No on Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on September 19?
— 200.4005 @ 0.998
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SA
Sanny666
All-time PnL
-$9.55
Win rate
60.0%
26 of 43
Total trades
43
Avg PnL / trade
-$0.27
30d PnL
$0.00
30d trades
2
30d wins
0
0.0%
30d volume
$250.00
Category edge
Crypto
80.0%
+27.4pp
n=10
Politics
61.5%
-12.4pp
n=13
Sports
60.0%
+8.9pp
n=5
Pop Culture
80.0%
avg
n=5
vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice
Signal hit rate
65.0% (26 wins / 14 misses)⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 5 markets — verify independentlyCumulative PnL · 14-day series
$2.32
-$17.61
Trading pattern
Diversifiedbuy-heavysmall-sizefavorite-backerBuy-leaning · Politics 33%
Why Diversifiedhigh confidence · 43 trades
Category focus: Politics 33% of categorized trades — spread across many categories (<35% in any one) → diversified.
Directional bias: +0.77 (buy-heavy) — Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.76 — Enters at favorite prices (>0.70) — backs likely outcomes.
Typical position size: median $8 — Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 1.98 (varied) — Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.
Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.
Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 76¢ · 43 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $7.85 · p90 $966.10
Activity · UTC
00h12h23h
peak Thu 19:00 · 43 trades
Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.
Recent trades
EXPORT
Yes on US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 20?
— 51.2295 @ 0.976
No on Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
— 2022.022 @ 0.999
No on Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in July?
— +$1.67 · 151.66835 @ 0.989
No on Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in July?
— +$4.97 · 104.973765 @ 0.953
Up on Dogecoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET
— +$0.72 · 1.724135 @ 0.580
Down on Dogecoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET
— -$1.00 · 1.0989 @ 0.910
Down on Dogecoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET
— +$0.60 · 45 @ 0.987
Up on Dogecoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET
— +$0.11 · 1.11111 @ 0.900
Yes on US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
— -$1.00 · 20 @ 0.050
Up on Dogecoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET
— +$1.24 · 112.2392 @ 0.989
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET
— +$0.33 · 1.333332 @ 0.750
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET
— +$0.41 · 1.408448 @ 0.710
Yes on Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (February 22)
— -$1.00 · 5.882351 @ 0.170
Yes on Will Trump say "What's Up" this week? (February 22)
— -$1.00 · 3.571427 @ 0.280
Yes on Will Trump say "Winter Olympic" or "Winter Olympics" this week? (February 22)
— -$1.00 · 2.857141 @ 0.350
No on Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?
— +$3.12 · 1558.116 @ 0.998
No on Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?
— -$1.00 · 10 @ 0.100
No on Will Joachim Trier win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?
— +$0.04 · 10.040159 @ 0.996
No on Will Jalen Brunson win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
— +$0.10 · 100.1 @ 0.999
Yes on US strikes Iran by February 16, 2026?
— -$1.00 · 250 @ 0.004
No on Will Google have the top AI model on March 31?
— -$8.35 · 8.882966 @ 0.940
Yes on Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?
— +$0.50 · 8.351114 @ 0.940
Yes on Will FDP win the most seats in the next German election?
— +$7.84 · 2615 @ 0.003
Yes on Will FDP win the most seats in the next German election?
— -$10.46 · 2615 @ 0.004
No on Will 'Moana 2' gross between $150-165m on 5-day opening weekend?
— +$0.53 · 3.529406 @ 0.850
No on Will 'Moana 2' gross between $135-150m on 5-day opening weekend?
— +$0.41 · 3.409083 @ 0.880
No on Will 'Moana 2' gross less than $135m on 5-day opening weekend?
— +$0.53 · 3.529406 @ 0.850
No on Will LSU win the 2025 College Football Playoff?
— -$4.77 · 953.81 @ 0.995
No on Will Trump say "America" five or more times in his speech after the election is called?
— +$2.56 · 5.555554 @ 0.540
No on Will Trump say "Mail-in" in his speech after the election is called?
— +$0.30 · 3.296702 @ 0.910
No on Will Trump say "Victory" three or more times in his speech after the election is called?
— +$0.30 · 3.2967 @ 0.910
No on Will LSU win the 2025 College Football Playoff?
— +$3.82 · 953.81525 @ 0.996
No on Will another party win the most seats in the 2024 Sri Lankan Parliamentary elections?
— -$5.51 · 970.97 @ 0.994
No on Will another party win the most seats in the 2024 Sri Lankan Parliamentary elections?
— +$0.97 · 970.97 @ 0.999
No on Will another team win the Bundesliga?
— -$6.81 · 972.91 @ 0.993
No on Will another team win the Bundesliga?
— +$2.92 · 972.922333 @ 0.997
Yes on Solana above $145 on October 18?
— +$0.01 · 4.008 @ 0.998
Yes on Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
— +$2.80 · 5.802706 @ 0.517
No on Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 before September?
— -$3.00 · 4.285713 @ 0.700
No on Netanyahu out by June 30?
— -$2.77 · 52.32 @ 0.947
No on Netanyahu out by June 30?
— +$1.57 · 52.329866 @ 0.970
Yes on Trump and Biden debate before Election?
— +$0.75 · 10.752685 @ 0.930
Integrity indicators
No anomalies detected for this trader.
Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.