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0x12d6a7a4B2a54bc9AB4DF239117ba165d7307e8D-1781567113127

0x12d6…7e8dpolymarket ↗last active 22m ago
All-time PnL
$148.15
Win rate
50.0%
50 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
$5.36
30d PnL
$96.53
30d trades
100
30d wins
9
9.0%
30d volume
$2.40k
Category edge
Crypto
43.7%
-22.1pp
n=87

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
43.8% (39 wins / 50 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 9 markets — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 1-day series
Not enough data to chart yet.
Trading pattern
Crypto Specialistbuy-heavysmall-sizecategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Crypto 98%
Why Crypto Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Crypto 98% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Crypto specialist.
Directional bias: +0.78 (buy-heavy)Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.46Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $17Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 1.42 (varied)Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 46¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $17.50 · p90 $44.00
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Sun 01:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
BUY·22m ago·0x12d6…7e8dwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET
21.739131 @ 0.230
BUY·22m ago·0x12d6…7e8dwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET
21.739131 @ 0.230
BUY·22m ago·0x12d6…7e8dwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET
22.727273 @ 0.220
SELL·22m ago·0x12d6…7e8dwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET
87.71 @ 0.820
BUY·23m ago·0x12d6…7e8dwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET
43.859648 @ 0.570
BUY·23m ago·0x12d6…7e8dwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET
43.859648 @ 0.570
SELL·23m ago·0x12d6…7e8dwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET
149.95 @ 0.465
BUY·24m ago·0x12d6…7e8dwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET
21.739131 @ 0.230
BUY·24m ago·0x12d6…7e8dwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET
17.857143 @ 0.280
BUY·24m ago·0x12d6…7e8dwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET
17.857143 @ 0.280
BUY·24m ago·0x12d6…7e8dwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET
92.5 @ 0.270
SELL·26m ago·0x12d6…7e8dwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET
-$20.69 · 110.07 @ 0.812
BUY·27m ago·0x12d6…7e8dwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET
+$9.29 · 14.285715 @ 0.350
BUY·27m ago·0x12d6…7e8dwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET
+$9.71 · 14.705883 @ 0.340
BUY·27m ago·0x12d6…7e8dwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET
+$8.51 · 13.513514 @ 0.370
BUY·27m ago·0x12d6…7e8dwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET
+$42.57 · 67.567568 @ 0.370
BUY·53m ago·0x12d6…7e8dwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET
-$15.00 · 230.575715 @ 0.065
SELL·1h ago·0x12d6…7e8dwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET
-$21.18 · 175.48 @ 0.879
BUY·1h ago·0x12d6…7e8dwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET
+$14.68 · 34.681207 @ 0.577
BUY·1h ago·0x12d6…7e8dwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET
+$14.82 · 34.82293 @ 0.574
BUY·1h ago·0x12d6…7e8dwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET
+$15.09 · 35.08772 @ 0.570
BUY·1h ago·0x12d6…7e8dwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET
+$15.71 · 35.714286 @ 0.560
BUY·1h ago·0x12d6…7e8dwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET
+$15.18 · 35.175439 @ 0.569
BUY·1h ago·0x12d6…7e8dwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET
+$54.07 · 74.074075 @ 0.270
BUY·1h ago·0x12d6…7e8dwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET
+$10.86 · 25.862069 @ 0.580
BUY·1h ago·0x12d6…7e8dwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET
+$15.09 · 35.08772 @ 0.570
BUY·1h ago·0x12d6…7e8dwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET
+$3.77 · 8.77193 @ 0.570
BUY·1h ago·0x12d6…7e8dwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET
+$11.32 · 26.31579 @ 0.570
BUY·1h ago·0x12d6…7e8dwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET
+$12.79 · 32.786884 @ 0.610
BUY·1h ago·0x12d6…7e8dwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET
+$3.20 · 8.19672 @ 0.610
SELL·1h ago·0x12d6…7e8dwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET
+$99.81 · 212.36 @ 0.470
BUY·1h ago·0x12d6…7e8dwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET
-$15.00 · 48.387097 @ 0.310
BUY·1h ago·0x12d6…7e8dwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET
-$5.00 · 16.129033 @ 0.310
BUY·1h ago·0x12d6…7e8dwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET
-$20.00 · 64.51613 @ 0.310
BUY·1h ago·0x12d6…7e8dwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET
-$20.00 · 83.333334 @ 0.240
SELL·1h ago·0x12d6…7e8dwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET
-$1.77 · 177.14 @ 0.990
BUY·1h ago·0x12d6…7e8dwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET
+$15.10 · 30.1 @ 0.498
BUY·1h ago·0x12d6…7e8dwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET
+$16.36 · 36.363637 @ 0.550
BUY·1h ago·0x12d6…7e8dwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET
+$16.83 · 36.825817 @ 0.543
BUY·1h ago·0x12d6…7e8dwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET
+$16.82 · 36.818182 @ 0.543
BUY·1h ago·0x12d6…7e8dwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET
+$17.04 · 37.037036 @ 0.540
BUY·3h agoageing·0x12d6…7e8dwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET
+$15.83 · 20.833334 @ 0.240
BUY·3h agoageing·0x12d6…7e8dwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET
+$60.00 · 80 @ 0.250
SELL·3h agoageing·0x12d6…7e8dwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET
+$74.73 · 102.37 @ 0.730
BUY·3h agoageing·0x12d6…7e8dwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET
-$20.00 · 34.482759 @ 0.580
BUY·3h agoageing·0x12d6…7e8dwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET
-$20.00 · 33.898304 @ 0.590
BUY·3h agoageing·0x12d6…7e8dwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET
-$20.00 · 33.991695 @ 0.588
BUY·4h agoageing·0x12d6…7e8dwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET
+$3.93 · 8.931072 @ 0.560
BUY·4h agoageing·0x12d6…7e8dwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET
+$4.09 · 9.090908 @ 0.550
BUY·4h agoageing·0x12d6…7e8dwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET
+$4.09 · 9.090908 @ 0.550
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.