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RA

random-sx

0x0fd0…46b6polymarket ↗last active 19m ago
All-time PnL
-$203.68
Win rate
75.3%
75 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
-$2.19
30d PnL
-$203.68
30d trades
100
30d wins
70
70.0%
30d volume
$7.53k
Category edge
Crypto
75.8%
+28.1pp
n=99

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
75.8% (75 wins / 24 misses)
Cumulative PnL · 1-day series
Not enough data to chart yet.
Trading pattern
Crypto Specialistbuy-heavysmall-sizefavorite-backercategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Crypto 100%
Why Crypto Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Crypto 100% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Crypto specialist.
Directional bias: +1.00 (buy-heavy)Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.78Enters at favorite prices (>0.70) — backs likely outcomes.
Typical position size: median $96Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 0.49 (consistent)Stakes are uniform — systematic, flat-sizing behaviour.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 78¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $96.00 · p90 $97.00
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Fri 09:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
BUY·19m ago·0x0fd0…46b6why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET
100 @ 0.960
BUY·46m ago·0x0fd0…46b6why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
+$77.00 · 100 @ 0.230
BUY·46m ago·0x0fd0…46b6why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
-$96.00 · 100 @ 0.960
BUY·1h ago·0x0fd0…46b6why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET
+$3.00 · 100 @ 0.970
BUY·1h ago·0x0fd0…46b6why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET
+$3.00 · 100 @ 0.970
BUY·1h ago·0x0fd0…46b6why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET
+$4.00 · 100 @ 0.960
BUY·1h ago·0x0fd0…46b6why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET
+$4.00 · 100 @ 0.960
BUY·1h ago·0x0fd0…46b6why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET
+$1.05 · 35 @ 0.970
BUY·1h ago·0x0fd0…46b6why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET
-$1.05 · 35 @ 0.030
BUY·2h agoageing·0x0fd0…46b6why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET
+$3.00 · 100 @ 0.970
BUY·2h agoageing·0x0fd0…46b6why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET
+$4.00 · 100 @ 0.960
BUY·2h agoageing·0x0fd0…46b6why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET
+$3.00 · 100 @ 0.970
BUY·2h agoageing·0x0fd0…46b6why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET
+$4.00 · 100 @ 0.960
BUY·2h agoageing·0x0fd0…46b6why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET
-$15.06 · 100 @ 0.151
BUY·2h agoageing·0x0fd0…46b6why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET
+$3.66 · 100 @ 0.963
BUY·3h agoageing·0x0fd0…46b6why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET
+$3.94 · 100 @ 0.961
BUY·3h agoageing·0x0fd0…46b6why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET
+$3.00 · 100 @ 0.970
BUY·3h agoageing·0x0fd0…46b6why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET
+$3.00 · 100 @ 0.970
BUY·3h agoageing·0x0fd0…46b6why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET
+$3.00 · 100 @ 0.970
BUY·4h agoageing·0x0fd0…46b6why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
+$3.00 · 100 @ 0.970
BUY·4h agoageing·0x0fd0…46b6why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
+$3.00 · 100 @ 0.970
BUY·4h agoageing·0x0fd0…46b6why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET
+$4.00 · 100 @ 0.960
BUY·4h agoageing·0x0fd0…46b6why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
+$4.00 · 100 @ 0.960
BUY·5h agoageing·0x0fd0…46b6why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET
+$5.00 · 100 @ 0.950
BUY·5h agoageing·0x0fd0…46b6why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET
+$4.00 · 100 @ 0.960
BUY·5h agoageing·0x0fd0…46b6why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
+$3.00 · 100 @ 0.970
BUY·5h agoageing·0x0fd0…46b6why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
+$3.00 · 100 @ 0.970
BUY·5h agoageing·0x0fd0…46b6why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
+$3.76 · 100 @ 0.962
BUY·6h agoageing·0x0fd0…46b6why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
-$1.92 · 96 @ 0.020
BUY·6h agoageing·0x0fd0…46b6why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
+$3.00 · 100 @ 0.970
BUY·6h agoageing·0x0fd0…46b6why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET
+$3.00 · 100 @ 0.970
BUY·6h agoageing·0x0fd0…46b6why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET
-$1.00 · 100 @ 0.010
BUY·6h agoageing·0x0fd0…46b6why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET
+$3.00 · 100 @ 0.970
BUY·6h agoageing·0x0fd0…46b6why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET
+$1.44 · 48.07 @ 0.970
BUY·6h agoageing·0x0fd0…46b6why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET
-$3.00 · 100 @ 0.030
BUY·6h agoageing·0x0fd0…46b6why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET
+$4.00 · 100 @ 0.960
BUY·6h agoageing·0x0fd0…46b6why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET
+$3.22 · 100 @ 0.968
BUY·7h agoageing·0x0fd0…46b6why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET
+$3.00 · 100 @ 0.970
BUY·7h agoageing·0x0fd0…46b6why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET
-$15.00 · 100 @ 0.150
BUY·7h agoageing·0x0fd0…46b6why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET
+$4.00 · 100 @ 0.960
BUY·7h agoageing·0x0fd0…46b6why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET
-$3.00 · 100 @ 0.030
BUY·7h agoageing·0x0fd0…46b6why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET
+$4.00 · 100 @ 0.960
BUY·8h agoageing·0x0fd0…46b6why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET
+$2.94 · 98.12 @ 0.970
BUY·8h agoageing·0x0fd0…46b6why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
-$42.59 · 100 @ 0.426
BUY·8h agoageing·0x0fd0…46b6why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
+$3.00 · 100 @ 0.970
BUY·9h agoageing·0x0fd0…46b6why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
+$3.00 · 100 @ 0.970
BUY·9h agoageing·0x0fd0…46b6why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
-$0.70 · 35.01 @ 0.020
BUY·9h agoageing·0x0fd0…46b6why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
+$2.10 · 70 @ 0.970
BUY·9h agoageing·0x0fd0…46b6why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
-$6.00 · 100 @ 0.060
BUY·9h agoageing·0x0fd0…46b6why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
+$3.00 · 100 @ 0.970
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.