Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET
— 136.623642 @ 0.930
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KR
kreatorrr
All-time PnL
$45.88
Win rate
58.1%
27 of 47
Total trades
47
Avg PnL / trade
$1.07
30d PnL
$74.08
30d trades
28
30d wins
21
75.0%
30d volume
$1.79k
Category edge
Weather
28.6%
-49.8pp
n=14
Crypto
68.8%
+9.5pp
n=32
vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice
Signal hit rate
56.5% (26 wins / 20 misses)⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 1 market — verify independentlyCumulative PnL · 6-day series
$45.88
-$44.70
Trading pattern
Crypto Specialistbuy-heavysmall-sizecategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Crypto 70%
Why Crypto Specialisthigh confidence · 47 trades
Category focus: Crypto 70% of categorized trades — ≥60% concentrated in one category → a Crypto specialist.
Directional bias: +0.96 (buy-heavy) — Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.58 — Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $9 — Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 1.07 (varied) — Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.
Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.
Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 58¢ · 47 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $9.00 · p90 $112.00
Activity · UTC
00h12h23h
peak Tue 22:00 · 47 trades
Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.
Recent trades
EXPORT
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET
— +$6.81 · 128.811875 @ 0.947
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
— +$7.34 · 122.340416 @ 0.940
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET
— +$1.16 · 116.1616 @ 0.990
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET
— +$3.46 · 115.4639 @ 0.970
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET
— +$6.88 · 111.876366 @ 0.939
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET
— +$2.04 · 102.0408 @ 0.980
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
— +$3.42 · 103.418133 @ 0.967
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET
— +$3.00 · 100 @ 0.970
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET
— +$5.87 · 97.872333 @ 0.940
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
— +$8.91 · 91.908233 @ 0.903
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
— +$10.09 · 84.090908 @ 0.880
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET
— +$3.00 · 75 @ 0.960
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET
— +$2.88 · 71.875 @ 0.960
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
— +$2.79 · 69.79165 @ 0.960
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
— +$7.45 · 67.45089 @ 0.890
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
— -$4.00 · 400 @ 0.010
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
— +$0.65 · 64.6464 @ 0.990
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
— +$11.55 · 64.158533 @ 0.820
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET
— +$2.08 · 52.083325 @ 0.960
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
— +$2.04 · 51.04165 @ 0.960
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET
— +$1.91 · 31.914883 @ 0.940
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET
— +$1.24 · 11.235954 @ 0.890
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET
— -$2.00 · 28.571427 @ 0.070
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET
— -$5.00 · 27.777776 @ 0.180
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
— +$0.51 · 10.2 @ 0.050
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
— -$5.00 · 10.20408 @ 0.490
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
— -$5.00 · 14.285713 @ 0.350
Up on Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET
— -$2.00 · 5.555554 @ 0.360
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
— -$2.00 · 100 @ 0.020
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
— -$1.00 · 100 @ 0.010
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET
— -$5.00 · 9.090908 @ 0.550
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
— -$10.00 · 34.482757 @ 0.290
Yes on Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 5?
— +$10.15 · 19.148935 @ 0.470
Yes on Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 5?
— -$8.00 · 23.085713 @ 0.347
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 5?
— +$9.67 · 16.666665 @ 0.420
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 5?
— -$7.00 · 16.666665 @ 0.420
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on June 5?
— -$8.00 · 32.037036 @ 0.250
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on June 5?
— -$8.00 · 28.571427 @ 0.280
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on June 4?
— -$4.00 · 33.968887 @ 0.118
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on June 4?
— +$22.43 · 27.434735 @ 0.182
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on June 4?
— -$7.00 · 21.363635 @ 0.328
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on June 4?
— -$5.00 · 18.96111 @ 0.264
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C or below on June 3?
— -$8.56 · 21 @ 0.408
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on June 3?
— +$11.10 · 15.100369 @ 0.265
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on June 3?
— -$3.00 · 15 @ 0.200
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C or below on June 3?
— -$3.00 · 22.258502 @ 0.135
Integrity indicators
No anomalies detected for this trader.
Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.