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0x109cCf7eDfAAa2CD47Fa029eBb7118e2b3B09cC4-1779024365848

0x109c…9cc4polymarket ↗last active 14m ago
All-time PnL
$277.37
Win rate
81.0%
81 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
$11.18
30d PnL
$234.79
30d trades
100
30d wins
17
17.0%
30d volume
$4.41k
Category edge
Crypto
67.4%
+8.2pp
n=43

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
68.9% (31 wins / 14 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 11 markets — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 1-day series
Not enough data to chart yet.
Trading pattern
Weather-Leaningtwo-sidedsmall-sizeBuy-leaning · Weather 50%
Why Weather-Leaninghigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Weather 50% of categorized tradesa lean toward Weather without full specialization.
Directional bias: +0.28 (two-sided)Trades both sides fairly evenly — no strong directional lean.
Entry pricing: avg 0.63Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $36Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 0.97 (moderate)Stakes vary moderately across trades.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 63¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $35.92 · p90 $94.68
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Tue 22:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
SELL·14m ago·0x109c…9cc4why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET
50 @ 0.990
BUY·14m ago·0x109c…9cc4why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET
50 @ 0.989
SELL·14m ago·0x109c…9cc4why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET
100 @ 0.980
BUY·15m ago·0x109c…9cc4why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET
50 @ 0.913
BUY·16m ago·0x109c…9cc4why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET
50 @ 0.920
BUY·18m ago·0x109c…9cc4why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET
-$0.50 · 50 @ 0.010
BUY·19m ago·0x109c…9cc4why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET
+$4.82 · 50 @ 0.904
BUY·19m ago·0x109c…9cc4why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET
+$12.00 · 50 @ 0.760
SELL·24m ago·0x109c…9cc4why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
-$5.87 · 100 @ 0.941
BUY·25m ago·0x109c…9cc4why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
+$9.31 · 100 @ 0.907
BUY·34m ago·0x109c…9cc4why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET
+$5.77 · 100 @ 0.942
BUY·39m ago·0x109c…9cc4why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET
+$10.05 · 50 @ 0.799
BUY·40m ago·0x109c…9cc4why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET
+$20.00 · 50 @ 0.600
BUY·40m ago·0x109c…9cc4why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET
+$21.94 · 150 @ 0.854
BUY·47m ago·0x109c…9cc4why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET
+$17.92 · 75 @ 0.761
BUY·52m ago·0x109c…9cc4why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET
+$7.56 · 75 @ 0.899
BUY·52m ago·0x109c…9cc4why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET
+$11.82 · 75 @ 0.842
BUY·52m ago·0x109c…9cc4why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET
+$11.00 · 50 @ 0.780
BUY·54m ago·0x109c…9cc4why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET
-$26.50 · 50 @ 0.530
BUY·54m ago·0x109c…9cc4why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET
-$34.48 · 50 @ 0.690
BUY·55m ago·0x109c…9cc4why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET
-$36.08 · 50 @ 0.722
SELL·55m ago·0x109c…9cc4why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET
+$36.50 · 50 @ 0.730
BUY·55m ago·0x109c…9cc4why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET
-$40.50 · 50 @ 0.810
SELL·59m ago·0x109c…9cc4why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
-$9.56 · 150 @ 0.936
BUY·1h ago·0x109c…9cc4why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
+$2.00 · 50 @ 0.960
BUY·1h ago·0x109c…9cc4why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
+$8.50 · 50 @ 0.830
BUY·1h ago·0x109c…9cc4why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
+$11.83 · 50 @ 0.763
BUY·1h ago·0x109c…9cc4why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET
+$2.00 · 100 @ 0.980
BUY·1h ago·0x109c…9cc4why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET
+$9.24 · 100 @ 0.908
SELL·1h ago·0x109c…9cc4why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
-$29.00 · 100 @ 0.710
BUY·1h ago·0x109c…9cc4why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
+$5.32 · 100 @ 0.947
SELL·1h ago·0x109c…9cc4why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
-$33.00 · 300 @ 0.890
BUY·1h ago·0x109c…9cc4why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
+$40.48 · 100 @ 0.595
BUY·1h ago·0x109c…9cc4why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
+$19.00 · 100 @ 0.810
BUY·1h ago·0x109c…9cc4why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
+$12.32 · 100 @ 0.877
SELL·1h ago·0x109c…9cc4why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
-$8.00 · 100 @ 0.920
BUY·1h ago·0x109c…9cc4why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
+$23.26 · 100 @ 0.767
SELL·1h ago·0x109c…9cc4why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
-$36.00 · 100 @ 0.640
BUY·1h ago·0x109c…9cc4why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
+$30.96 · 100 @ 0.690
SELL·1h ago·0x109c…9cc4why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
+$83.00 · 100 @ 0.830
BUY·1h ago·0x109c…9cc4why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
-$58.00 · 100 @ 0.580
SELL·1h ago·0x109c…9cc4why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
-$16.00 · 100 @ 0.840
BUY·1h ago·0x109c…9cc4why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
+$7.50 · 50 @ 0.850
BUY·1h ago·0x109c…9cc4why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
+$7.46 · 50 @ 0.851
SELL·1h ago·0x109c…9cc4why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET
-$18.04 · 50 @ 0.639
BUY·1h ago·0x109c…9cc4why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET
+$8.43 · 50 @ 0.831
BUY·1h ago·0x109c…9cc4why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET
+$3.10 · 10 @ 0.690
BUY·1h ago·0x109c…9cc4why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET
+$2.90 · 10 @ 0.710
SELL·3h agoageing·0x109c…9cc4why? →
Yes on Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on July 21?
0.42 @ 0.001
BUY·4h agoageing·0x109c…9cc4why? →
Under on Fenerbahçe SK vs. Górnik Zabrze: O/U 3.5
+$17.41 · 158.25 @ 0.890
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.