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Rust701

0x08e4…e173polymarket ↗last active 18m ago
All-time PnL
$4.36k
Win rate
81.8%
82 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
$91.95
30d PnL
$4.05k
30d trades
100
30d wins
36
36.0%
30d volume
$208.6k
Category edge
Crypto
55.7%
-15.6pp
n=88
Sports
50.0%
-4.6pp
n=6

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
55.3% (52 wins / 42 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 40 markets — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 26-day series
$4.30k
$0.00
Trading pattern
Crypto Specialisttwo-sidedmid-sizefavorite-backercategory-focusedBalanced · Crypto 94%
Why Crypto Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Crypto 94% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Crypto specialist.
Directional bias: +0.12 (two-sided)Trades both sides fairly evenly — no strong directional lean.
Entry pricing: avg 0.80Enters at favorite prices (>0.70) — backs likely outcomes.
Typical position size: median $1,657Mid-sized typical stake.
Sizing consistency: CV 1.14 (varied)Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 80¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $1.66k · p90 $6.00k
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Fri 14:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
SELL·18m ago·0x08e4…e173why? →
No on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 20?
3366.98 @ 0.983
BUY·11h agoageing·0x08e4…e173why? →
No on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 20?
3366.984009 @ 0.891
SELL·12h agoageing·0x08e4…e173why? →
Yes on Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-09-19?
+$270.11 · 1149.42 @ 0.235
BUY·17h agoageing·0x08e4…e173why? →
Yes on Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-09-19?
-$100.00 · 1149.425288 @ 0.087
SELL·1d agostale·0x08e4…e173why? →
Yes on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 19?
-$691.73 · 8023.25 @ 0.914
BUY·1d agostale·0x08e4…e173why? →
Yes on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 19?
+$1.17k · 8023.25 @ 0.854
SELL·1d agostale·0x08e4…e173why? →
Yes on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 18?
+$4.10 · 100 @ 0.041
SELL·1d agostale·0x08e4…e173why? →
Yes on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 18?
-$5.83 · 37.59 @ 0.845
SELL·1d agostale·0x08e4…e173why? →
Yes on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 18?
-$3.14k · 12197.2 @ 0.743
BUY·1d agostale·0x08e4…e173why? →
Yes on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 18?
-$10.00 · 100 @ 0.100
BUY·1d agostale·0x08e4…e173why? →
Yes on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 18?
+$1.78k · 10781.125353 @ 0.835
BUY·1d agostale·0x08e4…e173why? →
Yes on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 18?
+$453.67 · 1453.669065 @ 0.688
SELL·1d agostale·0x08e4…e173why? →
Yes on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 18?
-$8.93 · 365.63 @ 0.976
SELL·1d agostale·0x08e4…e173why? →
Yes on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 18?
-$8.11 · 8107.73 @ 0.999
BUY·1d agostale·0x08e4…e173why? →
Yes on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 18?
+$165.63 · 365.630713 @ 0.547
BUY·2d agostale·0x08e4…e173why? →
Yes on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 18?
+$14.04 · 1728.623428 @ 0.992
BUY·2d agostale·0x08e4…e173why? →
Yes on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 18?
+$93.70 · 6379.11 @ 0.985
SELL·2d agostale·0x08e4…e173why? →
Yes on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 17?
-$100.19 · 9430.56 @ 0.989
BUY·3d agostale·0x08e4…e173why? →
Yes on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 17?
+$430.56 · 9430.564785 @ 0.954
SELL·4d agostale·0x08e4…e173why? →
Yes on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 16?
-$596.36 · 10018.1 @ 0.940
BUY·4d agostale·0x08e4…e173why? →
Yes on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 16?
+$1.05k · 7052.100939 @ 0.851
BUY·4d agostale·0x08e4…e173why? →
Yes on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 16?
+$503.23 · 2966 @ 0.830
SELL·4d agostale·0x08e4…e173why? →
Yes on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 15?
-$660.94 · 1119.5 @ 0.410
BUY·4d agostale·0x08e4…e173why? →
Yes on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 15?
+$276.46 · 1119.5 @ 0.753
SELL·5d agostale·0x08e4…e173why? →
No on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 15?
-$800.22 · 10543.15 @ 0.924
BUY·5d agostale·0x08e4…e173why? →
No on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 15?
+$653.57 · 4653.565217 @ 0.860
BUY·5d agostale·0x08e4…e173why? →
No on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 15?
+$889.59 · 5889.589013 @ 0.849
SELL·6d agostale·0x08e4…e173why? →
Yes on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 14?
-$92.04 · 1860 @ 0.951
BUY·6d agostale·0x08e4…e173why? →
Yes on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 14?
+$260.40 · 1860 @ 0.860
SELL·6d agostale·0x08e4…e173why? →
Yes on Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-13?
+$875.00 · 1562.5 @ 0.560
BUY·6d agostale·0x08e4…e173why? →
Yes on Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-13?
-$500.00 · 1562.5 @ 0.320
SELL·6d agostale·0x08e4…e173why? →
Yes on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 13?
-$5.12 · 1331.96 @ 0.996
BUY·7d agostale·0x08e4…e173why? →
Yes on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 13?
+$31.97 · 1331.967214 @ 0.976
SELL·7d agostale·0x08e4…e173why? →
Yes on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 12?
-$1.03 · 1034.84 @ 0.999
BUY·8d agostale·0x08e4…e173why? →
Yes on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 12?
+$34.84 · 1034.841774 @ 0.966
SELL·8d agostale·0x08e4…e173why? →
Yes on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 11?
-$2.06 · 1032.26 @ 0.998
BUY·9d agostale·0x08e4…e173why? →
Yes on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 11?
+$32.27 · 1032.266131 @ 0.969
SELL·9d agostale·0x08e4…e173why? →
Yes on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 11?
-$372.79 · 1617.81 @ 0.770
BUY·9d agostale·0x08e4…e173why? →
Yes on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 11?
+$70.08 · 270.080863 @ 0.741
BUY·9d agostale·0x08e4…e173why? →
Yes on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 11?
+$347.73 · 1347.731541 @ 0.742
SELL·9d agostale·0x08e4…e173why? →
No on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 10?
+$1.09 · 543.52 @ 0.002
BUY·9d agostale·0x08e4…e173why? →
No on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 10?
-$100.00 · 561.797753 @ 0.178
SELL·9d agostale·0x08e4…e173why? →
No on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 10?
-$211.39 · 1250 @ 0.831
BUY·9d agostale·0x08e4…e173why? →
No on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 10?
+$250.00 · 1250 @ 0.800
SELL·9d agostale·0x08e4…e173why? →
Yes on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 10?
-$72.49 · 1035.64 @ 0.930
SELL·9d agostale·0x08e4…e173why? →
Yes on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 10?
+$378.94 · 1403.47 @ 0.270
BUY·10d agostale·0x08e4…e173why? →
Yes on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 10?
-$1.00k · 1403.472223 @ 0.713
BUY·10d agostale·0x08e4…e173why? →
Yes on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 10?
+$35.64 · 1035.643212 @ 0.966
BUY·10d agostale·0x08e4…e173why? →
on Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-09? AND Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-09-09? AND Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-09-09? AND Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-09?
23.469453 @ 0.414
SELL·10d agostale·0x08e4…e173why? →
No on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 9?
-$14.10 · 2061.94 @ 0.993
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.