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0x0c154c190E293B7e5F8D453b5F690C4dC9599A45-1775083003603

0x0c15…9a45polymarket ↗last active 20m ago
All-time PnL
$3.84k
Win rate
50.0%
50 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
$383.66
30d PnL
$3.84k
30d trades
100
30d wins
5
5.0%
30d volume
$31.0k
Category edge
Sports
37.5%
-13.9pp
n=32
Economy
100.0%
+2.3pp
n=42

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
73.0% (54 wins / 20 misses)
Cumulative PnL · 4-day series
$3.84k
-$12.5k
Trading pattern
Sports-Leaningbuy-heavysmall-sizeBuy-leaning · Sports 49%
Why Sports-Leaninghigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Sports 49% of categorized tradesa lean toward Sports without full specialization.
Directional bias: +0.98 (buy-heavy)Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.64Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $15Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 3.74 (varied)Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 64¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $14.58 · p90 $453.39
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Wed 14:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
BUY·20m ago·0x0c15…9a45why? →
Seattle Storm on Seattle Storm vs. Golden State Valkyries
2845.2 @ 0.150
BUY·28m ago·0x0c15…9a45why? →
Under on Seattle Storm vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 156.5
69.9 @ 0.500
BUY·1h ago·0x0c15…9a45why? →
Over on Chicago Sky vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 176.5
78 @ 0.510
BUY·1h ago·0x0c15…9a45why? →
Over on Chicago Sky vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 176.5
79 @ 0.510
BUY·2h agoageing·0x0c15…9a45why? →
Under on Florida International vs. Florida Atlantic: O/U 62.5
5 @ 0.510
BUY·2h agoageing·0x0c15…9a45why? →
Under on Florida International vs. Florida Atlantic: O/U 62.5
889 @ 0.510
BUY·4h agoageing·0x0c15…9a45why? →
Over on Chicago Sky vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 176.5
381.75 @ 0.520
BUY·4h agoageing·0x0c15…9a45why? →
Seattle Storm on Seattle Storm vs. Golden State Valkyries
2234.06 @ 0.130
BUY·4h agoageing·0x0c15…9a45why? →
Utah State on Spread: Utah (-27.5)
110 @ 0.530
BUY·6h agoageing·0x0c15…9a45why? →
Over on Phoenix Mercury vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 171.5
-$2.82 · 5.53 @ 0.510
BUY·7h agoageing·0x0c15…9a45why? →
No on Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
1.470587 @ 0.680
BUY·10h agoageing·0x0c15…9a45why? →
Chicago Sky on Chicago Sky vs. Atlanta Dream
9.5 @ 0.140
BUY·10h agoageing·0x0c15…9a45why? →
Seattle Storm on Seattle Storm vs. Golden State Valkyries
201 @ 0.140
BUY·12h agoageing·0x0c15…9a45why? →
No on Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
1.470587 @ 0.680
BUY·13h agoageing·0x0c15…9a45why? →
Bengals on Bengals vs. Texans
2299 @ 0.430
BUY·14h agoageing·0x0c15…9a45why? →
Over on Jaguars vs. Broncos: O/U 45.5
106 @ 0.510
BUY·14h agoageing·0x0c15…9a45why? →
Over on Jaguars vs. Broncos: O/U 45.5
8 @ 0.510
BUY·14h agoageing·0x0c15…9a45why? →
Over on Jaguars vs. Broncos: O/U 45.5
5 @ 0.510
BUY·14h agoageing·0x0c15…9a45why? →
Over on Jaguars vs. Broncos: O/U 45.5
1509 @ 0.510
BUY·18h agoageing·0x0c15…9a45why? →
Seattle Storm on Seattle Storm vs. Golden State Valkyries
10 @ 0.130
SELL·22h agoageing·0x0c15…9a45why? →
Yes on Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
212.79 @ 0.769
BUY·1d agostale·0x0c15…9a45why? →
Under on Portland Fire vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 159.5
+$906.50 · 1850 @ 0.510
BUY·1d agostale·0x0c15…9a45why? →
New York Liberty on New York Liberty vs. Minnesota Lynx
+$134.00 · 200 @ 0.330
BUY·1d agostale·0x0c15…9a45why? →
New York Liberty on New York Liberty vs. Minnesota Lynx
+$134.00 · 200 @ 0.330
BUY·1d agostale·0x0c15…9a45why? →
New York Liberty on New York Liberty vs. Minnesota Lynx
+$829.46 · 1238 @ 0.330
BUY·1d agostale·0x0c15…9a45why? →
New York Liberty on New York Liberty vs. Minnesota Lynx
+$137.35 · 205 @ 0.330
BUY·1d agostale·0x0c15…9a45why? →
New York Liberty on New York Liberty vs. Minnesota Lynx
+$12.2k · 18234 @ 0.330
BUY·1d agostale·0x0c15…9a45why? →
Under on Portland Fire vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 159.5
+$11.22 · 22 @ 0.490
BUY·1d agostale·0x0c15…9a45why? →
New York Liberty on New York Liberty vs. Minnesota Lynx
+$31.96 · 47 @ 0.320
BUY·1d agostale·0x0c15…9a45why? →
New York Liberty on New York Liberty vs. Minnesota Lynx
+$3.22k · 4602.5 @ 0.300
BUY·1d agostale·0x0c15…9a45why? →
No on Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
2.970587 @ 0.680
BUY·1d agostale·0x0c15…9a45why? →
New York Liberty on New York Liberty vs. Minnesota Lynx
+$2.47k · 3477 @ 0.290
BUY·1d agostale·0x0c15…9a45why? →
Yes on Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
1.470587 @ 0.680
BUY·1d agostale·0x0c15…9a45why? →
Yes on Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
7.941175 @ 0.680
BUY·1d agostale·0x0c15…9a45why? →
Yes on Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
1.470587 @ 0.680
BUY·1d agostale·0x0c15…9a45why? →
Seattle Storm on Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-10.5)
-$24.50 · 50 @ 0.490
BUY·1d agostale·0x0c15…9a45why? →
Seattle Storm on Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-10.5)
-$35.28 · 72 @ 0.490
BUY·1d agostale·0x0c15…9a45why? →
Seattle Storm on Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-10.5)
-$24.50 · 50 @ 0.490
BUY·1d agostale·0x0c15…9a45why? →
Seattle Storm on Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-10.5)
-$759.50 · 1550 @ 0.490
BUY·1d agostale·0x0c15…9a45why? →
Seattle Storm on Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-10.5)
-$59.29 · 121 @ 0.490
BUY·1d agostale·0x0c15…9a45why? →
Seattle Storm on Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-10.5)
-$94.08 · 192 @ 0.490
BUY·1d agostale·0x0c15…9a45why? →
Seattle Storm on Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-10.5)
-$254.31 · 519 @ 0.490
BUY·1d agostale·0x0c15…9a45why? →
Seattle Storm on Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-10.5)
-$2.43k · 4951 @ 0.490
BUY·1d agostale·0x0c15…9a45why? →
Seattle Storm on Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-10.5)
-$28.61 · 59.61 @ 0.480
BUY·1d agostale·0x0c15…9a45why? →
Over on Phoenix Mercury vs. Portland Fire: O/U 171.5
+$144.00 · 300 @ 0.520
BUY·1d agostale·0x0c15…9a45why? →
Over on Phoenix Mercury vs. Portland Fire: O/U 171.5
+$41.04 · 85.5 @ 0.520
BUY·2d agostale·0x0c15…9a45why? →
Over on Connecticut Sun vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 168.5
-$9.09k · 17474.87 @ 0.520
BUY·2d agostale·0x0c15…9a45why? →
Over on Connecticut Sun vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 168.5
-$25.50 · 50 @ 0.510
BUY·2d agostale·0x0c15…9a45why? →
Over on Connecticut Sun vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 168.5
-$25.50 · 50 @ 0.510
BUY·2d agostale·0x0c15…9a45why? →
Over on Connecticut Sun vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 168.5
-$25.50 · 50 @ 0.510
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.