-$0.15 · 153.84 @ 0.999
BUY·6d agostale·0x14ea…a68ewhy? →
Over on FC Famalicão vs. Sporting CP: O/U 0.5
+$56.25 · 156.25 @ 0.640
SELL·6d agostale·0x14ea…a68ewhy? →
No on Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-13?
-$1.00 · 1000 @ 0.999
SELL·7d agostale·0x14ea…a68ewhy? →
Yes on Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-13?
+$19.23 · 101.21 @ 0.190
SELL·8d agostale·0x14ea…a68ewhy? →
Yes on Will Brentford FC win on 2026-09-12?
+$41.86 · 500 @ 0.084
BUY·8d agostale·0x14ea…a68ewhy? →
Invictus Gaming on LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming - Game 3 Winner
-$4.00 · 50 @ 0.080
BUY·8d agostale·0x14ea…a68ewhy? →
Natus Vincere on LoL: GIANTX vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - LEC Playoffs
+$55.00 · 100 @ 0.450
SELL·10d agostale·0x14ea…a68ewhy? →
FC Barcelona on Spread: FC Barcelona (-3.5)
-$0.10 · 100 @ 0.999
SELL·12d agostale·0x14ea…a68ewhy? →
Yes on Will Estoril Praia vs. FC Arouca end in a draw?
-$0.01 · 14.49 @ 0.999
SELL·12d agostale·0x14ea…a68ewhy? →
Yes on Will Elche CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?
+$3.41 · 5.97 @ 0.571
BUY·12d agostale·0x14ea…a68ewhy? →
Yes on Will Estoril Praia vs. FC Arouca end in a draw?
+$4.49 · 14.492754 @ 0.690
BUY·12d agostale·0x14ea…a68ewhy? →
Under on Estoril Praia vs. FC Arouca: O/U 0.5
+$174.07 · 374.074073 @ 0.535
SELL·13d agostale·0x14ea…a68ewhy? →
Under on Vitória SC vs. Casa Pia AC: O/U 0.5
-$1.00 · 1000 @ 0.999
SELL·13d agostale·0x14ea…a68ewhy? →
Under on Vitória SC vs. Casa Pia AC: O/U 1.5
-$0.10 · 100 @ 0.999
BUY·13d agostale·0x14ea…a68ewhy? →
Under on Vitória SC vs. Casa Pia AC: O/U 0.5
+$240.00 · 500 @ 0.520
BUY·13d agostale·0x14ea…a68ewhy? →
Under on Vitória SC vs. Casa Pia AC: O/U 0.5
+$310.00 · 500 @ 0.380
SELL·13d agostale·0x14ea…a68ewhy? →
Under on Málaga CF vs. Levante UD: O/U 0.5
-$219.86 · 499.99 @ 0.560
BUY·13d agostale·0x14ea…a68ewhy? →
Under on Málaga CF vs. Levante UD: O/U 0.5
+$279.99 · 499.99 @ 0.440
SELL·14d agostale·0x14ea…a68ewhy? →
Over on Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 4.5
+$22.10 · 56.67 @ 0.390
SELL·14d agostale·0x14ea…a68ewhy? →
Yes on Will Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?
-$1.76 · 1764.99 @ 0.999
SELL·14d agostale·0x14ea…a68ewhy? →
T1 on LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner
-$0.62 · 617.28 @ 0.999
BUY·14d agostale·0x14ea…a68ewhy? →
T1 on LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner
+$117.28 · 617.283949 @ 0.810
SELL·14d agostale·0x14ea…a68ewhy? →
Under on OGC Nice vs. Le Mans FC: O/U 2.5
-$4.62 · 19.24 @ 0.760
BUY·14d agostale·0x14ea…a68ewhy? →
Under on OGC Nice vs. Le Mans FC: O/U 2.5
+$113.98 · 413.981503 @ 0.725
BUY·14d agostale·0x14ea…a68ewhy? →
Under on OGC Nice vs. Le Mans FC: O/U 2.5
+$170.37 · 370.370369 @ 0.540
SELL·15d agostale·0x14ea…a68ewhy? →
Yes on Will Dplus win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
+$8.36 · 107.84 @ 0.078
BUY·15d agostale·0x14ea…a68ewhy? →
Karmine Corp on LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winner
-$200.00 · 357.142856 @ 0.560
BUY·15d agostale·0x14ea…a68ewhy? →
Gen.G on LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 4 Winner
+$226.32 · 526.315788 @ 0.570
BUY·15d agostale·0x14ea…a68ewhy? →
Hanwha Life Esports on LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winner
-$10.00 · 200 @ 0.050
BUY·15d agostale·0x14ea…a68ewhy? →
Hanwha Life Esports on LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winner
-$10.00 · 71.42857 @ 0.140
BUY·15d agostale·0x14ea…a68ewhy? →
Hanwha Life Esports on LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner
+$52.50 · 62.5 @ 0.160
BUY·16d agostale·0x14ea…a68ewhy? →
Dplus KIA on LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner
+$261.52 · 568.518517 @ 0.540
BUY·16d agostale·0x14ea…a68ewhy? →
KT Rolster on LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner
-$500.00 · 695.43767 @ 0.719
BUY·17d agostale·0x14ea…a68ewhy? →
Dplus KIA on LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Playoffs
+$433.10 · 1312.432834 @ 0.670
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.