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WA

Wariooo

0x0203…270dpolymarket ↗last active 22m ago
All-time PnL
$365.62
Win rate
40.0%
40 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
$0.97
30d PnL
-$502.00
30d trades
16
30d wins
1
6.3%
30d volume
$2.82k
Category edge
Sports
25.3%
-20.8pp
n=87
Other
100.0%
avg
n=6

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
30.1% (28 wins / 65 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 18 markets — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 19-day series
$538.55
-$2.01k
Trading pattern
Sports Specialistbuy-heavysmall-sizecategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Sports 94%
Why Sports Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Sports 94% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Sports specialist.
Directional bias: +0.54 (buy-heavy)Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.43Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $100Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 1.30 (varied)Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 43¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $100.00 · p90 $448.00
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Sun 22:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
BUY·22m ago·0x0203…270dwhy? →
Packers on Packers vs. Jets
596.491227 @ 0.570
BUY·26m ago·0x0203…270dwhy? →
Titans on Eagles vs. Titans
625 @ 0.160
BUY·27m ago·0x0203…270dwhy? →
Steelers on Steelers vs. Patriots
700 @ 0.150
BUY·9d agostale·0x0203…270dwhy? →
Rams on 49ers vs. Rams
-$110.00 · 392.857143 @ 0.280
BUY·9d agostale·0x0203…270dwhy? →
Rams on 49ers vs. Rams
-$130.00 · 317.073171 @ 0.410
BUY·9d agostale·0x0203…270dwhy? →
Rams on 49ers vs. Rams
-$100.00 · 250 @ 0.400
SELL·9d agostale·0x0203…270dwhy? →
on Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5) AND Spread: Manchester United FC (-2.5)
560.550549 @ 0.999
BUY·9d agostale·0x0203…270dwhy? →
Sabah FK on Spread: Manchester United FC (-2.5)
-$20.00 · 2000 @ 0.010
BUY·9d agostale·0x0203…270dwhy? →
FK Bodø/Glimt on Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)
-$50.00 · 138.888889 @ 0.360
BUY·10d agostale·0x0203…270dwhy? →
on Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5) AND Spread: Manchester United FC (-2.5)
560.554881 @ 0.416
SELL·10d agostale·0x0203…270dwhy? →
Seahawks on Patriots vs. Seahawks
-$0.37 · 370.37 @ 0.999
BUY·10d agostale·0x0203…270dwhy? →
Over on Patriots vs. Seahawks: O/U 26.5
-$160.00 · 307.692308 @ 0.520
BUY·10d agostale·0x0203…270dwhy? →
Seahawks on Patriots vs. Seahawks
+$270.37 · 370.370371 @ 0.270
BUY·11d agostale·0x0203…270dwhy? →
on Patriots vs. Seahawks AND Patriots vs. Seahawks: O/U 44.5
530.477766 @ 0.227
BUY·11d agostale·0x0203…270dwhy? →
Patriots on Patriots vs. Seahawks
-$202.00 · 517.948718 @ 0.390
BUY·11d agostale·0x0203…270dwhy? →
on Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5) AND Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-1.5) AND Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-09? AND Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-09?
761.538356 @ 0.151
SELL·62d agostale·0x0203…270dwhy? →
Spain on Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
-$0.72 · 286.85 @ 0.998
BUY·62d agostale·0x0203…270dwhy? →
Argentina on Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
-$20.00 · 240.196763 @ 0.083
BUY·62d agostale·0x0203…270dwhy? →
Spain on Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
+$106.85 · 286.852588 @ 0.627
SELL·81d agostale·0x0203…270dwhy? →
Yes on Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?
-$0.37 · 374.99 @ 0.999
BUY·82d agostale·0x0203…270dwhy? →
Yes on Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw?
-$10.00 · 111.11111 @ 0.090
BUY·82d agostale·0x0203…270dwhy? →
Yes on Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw?
-$15.00 · 93.75 @ 0.160
BUY·82d agostale·0x0203…270dwhy? →
Yes on Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?
+$31.67 · 41.666665 @ 0.240
BUY·82d agostale·0x0203…270dwhy? →
Yes on Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw?
-$10.00 · 40 @ 0.250
BUY·82d agostale·0x0203…270dwhy? →
Yes on Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw?
-$20.00 · 80 @ 0.250
BUY·82d agostale·0x0203…270dwhy? →
Yes on Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?
+$61.11 · 111.11111 @ 0.450
BUY·82d agostale·0x0203…270dwhy? →
Yes on Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?
+$122.22 · 222.222221 @ 0.450
SELL·82d agostale·0x0203…270dwhy? →
Yes on Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?
-$0.29 · 285.71 @ 0.999
BUY·82d agostale·0x0203…270dwhy? →
Yes on Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?
-$5.00 · 100 @ 0.050
BUY·82d agostale·0x0203…270dwhy? →
Yes on Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?
-$12.00 · 80 @ 0.150
BUY·82d agostale·0x0203…270dwhy? →
Yes on Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?
-$45.00 · 132.35294 @ 0.340
BUY·82d agostale·0x0203…270dwhy? →
Yes on Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?
+$185.71 · 285.714284 @ 0.350
SELL·95d agostale·0x0203…270dwhy? →
France on Spread: France (-2.5)
+$3.15 · 150 @ 0.021
SELL·95d agostale·0x0203…270dwhy? →
France on Spread: France (-1.5)
-$77.04 · 285.34 @ 0.730
SELL·95d agostale·0x0203…270dwhy? →
France on Spread: France (-1.5)
-$3.50 · 38.91 @ 0.910
SELL·95d agostale·0x0203…270dwhy? →
France on Spread: France (-1.5)
-$7.83 · 71.17 @ 0.890
SELL·95d agostale·0x0203…270dwhy? →
France on Spread: France (-1.5)
-$12.15 · 86.79 @ 0.860
SELL·95d agostale·0x0203…270dwhy? →
France on Spread: France (-1.5)
-$107.69 · 160.73 @ 0.330
BUY·95d agostale·0x0203…270dwhy? →
France on Spread: France (-1.5)
+$277.79 · 342.947367 @ 0.190
BUY·96d agostale·0x0203…270dwhy? →
France on Spread: France (-2.5)
-$30.00 · 150 @ 0.200
BUY·96d agostale·0x0203…270dwhy? →
France on Spread: France (-1.5)
+$180.00 · 300 @ 0.400
SELL·133d agostale·0x0203…270dwhy? →
Sean Strickland on UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)
-$2.27 · 323.8 @ 0.993
BUY·133d agostale·0x0203…270dwhy? →
Sean Strickland on UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)
+$255.81 · 323.809522 @ 0.210
SELL·133d agostale·0x0203…270dwhy? →
Joshua Van on UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)
-$0.18 · 175 @ 0.999
BUY·133d agostale·0x0203…270dwhy? →
Joshua Van on UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)
+$105.00 · 175 @ 0.400
BUY·133d agostale·0x0203…270dwhy? →
Waldo Cortes-Acosta on UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)
-$60.00 · 154.307691 @ 0.389
SELL·212d agostale·0x0203…270dwhy? →
USA on Women's Final - USA vs. Canada
-$0.43 · 432.37 @ 0.999
BUY·212d agostale·0x0203…270dwhy? →
USA on Women's Final - USA vs. Canada
+$232.38 · 432.377871 @ 0.463
SELL·213d agostale·0x0203…270dwhy? →
USA on Men's Quarterfinals - USA vs. Sweden
-$0.30 · 301.36 @ 0.999
SELL·213d agostale·0x0203…270dwhy? →
Yes on Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-18?
-$0.50 · 500 @ 0.999
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.