⌘K
← leaderboard
CL

classified

0x12d6…f2a8polymarket ↗last active 31m ago
All-time PnL
-$236.27
Win rate
66.7%
67 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
-$34.54
30d PnL
-$310.84
30d trades
100
30d wins
6
6.0%
30d volume
$312.3k
Category edge
Economy
71.4%
+11.8pp
n=28

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
67.7% (21 wins / 10 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 13 markets — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 3-day series
$3.85k
$0.00
Trading pattern
World Specialisttwo-sidedsmall-sizecategory-focusedBuy-leaning · World 69%
Why World Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: World 69% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a World specialist.
Directional bias: +0.26 (two-sided)Trades both sides fairly evenly — no strong directional lean.
Entry pricing: avg 0.54Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $494Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 2.05 (varied)Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 54¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $493.84 · p90 $9.99k
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Sat 10:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
BUY·31m ago·0x12d6…f2a8why? →
No on Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
8394.77 @ 0.838
BUY·53m ago·0x12d6…f2a8why? →
No on Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
10000 @ 0.999
BUY·53m ago·0x12d6…f2a8why? →
No on Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
25056.14 @ 0.999
SELL·1h ago·0x12d6…f2a8why? →
No on Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
829.47 @ 0.680
BUY·1h ago·0x12d6…f2a8why? →
No on Will United Russia win between 310 and 324 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
3342.12 @ 0.836
BUY·5h agoageing·0x12d6…f2a8why? →
No on Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
729.01 @ 0.690
BUY·6h agoageing·0x12d6…f2a8why? →
Yes on Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
800.67 @ 0.740
BUY·7h agoageing·0x12d6…f2a8why? →
Yes on Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
1372.8 @ 0.740
BUY·7h agoageing·0x12d6…f2a8why? →
No on Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
1010 @ 0.250
BUY·7h agoageing·0x12d6…f2a8why? →
No on Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
4374.71 @ 0.996
SELL·7h agoageing·0x12d6…f2a8why? →
Yes on US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
3563.92 @ 0.490
BUY·9h agoageing·0x12d6…f2a8why? →
No on Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
917.92 @ 0.997
BUY·9h agoageing·0x12d6…f2a8why? →
No on Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
832 @ 0.984
BUY·9h agoageing·0x12d6…f2a8why? →
No on Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
10000 @ 0.999
BUY·9h agoageing·0x12d6…f2a8why? →
No on Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
10000 @ 0.999
SELL·9h agoageing·0x12d6…f2a8why? →
Yes on Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
1070.42 @ 0.751
BUY·9h agoageing·0x12d6…f2a8why? →
Yes on Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
947.04 @ 0.760
BUY·9h agoageing·0x12d6…f2a8why? →
Yes on US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
2269.83 @ 0.480
BUY·9h agoageing·0x12d6…f2a8why? →
Yes on Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
442 @ 0.750
BUY·9h agoageing·0x12d6…f2a8why? →
No on Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
765.9 @ 0.762
SELL·9h agoageing·0x12d6…f2a8why? →
Yes on Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
93.33 @ 0.750
BUY·10h agoageing·0x12d6…f2a8why? →
Yes on Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
165.95 @ 0.750
SELL·10h agoageing·0x12d6…f2a8why? →
Yes on Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
5.03 @ 0.750
BUY·10h agoageing·0x12d6…f2a8why? →
Yes on Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
313.35 @ 0.750
BUY·10h agoageing·0x12d6…f2a8why? →
Yes on Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
310.33 @ 0.750
BUY·10h agoageing·0x12d6…f2a8why? →
Yes on Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
1469.03 @ 0.750
SELL·10h agoageing·0x12d6…f2a8why? →
No on US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
1144.55 @ 0.200
SELL·10h agoageing·0x12d6…f2a8why? →
Yes on Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
4071.19 @ 0.060
BUY·11h agoageing·0x12d6…f2a8why? →
No on Will United Russia win between 280 and 294 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
497.32 @ 0.975
BUY·14h agoageing·0x12d6…f2a8why? →
No on Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
20000 @ 0.999
BUY·14h agoageing·0x12d6…f2a8why? →
No on Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
20000 @ 0.999
BUY·14h agoageing·0x12d6…f2a8why? →
No on Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
101 @ 0.755
BUY·15h agoageing·0x12d6…f2a8why? →
No on Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
5674 @ 0.985
BUY·15h agoageing·0x12d6…f2a8why? →
Yes on Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
2698.59 @ 0.730
BUY·15h agoageing·0x12d6…f2a8why? →
No on Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
1000 @ 0.948
BUY·15h agoageing·0x12d6…f2a8why? →
No on Will United Russia win between 310 and 324 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
165.02 @ 0.861
BUY·15h agoageing·0x12d6…f2a8why? →
Yes on US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
4250.73 @ 0.470
BUY·15h agoageing·0x12d6…f2a8why? →
Yes on Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
1556.09 @ 0.300
SELL·16h agoageing·0x12d6…f2a8why? →
Yes on Will United Russia win between 310 and 324 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
69.54 @ 0.130
BUY·16h agoageing·0x12d6…f2a8why? →
Yes on Will United Russia win between 310 and 324 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
263.98 @ 0.126
BUY·16h agoageing·0x12d6…f2a8why? →
No on Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
595.99 @ 0.577
BUY·16h agoageing·0x12d6…f2a8why? →
No on Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
4506.81 @ 0.670
BUY·17h agoageing·0x12d6…f2a8why? →
No on Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
110 @ 0.762
SELL·20h agoageing·0x12d6…f2a8why? →
Yes on Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
6712.81 @ 0.001
SELL·20h agoageing·0x12d6…f2a8why? →
Yes on Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
6712.81 @ 0.001
SELL·21h agoageing·0x12d6…f2a8why? →
Yes on Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
5014.03 @ 0.001
SELL·21h agoageing·0x12d6…f2a8why? →
Yes on Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
5014.03 @ 0.001
SELL·21h agoageing·0x12d6…f2a8why? →
Yes on Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
8469.34 @ 0.001
SELL·21h agoageing·0x12d6…f2a8why? →
Yes on Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
8469.34 @ 0.001
SELL·21h agoageing·0x12d6…f2a8why? →
Yes on Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
680.96 @ 0.004
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.