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JR

JroMota

0x0ef3…df7fpolymarket ↗last active 13m ago
All-time PnL
$62.73
Win rate
30.4%
30 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
$1.12
30d PnL
$233.79
30d trades
68
30d wins
12
17.6%
30d volume
$2.18k
Category edge
Crypto
20.0%
-26.9pp
n=5
Sports
33.0%
-18.7pp
n=91

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
32.3% (31 wins / 65 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 23 markets — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 10-day series
$0.77
-$248.59
Trading pattern
Sports Specialisttwo-sidedsmall-sizelongshot-huntercategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Sports 95%
Why Sports Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Sports 95% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Sports specialist.
Directional bias: +0.34 (two-sided)Trades both sides fairly evenly — no strong directional lean.
Entry pricing: avg 0.24Enters at long-odds prices (<0.30) — a longshot-hunter pattern.
Typical position size: median $21Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 1.11 (varied)Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 24¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $21.25 · p90 $70.00
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Sun 20:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
BUY·13m ago·0x0ef3…df7fwhy? →
Detroit Tigers on Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox
241.935484 @ 0.310
BUY·1h ago·0x0ef3…df7fwhy? →
New York Yankees on New York Yankees vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
192.857143 @ 0.140
SELL·1h ago·0x0ef3…df7fwhy? →
Arizona Diamondbacks on New York Yankees vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
250 @ 0.790
SELL·1h ago·0x0ef3…df7fwhy? →
Athletics on Athletics vs. Cleveland Guardians
+$65.03 · 191.26 @ 0.340
BUY·2h agoageing·0x0ef3…df7fwhy? →
Arizona Diamondbacks on New York Yankees vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
250 @ 0.200
BUY·2h agoageing·0x0ef3…df7fwhy? →
Athletics on Athletics vs. Cleveland Guardians
-$11.00 · 52.380953 @ 0.210
BUY·2h agoageing·0x0ef3…df7fwhy? →
Miami Marlins on Miami Marlins vs. San Diego Padres
-$25.00 · 150.919412 @ 0.166
SELL·2h agoageing·0x0ef3…df7fwhy? →
Houston Astros on Atlanta Braves vs. Houston Astros
+$14.50 · 207.14 @ 0.070
BUY·2h agoageing·0x0ef3…df7fwhy? →
Athletics on Athletics vs. Cleveland Guardians
-$25.00 · 138.888889 @ 0.180
BUY·3h agoageing·0x0ef3…df7fwhy? →
Houston Astros on Atlanta Braves vs. Houston Astros
-$29.00 · 207.142858 @ 0.140
SELL·3h agoageing·0x0ef3…df7fwhy? →
Atlanta Braves on Atlanta Braves vs. Houston Astros
-$29.54 · 211.03 @ 0.860
BUY·3h agoageing·0x0ef3…df7fwhy? →
Atlanta Braves on Atlanta Braves vs. Houston Astros
+$154.06 · 211.037038 @ 0.270
BUY·5h agoageing·0x0ef3…df7fwhy? →
New York Mets on Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets
-$19.00 · 172.727273 @ 0.110
BUY·5h agoageing·0x0ef3…df7fwhy? →
Boston Red Sox on Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays
-$18.00 · 225 @ 0.080
BUY·5h agoageing·0x0ef3…df7fwhy? →
Boston Red Sox on Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays
-$30.00 · 130.434783 @ 0.230
BUY·5h agoageing·0x0ef3…df7fwhy? →
New York Mets on Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets
-$30.00 · 150 @ 0.200
BUY·18h agoageing·0x0ef3…df7fwhy? →
Minnesota Twins on Minnesota Twins vs. Los Angeles Angels
-$11.00 · 50 @ 0.220
SELL·18h agoageing·0x0ef3…df7fwhy? →
Los Angeles Angels on Minnesota Twins vs. Los Angeles Angels
-$8.16 · 38.88 @ 0.790
BUY·18h agoageing·0x0ef3…df7fwhy? →
Los Angeles Angels on Minnesota Twins vs. Los Angeles Angels
+$31.89 · 38.888889 @ 0.180
BUY·18h agoageing·0x0ef3…df7fwhy? →
Miami Marlins on Miami Marlins vs. San Diego Padres
-$25.00 · 133.157895 @ 0.188
SELL·19h agoageing·0x0ef3…df7fwhy? →
Miami Marlins on Miami Marlins vs. San Diego Padres
+$40.63 · 156.25 @ 0.260
BUY·19h agoageing·0x0ef3…df7fwhy? →
Miami Marlins on Miami Marlins vs. San Diego Padres
-$50.00 · 156.25 @ 0.320
SELL·19h agoageing·0x0ef3…df7fwhy? →
Miami Marlins on Miami Marlins vs. San Diego Padres
+$29.17 · 83.33 @ 0.350
BUY·19h agoageing·0x0ef3…df7fwhy? →
Miami Marlins on Miami Marlins vs. San Diego Padres
-$10.00 · 83.333334 @ 0.120
SELL·19h agoageing·0x0ef3…df7fwhy? →
Miami Marlins on Miami Marlins vs. San Diego Padres
+$70.63 · 181.11 @ 0.390
BUY·19h agoageing·0x0ef3…df7fwhy? →
Miami Marlins on Miami Marlins vs. San Diego Padres
-$17.00 · 94.444445 @ 0.180
BUY·20h agoageing·0x0ef3…df7fwhy? →
Miami Marlins on Miami Marlins vs. San Diego Padres
-$13.00 · 86.666667 @ 0.150
SELL·20h agoageing·0x0ef3…df7fwhy? →
San Diego Padres on Miami Marlins vs. San Diego Padres
-$37.65 · 171.13 @ 0.780
BUY·22h agoageing·0x0ef3…df7fwhy? →
San Diego Padres on Miami Marlins vs. San Diego Padres
+$119.79 · 171.133334 @ 0.300
SELL·22h agoageing·0x0ef3…df7fwhy? →
Atlanta Braves on Atlanta Braves vs. Houston Astros
-$38.68 · 78.94 @ 0.510
BUY·23h agoageing·0x0ef3…df7fwhy? →
Atlanta Braves on Atlanta Braves vs. Houston Astros
+$63.95 · 78.947369 @ 0.190
BUY·3d agostale·0x0ef3…df7fwhy? →
Pittsburgh Pirates on Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
-$13.00 · 46.428572 @ 0.280
SELL·3d agostale·0x0ef3…df7fwhy? →
Athletics on Athletics vs. Tampa Bay Rays
+$14.23 · 142.25 @ 0.100
BUY·3d agostale·0x0ef3…df7fwhy? →
Athletics on Athletics vs. Tampa Bay Rays
-$22.76 · 142.25 @ 0.160
BUY·4d agostale·0x0ef3…df7fwhy? →
Zeynep Sonmez on Guadalajara Open Akron: Zeynep Sonmez vs Iva Jovic
-$12.84 · 98.769231 @ 0.130
BUY·4d agostale·0x0ef3…df7fwhy? →
Laura Pigossi on Sao Paulo Open: Vendula Valdmannova vs Laura Pigossi
-$10.00 · 125 @ 0.080
BUY·5d agostale·0x0ef3…df7fwhy? →
Colorado Rockies on San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies
-$15.36 · 139.636364 @ 0.110
BUY·5d agostale·0x0ef3…df7fwhy? →
Cleveland Guardians on Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians
-$9.63 · 119.99 @ 0.080
BUY·6d agostale·0x0ef3…df7fwhy? →
Renata Zarazua on Guadalajara Open Akron: Renata Zarazua vs Caroline Dolehide
-$84.43 · 216.48718 @ 0.390
BUY·6d agostale·0x0ef3…df7fwhy? →
Kacper Knitter on Szczecin: Kacper Knitter vs Martin Krumich
-$10.00 · 84.166667 @ 0.119
BUY·6d agostale·0x0ef3…df7fwhy? →
Lola Radivojevic on Ljubljana: Lola Radivojevic vs Noemi Basiletti
-$5.00 · 35.714286 @ 0.140
SELL·6d agostale·0x0ef3…df7fwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET
-$6.25 · 31.25 @ 0.800
BUY·6d agostale·0x0ef3…df7fwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET
+$21.25 · 31.25 @ 0.320
BUY·6d agostale·0x0ef3…df7fwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET
-$10.00 · 43.478261 @ 0.230
BUY·6d agostale·0x0ef3…df7fwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET
-$2.00 · 18.181819 @ 0.110
BUY·6d agostale·0x0ef3…df7fwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET
-$5.00 · 500 @ 0.010
SELL·6d agostale·0x0ef3…df7fwhy? →
San Francisco Giants on San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants
+$8.45 · 281.81 @ 0.030
BUY·6d agostale·0x0ef3…df7fwhy? →
San Francisco Giants on San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants
-$62.00 · 281.818182 @ 0.220
SELL·6d agostale·0x0ef3…df7fwhy? →
Athletics on Seattle Mariners vs. Athletics
-$0.14 · 135.58 @ 0.999
SELL·7d agostale·0x0ef3…df7fwhy? →
Arizona Diamondbacks on Texas Rangers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
+$21.72 · 208.33 @ 0.104
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.