No on Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on September 19?
— 222 @ 0.988
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0X
0x131570244066123a1fA8D3691E1129aA4f4a2931-1770775152171
All-time PnL
$229.71
Win rate
100.0%
100 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
$6.02
30d PnL
$228.84
30d trades
100
30d wins
38
38.0%
30d volume
$7.73k
Category edge
Weather
45.7%
-5.9pp
n=70
vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice
Signal hit rate
45.7% (32 wins / 38 misses)⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 37 markets — verify independentlyCumulative PnL · 3-day series
$167.02
$0.00
Trading pattern
Weather Specialisttwo-sidedsmall-sizefavorite-backercategory-focusedBalanced · Weather 100%
Why Weather Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Weather 100% of categorized trades — ≥60% concentrated in one category → a Weather specialist.
Directional bias: -0.18 (two-sided) — Trades both sides fairly evenly — no strong directional lean.
Entry pricing: avg 0.98 — Enters at favorite prices (>0.70) — backs likely outcomes.
Typical position size: median $50 — Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 0.88 (moderate) — Stakes vary moderately across trades.
Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.
Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 98¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $49.95 · p90 $199.80
Activity · UTC
00h12h23h
peak Wed 03:00 · 100 trades
Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.
Recent trades
EXPORT
No on Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on September 19?
— 100 @ 0.999
No on Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on September 19?
— 40 @ 0.999
No on Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on September 19?
— 10 @ 0.999
No on Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on September 19?
— 40 @ 0.999
No on Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 19?
— 11 @ 0.999
No on Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on September 19?
— 96.06 @ 0.999
No on Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C on September 19?
— 283.16 @ 0.999
No on Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 19?
— 2.75 @ 0.999
No on Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 19?
— 208.23 @ 0.999
No on Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 19?
— 9.02 @ 0.999
No on Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 19?
— 200 @ 0.974
No on Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 19?
— 205.93 @ 0.999
No on Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 19?
— 5.07 @ 0.999
No on Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C on September 19?
— 16.84 @ 0.999
No on Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on September 19?
— 203.94 @ 0.999
No on Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C on September 19?
— 16.84 @ 0.990
No on Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on September 19?
— 203.94 @ 0.724
No on Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on September 19?
— 73 @ 0.999
No on Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on September 19?
— 73 @ 0.975
No on Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on September 19?
— 2.76 @ 0.999
No on Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on September 19?
— 174.27 @ 0.999
No on Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on September 19?
— 211 @ 0.999
No on Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on September 19?
— 56.24 @ 0.999
No on Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on September 19?
— 211 @ 0.990
No on Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on September 19?
— 56.24 @ 0.977
No on Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on September 19?
— 25 @ 0.999
No on Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on September 19?
— 25 @ 0.984
No on Will the lowest temperature in Manila be 27°C on September 19?
— 65 @ 0.999
No on Will the lowest temperature in Manila be 27°C on September 19?
— 110 @ 0.990
No on Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on September 18?
— -$0.02 · 22 @ 0.999
No on Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on September 18?
— +$2.00 · 44 @ 0.955
No on Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on September 18?
— -$0.11 · 111 @ 0.999
No on Will the lowest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on September 18?
— -$0.11 · 112.27 @ 0.999
No on Will the lowest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on September 18?
— +$1.22 · 112.27 @ 0.989
No on Will the lowest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on September 18?
— +$0.66 · 22 @ 0.970
No on Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on September 18?
— -$0.01 · 11 @ 0.999
No on Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on September 18?
— +$0.11 · 11 @ 0.990
No on Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on September 18?
— -$0.22 · 220 @ 0.999
No on Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on September 18?
— +$59.54 · 220 @ 0.729
No on Will the lowest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on September 18?
— -$0.02 · 22 @ 0.999
No on Will the lowest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on September 18?
— +$0.66 · 22 @ 0.970
No on Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 18?
— -$0.11 · 111 @ 0.999
No on Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 18?
— +$41.05 · 111 @ 0.630
No on Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on September 18?
— -$0.11 · 111 @ 0.999
No on Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on September 18?
— +$2.82 · 111 @ 0.975
No on Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on September 18?
— -$0.11 · 111 @ 0.999
No on Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on September 18?
— +$1.11 · 111 @ 0.990
No on Will the lowest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 27°C on September 18?
— -$0.01 · 5 @ 0.999
No on Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C on September 18?
— -$0.08 · 76.66 @ 0.999
Integrity indicators
No anomalies detected for this trader.
Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.