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metrozhang27

0x11be…7712polymarket ↗last active 19m ago
All-time PnL
-$4.93k
Win rate
15.9%
16 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
-$71.42
30d PnL
$1.24k
30d trades
26
30d wins
3
11.5%
30d volume
$24.7k
Category edge
Sports
15.1%
-33.6pp
n=93

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
15.1% (14 wins / 79 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 10 markets — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 14-day series
$2.49k
-$4.84k
Trading pattern
Sports Specialistbuy-heavysmall-sizelongshot-huntercategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Sports 100%
Why Sports Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Sports 100% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Sports specialist.
Directional bias: +0.74 (buy-heavy)Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.24Enters at long-odds prices (<0.30) — a longshot-hunter pattern.
Typical position size: median $100Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 2.09 (varied)Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 24¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $100.00 · p90 $964.76
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Tue 19:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
BUY·19m ago·0x11be…7712why? →
No on Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-09-19?
1887.888889 @ 0.630
SELL·22m ago·0x11be…7712why? →
Newcastle United FC on Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)
1509.81 @ 0.763
BUY·26m ago·0x11be…7712why? →
No on Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-19?
740.740741 @ 0.270
BUY·54m ago·0x11be…7712why? →
No on Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-19?
849.395667 @ 0.589
BUY·1h ago·0x11be…7712why? →
Newcastle United FC on Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)
1509.81 @ 0.393
BUY·21h agoageing·0x11be…7712why? →
Yes on Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-18?
-$964.76 · 2679.888889 @ 0.360
BUY·1d agostale·0x11be…7712why? →
Norwich City FC on Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)
-$383.20 · 1062.837838 @ 0.361
BUY·1d agostale·0x11be…7712why? →
Yes on Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-09-17?
-$100.00 · 2163.620426 @ 0.046
SELL·2d agostale·0x11be…7712why? →
FC Barcelona on Spread: FC Barcelona (-3.5)
-$488.75 · 2961.6 @ 0.835
SELL·2d agostale·0x11be…7712why? →
FC Barcelona on Spread: FC Barcelona (-3.5)
-$205.64 · 1209.66 @ 0.830
BUY·2d agostale·0x11be…7712why? →
FC Barcelona on Spread: FC Barcelona (-3.5)
+$513.54 · 1006.938776 @ 0.490
BUY·2d agostale·0x11be…7712why? →
FC Barcelona on Spread: FC Barcelona (-3.5)
+$1.61k · 3164.326531 @ 0.490
BUY·4d agostale·0x11be…7712why? →
Yes on Will Como 1907 vs. Parma Calcio 1913 end in a draw?
-$96.00 · 960 @ 0.100
BUY·4d agostale·0x11be…7712why? →
Yes on Will Como 1907 vs. Parma Calcio 1913 end in a draw?
-$96.00 · 872.727273 @ 0.110
BUY·4d agostale·0x11be…7712why? →
Yes on Will Como 1907 vs. Parma Calcio 1913 end in a draw?
-$91.00 · 827.272728 @ 0.110
SELL·4d agostale·0x11be…7712why? →
Como 1907 on Spread: Como 1907 (-2.5)
+$135.22 · 1352.24 @ 0.100
SELL·4d agostale·0x11be…7712why? →
Como 1907 on Spread: Como 1907 (-2.5)
+$264.22 · 2632.93 @ 0.100
BUY·5d agostale·0x11be…7712why? →
Como 1907 on Spread: Como 1907 (-2.5)
-$1.39k · 3985.171429 @ 0.350
BUY·5d agostale·0x11be…7712why? →
on Will Como 1907 vs. Parma Calcio 1913 end in a draw? AND Will Torino FC win on 2026-09-14?
2266.331052 @ 0.022
BUY·8d agostale·0x11be…7712why? →
FK Bodø/Glimt on Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)
-$481.55 · 1337.638889 @ 0.360
BUY·19d agostale·0x11be…7712why? →
Málaga CF on Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)
-$100.00 · 1250 @ 0.080
SELL·19d agostale·0x11be…7712why? →
Real Madrid CF on Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)
-$569.50 · 7526.37 @ 0.924
BUY·20d agostale·0x11be…7712why? →
Yes on Exact Score: Real Madrid CF 3 - 0 Málaga CF?
-$47.49 · 365.307691 @ 0.130
BUY·20d agostale·0x11be…7712why? →
Yes on Exact Score: Real Madrid CF 3 - 1 Málaga CF?
-$50.00 · 625 @ 0.080
BUY·20d agostale·0x11be…7712why? →
Real Madrid CF on Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)
+$3.33k · 7526.371784 @ 0.558
BUY·20d agostale·0x11be…7712why? →
Yes on Will Málaga CF win on 2026-08-30?
-$100.00 · 3703.703702 @ 0.027
BUY·61d agostale·0x11be…7712why? →
Spain on Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
+$200.33 · 476.982757 @ 0.580
BUY·61d agostale·0x11be…7712why? →
Yes on Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Argentina?
-$50.00 · 555.555554 @ 0.090
BUY·61d agostale·0x11be…7712why? →
Yes on Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Argentina?
-$50.00 · 555.555554 @ 0.090
BUY·61d agostale·0x11be…7712why? →
Yes on Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Argentina?
-$50.00 · 742.388284 @ 0.067
BUY·61d agostale·0x11be…7712why? →
Yes on Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals
-$100.00 · 384.615383 @ 0.260
BUY·61d agostale·0x11be…7712why? →
Spain on Spread: Spain (-1.5)
-$500.00 · 2439.085364 @ 0.205
BUY·61d agostale·0x11be…7712why? →
Spain on Spread: Spain (-1.5)
-$800.00 · 4050.63291 @ 0.197
BUY·61d agostale·0x11be…7712why? →
Yes on Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Argentina?
-$100.00 · 3125 @ 0.032
BUY·66d agostale·0x11be…7712why? →
Yes on Exact Score: England 0 - 0 Argentina?
-$92.61 · 771.75 @ 0.120
BUY·66d agostale·0x11be…7712why? →
France on Spread: Spain (-1.5)
-$96.00 · 685.714284 @ 0.140
BUY·66d agostale·0x11be…7712why? →
Yes on Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?
-$96.00 · 346.290899 @ 0.277
BUY·67d agostale·0x11be…7712why? →
Yes on Exact Score: France 1 - 2 Spain?
-$95.00 · 1055.555554 @ 0.090
BUY·67d agostale·0x11be…7712why? →
Yes on Exact Score: France 0 - 0 Spain?
-$100.00 · 1250 @ 0.080
BUY·69d agostale·0x11be…7712why? →
Switzerland on Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance
-$93.00 · 292.913384 @ 0.317
BUY·69d agostale·0x11be…7712why? →
Switzerland on Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance
-$194.00 · 760.784312 @ 0.255
BUY·69d agostale·0x11be…7712why? →
Yes on Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?
-$100.00 · 762.2483 @ 0.131
BUY·69d agostale·0x11be…7712why? →
Yes on Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?
-$23.00 · 1513.754284 @ 0.015
SELL·69d agostale·0x11be…7712why? →
Yes on Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?
-$174.14 · 1102.72 @ 0.842
BUY·69d agostale·0x11be…7712why? →
Yes on Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?
+$912.50 · 1102.724636 @ 0.172
BUY·69d agostale·0x11be…7712why? →
Yes on Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 0 Switzerland?
-$9.98 · 90.727271 @ 0.110
BUY·69d agostale·0x11be…7712why? →
Yes on Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 0 Switzerland?
-$280.02 · 2800.2 @ 0.100
BUY·69d agostale·0x11be…7712why? →
Norway on Norway vs. England: Team to Advance
-$96.00 · 1536 @ 0.063
BUY·69d agostale·0x11be…7712why? →
Norway on Norway vs. England: Team to Advance
-$80.00 · 727.272726 @ 0.110
SELL·69d agostale·0x11be…7712why? →
No on Will England win on 2026-07-11?
-$302.68 · 786.17 @ 0.615
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.