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fruggo

0x0f16…0246polymarket ↗last active 14m ago
All-time PnL
$186.64
Win rate
70.2%
70 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
$4.03
30d PnL
$385.02
30d trades
53
30d wins
16
30.2%
30d volume
$8.08k
Category edge
Crypto
45.8%
-15.6pp
n=83
Sports
64.3%
+11.6pp
n=14

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
48.5% (47 wins / 50 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 31 markets — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 2-day series
$184.75
-$200.27
Trading pattern
Crypto Specialisttwo-sidedsmall-sizefavorite-backercategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Crypto 84%
Why Crypto Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Crypto 84% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Crypto specialist.
Directional bias: +0.32 (two-sided)Trades both sides fairly evenly — no strong directional lean.
Entry pricing: avg 0.77Enters at favorite prices (>0.70) — backs likely outcomes.
Typical position size: median $100Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 0.65 (moderate)Stakes vary moderately across trades.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 77¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $100.00 · p90 $205.97
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Fri 14:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
BUY·14m ago·0x0f16…0246why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET
141.786055 @ 0.705
BUY·17m ago·0x0f16…0246why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET
-$100.00 · 210.490197 @ 0.475
BUY·17m ago·0x0f16…0246why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET
-$100.00 · 122.204817 @ 0.818
SELL·21m ago·0x0f16…0246why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET
-$1.45 · 144.92 @ 0.990
BUY·23m ago·0x0f16…0246why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET
+$44.93 · 144.927535 @ 0.690
BUY·29m ago·0x0f16…0246why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET
+$150.00 · 250 @ 0.400
SELL·37m ago·0x0f16…0246why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET
-$1.67 · 166.66 @ 0.990
BUY·40m ago·0x0f16…0246why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET
+$66.67 · 166.666667 @ 0.600
SELL·41m ago·0x0f16…0246why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET
-$3.65 · 364.63 @ 0.990
BUY·45m ago·0x0f16…0246why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET
+$103.34 · 203.34 @ 0.492
BUY·45m ago·0x0f16…0246why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET
+$61.29 · 161.290323 @ 0.620
BUY·50m ago·0x0f16…0246why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET
-$100.00 · 263.157895 @ 0.380
BUY·53m ago·0x0f16…0246why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET
-$100.00 · 227.272728 @ 0.440
SELL·55m ago·0x0f16…0246why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET
-$2.80 · 280.39 @ 0.990
BUY·59m ago·0x0f16…0246why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET
+$33.33 · 133.333332 @ 0.750
BUY·59m ago·0x0f16…0246why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET
+$47.06 · 147.058821 @ 0.680
SELL·1h ago·0x0f16…0246why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET
-$1.05 · 105.2 @ 0.990
BUY·1h ago·0x0f16…0246why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET
+$5.21 · 105.208325 @ 0.950
SELL·1h ago·0x0f16…0246why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET
+$313.11 · 579.83 @ 0.540
BUY·1h ago·0x0f16…0246why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET
-$100.00 · 285.714286 @ 0.350
BUY·1h ago·0x0f16…0246why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET
-$100.00 · 294.117648 @ 0.340
BUY·1h ago·0x0f16…0246why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET
-$100.00 · 352.396207 @ 0.284
BUY·1h ago·0x0f16…0246why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET
-$100.00 · 175.438597 @ 0.570
SELL·1h ago·0x0f16…0246why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET
-$2.54 · 253.5 @ 0.990
BUY·1h ago·0x0f16…0246why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET
+$153.50 · 253.5 @ 0.394
SELL·1h ago·0x0f16…0246why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET
+$150.10 · 188.67 @ 0.796
BUY·1h ago·0x0f16…0246why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET
-$100.00 · 188.679246 @ 0.530
BUY·1h ago·0x0f16…0246why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET
-$100.00 · 217.391305 @ 0.460
SELL·1h ago·0x0f16…0246why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET
-$9.23 · 153.84 @ 0.940
BUY·1h ago·0x0f16…0246why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET
+$53.85 · 153.846154 @ 0.650
SELL·1h ago·0x0f16…0246why? →
Ravens on Saints vs. Ravens
253.16 @ 0.780
BUY·1h ago·0x0f16…0246why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET
-$100.00 · 277.76973 @ 0.360
BUY·1h ago·0x0f16…0246why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET
-$100.00 · 187.035926 @ 0.535
SELL·1h ago·0x0f16…0246why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET
-$1.59 · 158.73 @ 0.990
BUY·2h agoageing·0x0f16…0246why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET
+$58.73 · 158.730159 @ 0.630
BUY·2h agoageing·0x0f16…0246why? →
Ravens on Saints vs. Ravens
253.164557 @ 0.790
SELL·2h agoageing·0x0f16…0246why? →
Los Angeles Angels on Minnesota Twins vs. Los Angeles Angels
-$0.26 · 262.07 @ 0.999
SELL·2h agoageing·0x0f16…0246why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET
-$0.21 · 206.18 @ 0.999
BUY·2h agoageing·0x0f16…0246why? →
Los Angeles Angels on Minnesota Twins vs. Los Angeles Angels
+$56.41 · 256.410254 @ 0.780
BUY·2h agoageing·0x0f16…0246why? →
Los Angeles Angels on Minnesota Twins vs. Los Angeles Angels
+$1.08 · 5.66 @ 0.810
BUY·2h agoageing·0x0f16…0246why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET
+$3.09 · 103.092766 @ 0.970
BUY·2h agoageing·0x0f16…0246why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET
+$3.09 · 103.092766 @ 0.970
SELL·2h agoageing·0x0f16…0246why? →
Minnesota Twins on Minnesota Twins vs. Los Angeles Angels
+$314.07 · 640.96 @ 0.490
BUY·2h agoageing·0x0f16…0246why? →
Minnesota Twins on Minnesota Twins vs. Los Angeles Angels
-$100.00 · 400 @ 0.250
BUY·2h agoageing·0x0f16…0246why? →
Minnesota Twins on Minnesota Twins vs. Los Angeles Angels
-$200.00 · 240.963852 @ 0.830
SELL·2h agoageing·0x0f16…0246why? →
San Diego Padres on Miami Marlins vs. San Diego Padres
-$0.42 · 424.56 @ 0.999
BUY·3h agoageing·0x0f16…0246why? →
San Diego Padres on Miami Marlins vs. San Diego Padres
+$34.71 · 134.706664 @ 0.742
BUY·3h agoageing·0x0f16…0246why? →
San Diego Padres on Miami Marlins vs. San Diego Padres
+$89.86 · 289.85507 @ 0.690
SELL·3h agoageing·0x0f16…0246why? →
Joshua Van on UFC 331: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)
-$0.58 · 584.68 @ 0.999
BUY·3h agoageing·0x0f16…0246why? →
Joshua Van on UFC 331: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)
+$30.00 · 100 @ 0.700
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.