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mathiinfo

0x14e2…282fpolymarket ↗last active 25m ago
All-time PnL
$196.93
Win rate
46.3%
46 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
$4.80
30d PnL
$196.93
30d trades
100
30d wins
19
19.0%
30d volume
$3.83k
Category edge
Crypto
30.4%
-31.8pp
n=69

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
37.0% (37 wins / 63 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 17 markets — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 2-day series
$251.81
$0.00
Trading pattern
Crypto Specialistbuy-heavysmall-sizecategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Crypto 100%
Why Crypto Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Crypto 100% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Crypto specialist.
Directional bias: +0.66 (buy-heavy)Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.50Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $10Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 1.65 (varied)Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 50¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $10.00 · p90 $100.00
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Sat 20:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
SELL·25m ago·0x14e2…282fwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
-$13.03 · 189.69 @ 0.931
BUY·27m ago·0x14e2…282fwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
+$30.84 · 130.844156 @ 0.764
BUY·27m ago·0x14e2…282fwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
+$21.82 · 31.821177 @ 0.314
BUY·27m ago·0x14e2…282fwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
+$17.03 · 27.027028 @ 0.370
SELL·28m ago·0x14e2…282fwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
-$0.82 · 20.47 @ 0.960
BUY·29m ago·0x14e2…282fwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
+$8.09 · 9.09091 @ 0.110
BUY·29m ago·0x14e2…282fwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
+$9.39 · 11.388889 @ 0.176
SELL·39m ago·0x14e2…282fwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
-$7.06 · 141.28 @ 0.950
BUY·42m ago·0x14e2…282fwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
+$25.31 · 70.3125 @ 0.640
BUY·43m ago·0x14e2…282fwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
+$25.97 · 70.9675 @ 0.634
BUY·45m ago·0x14e2…282fwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
-$1.00 · 5.263158 @ 0.190
BUY·45m ago·0x14e2…282fwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
-$3.00 · 18.75 @ 0.160
BUY·46m ago·0x14e2…282fwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
-$1.00 · 4.761905 @ 0.210
BUY·46m ago·0x14e2…282fwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
-$1.00 · 4.347827 @ 0.230
BUY·47m ago·0x14e2…282fwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
-$10.00 · 22.727273 @ 0.440
BUY·49m ago·0x14e2…282fwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET
-$1.00 · 50 @ 0.020
SELL·50m ago·0x14e2…282fwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET
-$5.97 · 149.25 @ 0.960
BUY·52m ago·0x14e2…282fwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET
+$49.25 · 149.25373 @ 0.670
BUY·55m ago·0x14e2…282fwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
-$1.00 · 100 @ 0.010
SELL·56m ago·0x14e2…282fwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
-$4.17 · 139.1 @ 0.970
BUY·57m ago·0x14e2…282fwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
+$39.10 · 139.104381 @ 0.719
BUY·1h ago·0x14e2…282fwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET
-$1.00 · 1.818182 @ 0.550
BUY·1h ago·0x14e2…282fwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET
+$0.11 · 1.11111 @ 0.900
BUY·1h ago·0x14e2…282fwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET
+$0.41 · 1.408451 @ 0.710
BUY·1h ago·0x14e2…282fwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET
-$1.00 · 1.851852 @ 0.540
BUY·1h ago·0x14e2…282fwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET
-$10.00 · 19.23077 @ 0.520
BUY·1h ago·0x14e2…282fwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
+$5.70 · 15.703125 @ 0.637
SELL·1h ago·0x14e2…282fwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
-$2.46 · 245.78 @ 0.990
BUY·1h ago·0x14e2…282fwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
+$19.44 · 69.444442 @ 0.720
BUY·2h agoageing·0x14e2…282fwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
+$28.77 · 73.770492 @ 0.610
BUY·2h agoageing·0x14e2…282fwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
+$10.00 · 20 @ 0.500
BUY·2h agoageing·0x14e2…282fwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
+$42.57 · 82.571429 @ 0.484
BUY·2h agoageing·0x14e2…282fwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
-$5.00 · 10.638298 @ 0.470
BUY·2h agoageing·0x14e2…282fwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
-$45.00 · 72.063491 @ 0.624
SELL·2h agoageing·0x14e2…282fwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
-$1.43 · 143.19 @ 0.990
BUY·2h agoageing·0x14e2…282fwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
+$6.39 · 16.393443 @ 0.610
BUY·2h agoageing·0x14e2…282fwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
+$10.41 · 20.408164 @ 0.490
BUY·2h agoageing·0x14e2…282fwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
+$14.28 · 34.282204 @ 0.583
BUY·2h agoageing·0x14e2…282fwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
+$22.11 · 72.114286 @ 0.693
SELL·2h agoageing·0x14e2…282fwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET
-$0.74 · 37.03 @ 0.980
BUY·2h agoageing·0x14e2…282fwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET
+$10.83 · 20.833334 @ 0.480
BUY·2h agoageing·0x14e2…282fwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET
+$6.20 · 16.198413 @ 0.617
BUY·4h agoageing·0x14e2…282fwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
-$10.00 · 22.727273 @ 0.440
SELL·6h agoageing·0x14e2…282fwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET
-$1.46 · 48.61 @ 0.970
BUY·6h agoageing·0x14e2…282fwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET
+$13.61 · 48.61111 @ 0.720
SELL·8h agoageing·0x14e2…282fwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
-$5.02 · 140.38 @ 0.964
BUY·8h agoageing·0x14e2…282fwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
+$39.67 · 104.674762 @ 0.621
BUY·8h agoageing·0x14e2…282fwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
+$7.86 · 17.857143 @ 0.560
BUY·8h agoageing·0x14e2…282fwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
+$7.86 · 17.857143 @ 0.560
BUY·8h agoageing·0x14e2…282fwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET
-$5.00 · 13.157895 @ 0.380
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.