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JO

Johnwall

0x0679…bebbpolymarket ↗last active 14m ago
All-time PnL
$401.99
Win rate
50.0%
50 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
$8.26
30d PnL
$252.62
30d trades
20
30d wins
5
25.0%
30d volume
$1.76k
Category edge
Sports
44.3%
-7.4pp
n=70

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
44.3% (31 wins / 39 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 28 markets — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 23-day series
$118.42
-$250.16
Trading pattern
Sports Specialisttwo-sidedsmall-sizecategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Sports 100%
Why Sports Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Sports 100% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Sports specialist.
Directional bias: +0.38 (two-sided)Trades both sides fairly evenly — no strong directional lean.
Entry pricing: avg 0.39Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $48Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 0.99 (moderate)Stakes vary moderately across trades.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 39¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $47.79 · p90 $150.00
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Sat 18:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
BUY·14m ago·0x0679…bebbwhy? →
Chiefs on Spread: Chiefs (-3.5)
258.62069 @ 0.580
SELL·20m ago·0x0679…bebbwhy? →
Broncos on Jaguars vs. Broncos
86.2 @ 0.999
BUY·6h agoageing·0x0679…bebbwhy? →
Broncos on Jaguars vs. Broncos
86.206897 @ 0.580
BUY·6h agoageing·0x0679…bebbwhy? →
on Jaguars vs. Broncos AND Spread: Chiefs (-6.5) AND Spread: Buccaneers (-8.5) AND Packers vs. Jets: O/U 45.5 AND Spread: Bears (-7.5) AND Spread: BAL (-8.5)
1395.097338 @ 0.034
SELL·19h agoageing·0x0679…bebbwhy? →
Arman Tsarukyan on UFC 331: Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)
-$0.35 · 347.22 @ 0.999
BUY·20h agoageing·0x0679…bebbwhy? →
Arman Tsarukyan on UFC 331: Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)
+$97.22 · 347.222221 @ 0.720
SELL·1d agostale·0x0679…bebbwhy? →
on UFC 331: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card) AND UFC 331: Marlon Vera vs. Charles Jourdain (Bantamweight, Prelims) AND UFC 331: Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)
402.686197 @ 0.102
BUY·1d agostale·0x0679…bebbwhy? →
on UFC 331: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card) AND UFC 331: Marlon Vera vs. Charles Jourdain (Bantamweight, Prelims) AND UFC 331: Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)
402.6862 @ 0.119
BUY·1d agostale·0x0679…bebbwhy? →
on UFC 331: Alonzo Menifield vs. Iwo Baraniewski (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) AND UFC 331: Tai Tuivasa vs. Robelis Despaigne (Heavyweight, Prelims)
162.348597 @ 0.136
BUY·1d agostale·0x0679…bebbwhy? →
Yes on Will the fight be won by submission?
-$40.00 · 190.476191 @ 0.210
BUY·1d agostale·0x0679…bebbwhy? →
on UFC 331: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card) AND UFC 331: Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)
298.849006 @ 0.324
BUY·6d agostale·0x0679…bebbwhy? →
Chiefs on Broncos vs. Chiefs
+$40.91 · 90.909091 @ 0.550
BUY·7d agostale·0x0679…bebbwhy? →
Benn on Zuffa Boxing: Garcia vs. Benn (Welterweight, Main)
-$20.00 · 68.965518 @ 0.290
SELL·7d agostale·0x0679…bebbwhy? →
on Noche UFC: Jean Silva vs. Jose Miguel Delgado (Featherweight, Main Card) AND Noche UFC: Brandon Moreno vs. Joseph Morales (Flyweight, Main Card)
131.731455 @ 0.999
BUY·8d agostale·0x0679…bebbwhy? →
on Noche UFC: Jean Silva vs. Jose Miguel Delgado (Featherweight, Main Card) AND Noche UFC: Brandon Moreno vs. Joseph Morales (Flyweight, Main Card)
131.731455 @ 0.405
SELL·9d agostale·0x0679…bebbwhy? →
49ers on Spread: Rams (-3.5)
-$0.10 · 100 @ 0.999
BUY·9d agostale·0x0679…bebbwhy? →
49ers on Spread: Rams (-3.5)
+$50.00 · 100 @ 0.500
SELL·10d agostale·0x0679…bebbwhy? →
Patriots on Spread: Seahawks (-3.5)
-$0.10 · 101.85 @ 0.999
BUY·11d agostale·0x0679…bebbwhy? →
Patriots on Spread: Seahawks (-3.5)
+$46.85 · 101.851852 @ 0.540
BUY·11d agostale·0x0679…bebbwhy? →
on Spread: Chiefs (-3.5) AND Spread: Lions (-7.5) AND Spread: Bears (-3.5) AND Ravens vs. Colts AND Cowboys vs. Giants
326.769357 @ 0.073
BUY·50d agostale·0x0679…bebbwhy? →
on UFC Fight Night: Daniel Rodriguez vs. Uroš Medic (Welterweight, Main Card) AND UFC Fight Night: Jan Blachowicz vs. Navajo Stirling (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)
639.463171 @ 0.058
BUY·50d agostale·0x0679…bebbwhy? →
on UFC Fight Night: Daniel Rodriguez vs. Uroš Medic (Welterweight, Main Card) AND UFC Fight Night: Jan Blachowicz vs. Navajo Stirling (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) AND UFC Fight Night: Marcin Tybura vs. Aleksandar Rakic (Heavyweight, Main Card)
112.7232 @ 0.170
BUY·50d agostale·0x0679…bebbwhy? →
on UFC Fight Night: Daniel Rodriguez vs. Uroš Medic (Welterweight, Main Card) AND Will the fight be won by KO or TKO? AND UFC Fight Night: Marcin Tybura vs. Aleksandar Rakic (Heavyweight, Main Card)
156.759945 @ 0.153
BUY·50d agostale·0x0679…bebbwhy? →
on UFC Fight Night: Daniel Rodriguez vs. Uroš Medic (Welterweight, Main Card) AND UFC Fight Night: Jan Blachowicz vs. Navajo Stirling (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) AND UFC Fight Night: Marcin Tybura vs. Aleksandar Rakic (Heavyweight, Main Card)
507.722167 @ 0.047
BUY·50d agostale·0x0679…bebbwhy? →
on Will Aleksandar Rakic win by KO or TKO? AND UFC Fight Night: Marcin Tybura vs. Aleksandar Rakic (Heavyweight, Main Card)
103.020949 @ 0.473
BUY·57d agostale·0x0679…bebbwhy? →
Yes on Will the fight be won by submission?
-$25.00 · 167 @ 0.150
BUY·57d agostale·0x0679…bebbwhy? →
Steve Erceg on UFC Fight Night: Ramazan Temirov vs. Steve Erceg (Flyweight, Main Card)
-$88.00 · 176 @ 0.500
BUY·57d agostale·0x0679…bebbwhy? →
Magomed Zaynukov on UFC Fight Night: Magomed Zaynukov vs. Damian Rzepecki (Lightweight, Main Card)
+$42.86 · 142.85714 @ 0.700
SELL·63d agostale·0x0679…bebbwhy? →
Yes on Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
+$264.28 · 889.73 @ 0.297
SELL·67d agostale·0x0679…bebbwhy? →
on England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance AND England vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5
108.736951 @ 0.383
BUY·67d agostale·0x0679…bebbwhy? →
on England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance AND England vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5
108.736952 @ 0.447
SELL·70d agostale·0x0679…bebbwhy? →
on UFC 329: Robert Whittaker vs. Nikita Krylov (Light Heavyweight, Prelims) AND UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card) AND Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance AND Norway vs. England: Team to Advance
383.2 @ 0.992
BUY·71d agostale·0x0679…bebbwhy? →
Norway on Norway vs. England: Team to Advance
-$41.62 · 77.074073 @ 0.540
SELL·71d agostale·0x0679…bebbwhy? →
Yes on Norway vs. England: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?
-$118.90 · 162.88 @ 0.270
BUY·71d agostale·0x0679…bebbwhy? →
Yes on Norway vs. England: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?
+$118.91 · 162.888887 @ 0.270
BUY·71d agostale·0x0679…bebbwhy? →
on UFC 329: Robert Whittaker vs. Nikita Krylov (Light Heavyweight, Prelims) AND UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card) AND Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance AND Norway vs. England: Team to Advance
383.2 @ 0.125
BUY·71d agostale·0x0679…bebbwhy? →
Yes on Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
-$97.82 · 552.655366 @ 0.177
BUY·72d agostale·0x0679…bebbwhy? →
Belgium on Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance
-$58.85 · 230.784312 @ 0.255
SELL·73d agostale·0x0679…bebbwhy? →
Yes on Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
+$10.00 · 1250 @ 0.008
SELL·73d agostale·0x0679…bebbwhy? →
on Achraf Hakimi: 1+ shots AND Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals AND France vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5
76.64 @ 0.618
SELL·73d agostale·0x0679…bebbwhy? →
Yes on Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?
+$8.77 · 350.87 @ 0.025
SELL·73d agostale·0x0679…bebbwhy? →
Yes on Will France win on 2026-07-09?
-$24.29 · 121.45 @ 0.800
SELL·73d agostale·0x0679…bebbwhy? →
Over on France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5
+$25.24 · 98.03 @ 0.258
SELL·73d agostale·0x0679…bebbwhy? →
Yes on Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?
+$46.53 · 163.26 @ 0.285
BUY·73d agostale·0x0679…bebbwhy? →
Over on France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5
-$50.00 · 98.039214 @ 0.510
BUY·73d agostale·0x0679…bebbwhy? →
Yes on Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?
-$50.00 · 350.877191 @ 0.142
BUY·73d agostale·0x0679…bebbwhy? →
Yes on Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?
-$40.00 · 163.265305 @ 0.245
BUY·73d agostale·0x0679…bebbwhy? →
Yes on Will France win on 2026-07-09?
+$46.46 · 121.457487 @ 0.617
SELL·73d agostale·0x0679…bebbwhy? →
Morocco on France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance
+$32.27 · 145.05 @ 0.223
BUY·73d agostale·0x0679…bebbwhy? →
Morocco on France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance
-$33.00 · 145.054944 @ 0.227
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.