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3D

3d0

0x03de…4bfdpolymarket ↗last active 21m ago
All-time PnL
-$2.45k
Win rate
58.5%
58 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
-$37.62
30d PnL
-$3.33k
30d trades
47
30d wins
12
25.5%
30d volume
$13.5k
Category edge
Crypto
50.0%
-18.4pp
n=18
Sports
59.7%
+2.5pp
n=72

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
57.8% (52 wins / 38 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 3 markets — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 28-day series
$0.00
-$7.30k
Trading pattern
Sports Specialistbuy-heavysmall-sizecategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Sports 81%
Why Sports Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Sports 81% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Sports specialist.
Directional bias: +0.78 (buy-heavy)Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.51Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $168Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 1.04 (varied)Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 51¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $167.89 · p90 $682.30
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Wed 05:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
BUY·21m ago·0x03de…4bfdwhy? →
Cardinals on Spread: Seahawks (-3.5)
723.36 @ 0.490
BUY·2d agostale·0x03de…4bfdwhy? →
on Browns vs. Buccaneers AND Saints vs. Ravens AND Spread: Texans (-10.5)
881.484236 @ 0.488
SELL·4d agostale·0x03de…4bfdwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET
-$15.54 · 222.04 @ 0.930
BUY·4d agostale·0x03de…4bfdwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET
+$11.11 · 111.11111 @ 0.900
BUY·4d agostale·0x03de…4bfdwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET
+$10.92 · 110.924611 @ 0.902
SELL·4d agostale·0x03de…4bfdwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET
-$56.14 · 350.87 @ 0.840
BUY·4d agostale·0x03de…4bfdwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET
+$75.44 · 175.438597 @ 0.570
BUY·4d agostale·0x03de…4bfdwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET
+$75.44 · 175.438597 @ 0.570
BUY·4d agostale·0x03de…4bfdwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET
-$85.24 · 1169.3 @ 0.073
BUY·4d agostale·0x03de…4bfdwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET
-$14.76 · 182.041112 @ 0.081
SELL·4d agostale·0x03de…4bfdwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET
+$45.00 · 300 @ 0.150
BUY·4d agostale·0x03de…4bfdwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET
-$150.00 · 300 @ 0.500
BUY·4d agostale·0x03de…4bfdwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET
-$51.00 · 100 @ 0.510
BUY·4d agostale·0x03de…4bfdwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET
-$2.70 · 10 @ 0.270
BUY·4d agostale·0x03de…4bfdwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET
+$7.50 · 12.5 @ 0.400
BUY·4d agostale·0x03de…4bfdwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET
+$7.82 · 12.820513 @ 0.390
BUY·4d agostale·0x03de…4bfdwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET
+$7.82 · 12.820513 @ 0.390
BUY·4d agostale·0x03de…4bfdwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET
-$5.00 · 27.777778 @ 0.180
BUY·4d agostale·0x03de…4bfdwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET
-$5.00 · 10 @ 0.500
BUY·4d agostale·0x03de…4bfdwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET
+$4.09 · 9.09091 @ 0.550
BUY·6d agostale·0x03de…4bfdwhy? →
Yes on Will Club León FC win on 2026-09-12?
+$921.20 · 1880 @ 0.510
BUY·6d agostale·0x03de…4bfdwhy? →
Bills on Lions vs. Bills
+$19.87 · 55.2 @ 0.640
BUY·7d agostale·0x03de…4bfdwhy? →
on Browns vs. Jaguars AND Falcons vs. Steelers
992.056475 @ 0.589
BUY·10d agostale·0x03de…4bfdwhy? →
on Chicago Fire FC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 1.5 AND Portland Timbers vs. St. Louis City SC: O/U 1.5 AND Atlanta United FC vs. Orlando City SC: O/U 1.5
795.864299 @ 0.693
BUY·12d agostale·0x03de…4bfdwhy? →
East Carolina on Appalachian State vs. East Carolina
-$37.00 · 50 @ 0.740
BUY·16d agostale·0x03de…4bfdwhy? →
Over on Akron vs. Wake Forest: O/U 50.5
+$102.55 · 205 @ 0.500
BUY·17d agostale·0x03de…4bfdwhy? →
Over on 49ers vs. Rams: O/U 47.5
-$39.00 · 75 @ 0.520
BUY·17d agostale·0x03de…4bfdwhy? →
Cardinals on Spread: Chargers (-10.5)
+$115.16 · 245.02 @ 0.530
BUY·17d agostale·0x03de…4bfdwhy? →
Stanford on Spread: Miami (FL) (-24.5)
-$300.00 · 557.673332 @ 0.538
BUY·17d agostale·0x03de…4bfdwhy? →
Over on UAB vs. Illinois: O/U 54.5
+$271.00 · 542 @ 0.500
BUY·19d agostale·0x03de…4bfdwhy? →
Liberty on Spread: James Madison (-6.5)
-$152.66 · 324.81 @ 0.470
BUY·22d agostale·0x03de…4bfdwhy? →
No on Will Hibernian FC win on 2026-08-30?
-$870.00 · 1475.830507 @ 0.589
BUY·22d agostale·0x03de…4bfdwhy? →
Yes on Will Club Brugge win on 2026-08-30?
-$900.00 · 1551.724135 @ 0.580
BUY·23d agostale·0x03de…4bfdwhy? →
Club Puebla on Spread: CF América (-1.5)
-$669.39 · 1174.36 @ 0.570
BUY·23d agostale·0x03de…4bfdwhy? →
Under on FC Alverca vs. CD Santa Clara: O/U 2.5
+$366.93 · 990 @ 0.629
BUY·23d agostale·0x03de…4bfdwhy? →
No on Will FC Nantes win on 2026-08-29?
+$584.86 · 1579.85714 @ 0.630
BUY·23d agostale·0x03de…4bfdwhy? →
Club Puebla on Spread: CF América (-1.5)
-$183.12 · 327 @ 0.560
BUY·23d agostale·0x03de…4bfdwhy? →
No on Will Charlotte FC win on 2026-08-29?
-$1.11k · 1678.53 @ 0.660
BUY·23d agostale·0x03de…4bfdwhy? →
Yes on Will Houston Dynamo win on 2026-08-29?
-$570.00 · 1000 @ 0.570
BUY·23d agostale·0x03de…4bfdwhy? →
Yes on Will Houston Dynamo win on 2026-08-29?
-$570.00 · 1000 @ 0.570
BUY·23d agostale·0x03de…4bfdwhy? →
No on Will FC Nantes win on 2026-08-29?
+$2.00 · 5 @ 0.600
BUY·23d agostale·0x03de…4bfdwhy? →
Under on FC Alverca vs. CD Santa Clara: O/U 2.5
+$1.95 · 5 @ 0.610
BUY·24d agostale·0x03de…4bfdwhy? →
on FC Thun vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 1.5 AND FC St. Gallen vs. FC Nordsjælland: O/U 1.5
762.779421 @ 0.745
BUY·29d agostale·0x03de…4bfdwhy? →
Under on CD Santa Clara vs. FC Famalicão: O/U 2.5
+$190.00 · 500 @ 0.620
BUY·29d agostale·0x03de…4bfdwhy? →
Yes on Will CD La Serena win on 2026-08-23?
-$279.99 · 499.99 @ 0.560
BUY·29d agostale·0x03de…4bfdwhy? →
CR Vasco da Gama on Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5)
-$287.10 · 435 @ 0.660
BUY·29d agostale·0x03de…4bfdwhy? →
No on Will CD Coquimbo Unido win on 2026-08-23?
+$200.00 · 500 @ 0.600
BUY·30d agostale·0x03de…4bfdwhy? →
No on Will CD Garcilaso win on 2026-08-22?
-$325.00 · 500 @ 0.650
BUY·30d agostale·0x03de…4bfdwhy? →
No on Will Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2026-08-22?
+$256.35 · 854.5 @ 0.700
BUY·30d agostale·0x03de…4bfdwhy? →
Clube do Remo on Spread: Fluminense FC (-1.5)
+$400.00 · 1000 @ 0.600
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.