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0x142916aE62E4177B6E40d48dDd6A2C971C3d1cD8-1784452047438

0x1429…1cd8polymarket ↗last active 15m ago
All-time PnL
-$1.88k
Win rate
68.8%
69 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
-$29.34
30d PnL
-$1.69k
30d trades
41
30d wins
19
46.3%
30d volume
$12.8k
Category edge
Sports
55.6%
-1.7pp
n=99

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
55.6% (55 wins / 44 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 27 markets — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 26-day series
$131.69
-$1.91k
Trading pattern
Sports Specialisttwo-sidedsmall-sizefavorite-backercategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Sports 100%
Why Sports Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Sports 100% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Sports specialist.
Directional bias: +0.44 (two-sided)Trades both sides fairly evenly — no strong directional lean.
Entry pricing: avg 0.71Enters at favorite prices (>0.70) — backs likely outcomes.
Typical position size: median $41Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 1.73 (varied)Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 71¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $41.03 · p90 $307.50
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Tue 12:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
BUY·15m ago·0x1429…1cd8why? →
Over on Olympique de Marseille vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 0.5
570.539416 @ 0.964
BUY·1d agostale·0x1429…1cd8why? →
Over on VfB Stuttgart vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 1.5
-$328.00 · 368.539318 @ 0.890
SELL·1d agostale·0x1429…1cd8why? →
Over on Udinese Calcio vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 0.5
-$3.34 · 334.06 @ 0.990
BUY·1d agostale·0x1429…1cd8why? →
Over on Udinese Calcio vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 0.5
+$30.07 · 334.065933 @ 0.910
SELL·1d agostale·0x1429…1cd8why? →
Over on CA Osasuna vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 0.5
-$2.17 · 309.67 @ 0.993
BUY·1d agostale·0x1429…1cd8why? →
Over on CA Osasuna vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 0.5
+$21.68 · 309.677414 @ 0.930
BUY·2d agostale·0x1429…1cd8why? →
Over on FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: FC Bayern München O/U 4.5 Corners
+$44.12 · 294.117646 @ 0.850
BUY·3d agostale·0x1429…1cd8why? →
Over on Málaga CF vs. Villarreal CF: Villarreal CF O/U 2.5 Corners
+$32.18 · 257.180341 @ 0.875
SELL·3d agostale·0x1429…1cd8why? →
Over on Real Betis Balompié vs. Getafe CF: O/U 0.5
-$0.23 · 225.8 @ 0.999
BUY·3d agostale·0x1429…1cd8why? →
Over on Real Betis Balompié vs. Getafe CF: O/U 0.5
+$15.81 · 225.806442 @ 0.930
SELL·3d agostale·0x1429…1cd8why? →
Over on Real Betis Balompié vs. Getafe CF: O/U 1.5
+$222.18 · 300.24 @ 0.740
BUY·3d agostale·0x1429…1cd8why? →
Over on Real Betis Balompié vs. Getafe CF: O/U 1.5
-$213.00 · 300.242958 @ 0.709
SELL·3d agostale·0x1429…1cd8why? →
Over on AC Milan vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 1.5
-$0.22 · 219.89 @ 0.999
BUY·4d agostale·0x1429…1cd8why? →
Over on AC Milan vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 1.5
+$41.89 · 219.892963 @ 0.809
SELL·4d agostale·0x1429…1cd8why? →
Over on Elche CF vs. Real Madrid CF: Real Madrid CF O/U 1.5
-$0.18 · 181.7 @ 0.999
BUY·5d agostale·0x1429…1cd8why? →
Over on Elche CF vs. Real Madrid CF: Real Madrid CF O/U 1.5
+$32.71 · 181.707316 @ 0.820
BUY·6d agostale·0x1429…1cd8why? →
Over on Torino FC vs. AS Roma: O/U 1.5
+$15.95 · 75.949366 @ 0.790
SELL·7d agostale·0x1429…1cd8why? →
Over on Sunderland AFC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5
-$1.22k · 1408.45 @ 0.130
BUY·8d agostale·0x1429…1cd8why? →
Over on Sunderland AFC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5
+$408.45 · 1408.450703 @ 0.710
BUY·19d agostale·0x1429…1cd8why? →
Juan Estevez on Plovdiv 3: Federico Iannaccone vs Juan Estevez
-$92.00 · 115 @ 0.800
SELL·19d agostale·0x1429…1cd8why? →
Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo on Porto: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Miguel Damas
+$93.87 · 102.77 @ 0.913
BUY·19d agostale·0x1429…1cd8why? →
Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo on Porto: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Miguel Damas
-$74.00 · 102.777775 @ 0.720
SELL·19d agostale·0x1429…1cd8why? →
Marco Cecchinato on Porto: Nick Hardt vs Marco Cecchinato
-$0.08 · 76.19 @ 0.999
BUY·19d agostale·0x1429…1cd8why? →
Marco Cecchinato on Porto: Nick Hardt vs Marco Cecchinato
+$28.19 · 76.190475 @ 0.630
SELL·19d agostale·0x1429…1cd8why? →
Over on Aston Villa FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5
+$43.67 · 324.79 @ 0.134
BUY·20d agostale·0x1429…1cd8why? →
Over on Aston Villa FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5
-$220.00 · 415.094338 @ 0.530
BUY·21d agostale·0x1429…1cd8why? →
Over on AS Monaco FC vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 2.5
-$1.25k · 2118.644065 @ 0.590
SELL·21d agostale·0x1429…1cd8why? →
Over on Telstar 1963 vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 2.5
-$13.22 · 1321.91 @ 0.990
BUY·21d agostale·0x1429…1cd8why? →
Over on Telstar 1963 vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 2.5
+$356.92 · 1321.917807 @ 0.730
SELL·21d agostale·0x1429…1cd8why? →
Over on Chelsea FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5
-$0.98 · 982.75 @ 0.999
BUY·21d agostale·0x1429…1cd8why? →
Over on Chelsea FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5
+$412.76 · 982.758619 @ 0.580
BUY·22d agostale·0x1429…1cd8why? →
Over on Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5
-$388.00 · 646.666665 @ 0.600
BUY·23d agostale·0x1429…1cd8why? →
Over on Crystal Palace FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5
+$169.74 · 394.736841 @ 0.570
BUY·24d agostale·0x1429…1cd8why? →
Over on Aarhus GF vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5
+$76.34 · 231.343281 @ 0.670
BUY·25d agostale·0x1429…1cd8why? →
Over on Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5
+$49.42 · 159.420288 @ 0.690
SELL·25d agostale·0x1429…1cd8why? →
Yes on Valencia CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to Score
+$117.92 · 471.69 @ 0.250
BUY·26d agostale·0x1429…1cd8why? →
Yes on Valencia CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to Score
-$250.00 · 471.698112 @ 0.530
BUY·27d agostale·0x1429…1cd8why? →
Over on Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5
+$115.50 · 262.5 @ 0.560
BUY·28d agostale·0x1429…1cd8why? →
Over on Elche CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5
+$51.00 · 150 @ 0.660
BUY·28d agostale·0x1429…1cd8why? →
Over on Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5
+$36.56 · 101.5625 @ 0.640
BUY·29d agostale·0x1429…1cd8why? →
Yes on Everton FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score
-$50.00 · 90.909089 @ 0.550
BUY·61d agostale·0x1429…1cd8why? →
Juan Manuel Cerundolo on Generali Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Marco Trungelliti
-$12.00 · 17.142856 @ 0.700
SELL·61d agostale·0x1429…1cd8why? →
Florent Bax on Segovia: Dan Added vs Florent Bax
-$0.01 · 10 @ 0.999
BUY·61d agostale·0x1429…1cd8why? →
Florent Bax on Segovia: Dan Added vs Florent Bax
+$2.00 · 10 @ 0.800
SELL·62d agostale·0x1429…1cd8why? →
Yes on Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score
+$9.41 · 470.7 @ 0.020
BUY·63d agostale·0x1429…1cd8why? →
Yes on Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score
-$210.00 · 381.81818 @ 0.550
BUY·63d agostale·0x1429…1cd8why? →
Yes on Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score
-$48.00 · 88.888886 @ 0.540
BUY·63d agostale·0x1429…1cd8why? →
Hanne Vandewinkel on Istanbul 2: Hanne Vandewinkel vs Lanlana Tararudee
-$30.00 · 72.761189 @ 0.412
SELL·63d agostale·0x1429…1cd8why? →
Jurij Rodionov on Generali Open, Qualification: Jurij Rodionov vs Vitaliy Sachko
-$0.04 · 43.49 @ 0.999
BUY·63d agostale·0x1429…1cd8why? →
Aleksandar Vukic on Granby: Aleksandar Vukic vs August Holmgren
+$6.95 · 36.951216 @ 0.812
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.