Yes on Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?
— 1610.690635 @ 0.621
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BI
bidon69
All-time PnL
$939.31
Win rate
90.0%
16 of 18
Total trades
18
Avg PnL / trade
$93.93
30d PnL
$0.00
30d trades
4
30d wins
0
0.0%
30d volume
$4.00k
Category edge
Crypto
63.6%
+13.2pp
n=11
vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice
Signal hit rate
64.3% (9 wins / 5 misses)⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 4 markets — verify independentlyCumulative PnL · 9-day series
$939.31
-$261.83
Trading pattern
Crypto Specialistbuy-heavymid-sizefavorite-backercategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Crypto 83%
Why Crypto Specialistmedium confidence · 18 trades
Category focus: Crypto 83% of categorized trades — ≥60% concentrated in one category → a Crypto specialist.
Directional bias: +0.56 (buy-heavy) — Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.76 — Enters at favorite prices (>0.70) — backs likely outcomes.
Typical position size: median $975 — Mid-sized typical stake.
Sizing consistency: CV 0.44 (consistent) — Stakes are uniform — systematic, flat-sizing behaviour.
⚠ Based on 18 trades — a moderate sample.
Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.
Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 76¢ · 18 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $974.83 · p90 $1.16k
Activity · UTC
00h12h23h
peak Sat 06:00 · 18 trades
Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.
Recent trades
EXPORT
Yes on Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?
— 1617.027742 @ 0.618
Yes on Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?
— 1639.344263 @ 0.610
Yes on Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?
— 1639.344263 @ 0.610
No on MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
— +$191.31 · 1224.196 @ 0.844
No on Trove FDV above $20M one day after launch?
— +$46.14 · 546.144455 @ 0.916
No on Over $120M committed to the Ranger public sale?
— +$367.89 · 1532.881575 @ 0.760
Yes on Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?
— -$32.33 · 1197.32 @ 0.973
Yes on Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?
— +$39.61 · 1197.322225 @ 0.967
Yes on MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
— +$512.19 · 609.75 @ 0.840
No on Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
— -$1.29 · 646.81 @ 0.998
No on Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
— +$77.62 · 646.818175 @ 0.880
Yes on MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
— -$500.00 · 609.756094 @ 0.820
Yes on Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
— +$92.31 · 192.307691 @ 0.520
Yes on Pump.fun announces public raise sold out in the first hour?
— -$3.52 · 1172.72 @ 0.997
Yes on Pump.fun announces public raise sold out in the first hour?
— +$223.07 · 1172.728394 @ 0.810
Yes on Arsenal wins the Premier League?
— -$100.00 · 14285.714285 @ 0.007
Yes on USA wins the most medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?
— +$26.32 · 526.31578 @ 0.950
Integrity indicators
No anomalies detected for this trader.
Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.