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Politics
Politics91 tracked markets — 53 open, 38 resolved
open5 tracked trades
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?
Yes 28¢No 72¢
open1 tracked trade
Will the Maine 2026 Senate race be within 1%?
No 79¢
open1 tracked trade
Will Trump say "Regime Change" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?
No 52¢
open1 tracked trade
Will Miloš Vučević win the next Serbia presidential election?
No 80¢
open1 tracked trade
Will Tim O'Hare win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election?
Yes 26¢
open1 tracked trade
Will the Democratic Party win the MN-01 House seat?
No 78¢
open1 tracked trade
Will the Democratic Party win the NE-01 House seat?
No 81¢
open1 tracked trade
Will Chris Hill win the 2026 Collin County Judge election?
Yes 72¢
open1 tracked trade
Will John R. "Buster" Brown win the 2026 Collin County Judge election?
No 77¢
open1 tracked trade
Will the Republican Party win the OH-13 House seat?
Yes 3¢
open1 tracked trade
Will Heather Jefts win the 2026 Williamson County Judge election?
No 19¢
open4 tracked trades
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Yes 2¢No 95¢
open1 tracked trade
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?
No 74¢
open1 tracked trade
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes 73¢
open1 tracked trade
Will Deltan Dallagnol win the most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election?
No 58¢
open1 tracked trade
Will the Republican Party win the TX-34 House seat?
No 76¢
open1 tracked trade
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?
No 84¢
open1 tracked trade
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
No 62¢
open1 tracked trade
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-02 House seat?
No 85¢
open1 tracked trade
Will the Democratic Party win the WI-01 House seat?
No 69¢
open1 tracked trade
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-07 House seat?
No 83¢
open1 tracked trade
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Lieutenant Governor election?
No 81¢
open1 tracked trade
Will Elon tweet 760-799 times in September 2026?
No 84¢
open1 tracked trade
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-01 House election by 40%-45%?
No 70¢
open2 tracked trades
Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?
Yes 84¢
open6 tracked trades
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by September 30, 2026?
No 93¢
open1 tracked trade
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?
No 92¢
open4 tracked trades
Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?
Yes 25¢No 79¢
open1 tracked trade
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?
Yes 13¢
open3 tracked trades
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026
No 93¢Yes 5¢
open3 tracked trades
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Yes 93¢
open2 tracked trades
Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?
No 64¢
open1 tracked trade
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
No 76¢
open1 tracked trade
Will Eugenio Segura Vázquez win the 2027 Quintana Roo Governor Election?
No 28¢
open1 tracked trade
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2027?
No 81¢
open1 tracked trade
Will Ismael Burgueño Ruiz win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election?
No 91¢
open1 tracked trade
Will Julieta Ramírez Padilla win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election?
Yes 70¢
open1 tracked trade
Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
Yes 96¢
open1 tracked trade
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?
Yes 70¢
open1 tracked trade
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?
No 44¢
open2 tracked trades
Will Gisèle Pouhe Njall win the next Rosemont Quebec National Assembly election?
Yes 49¢
open1 tracked trade
Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027?
No 77¢
open1 tracked trade
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
Yes 55¢
open1 tracked trade
Will Nasiphi Moya be the next mayor of Tshwane?
Yes 24¢
open5 tracked trades
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?
No 87¢
resolved1 tracked trade
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during RNC Convention (Night 1)?
Yes 55¢
resolved1 tracked trade
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
Yes 99¢
open1 tracked trade
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?
Yes 44¢
resolved1 tracked trade
Will Trump say "Kamala" during his rally with Darline Graham?
No 41¢
open2 tracked trades
Will the federal gas tax be suspended by November 2, 2026?
Yes 11¢
resolved2 tracked trades
Will Trump say "COVID" or "Warp Speed" during remarks in Las Vegas?
No 46¢
resolved1 tracked trade
Will Trump's Las Vegas remarks be between 60 and 70 minutes long?
Yes 17¢
resolved2 tracked trades
Will Trump say "Coal" during cabinet meeting?
Yes 69¢
resolved2 tracked trades
Will Trump say "Transgender" during cabinet meeting?
Yes 48¢
resolved1 tracked trade
Will Trump say "Air Force" or "Space Force" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?
No 23¢
resolved1 tracked trade
Will Trump say "Save America Act" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?
No 27¢
resolved2 tracked trades
Will Trump say "Israel" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?
No 31¢
resolved1 tracked trade
Will Trump say "Supreme Court" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?
Yes 28¢
resolved1 tracked trade
Will Trump say "Security" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?
No 38¢
resolved1 tracked trade
Will Trump say "Golf" or "Golfer" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?
No 29¢
resolved1 tracked trade
Will Trump say "Stop Calling Me" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?
Yes 24¢
resolved1 tracked trade
Will Trump say "Worker" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?
No 31¢
resolved1 tracked trade
Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during Michigan remarks?
No 21¢
resolved2 tracked trades
Will Trump say "Hottest" during Michigan remarks?
Yes 93¢
resolved3 tracked trades
Will Trump say "Toyota" during Michigan remarks?
Yes 72¢
resolved3 tracked trades
Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" 10+ times during Michigan remarks?
Yes 56¢
resolved1 tracked trade
Will Trump say "Stock Market" during Michigan remarks?
Yes 88¢
resolved1 tracked trade
Will Trump say "Transgender" during Michigan remarks?
Yes 66¢
resolved3 tracked trades
Will Trump say "Supreme Court" during Michigan remarks?
No 68¢
resolved1 tracked trade
Will Trump say "Ukraine" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?
No 21¢
resolved2 tracked trades
Will Trump say "Grocery" or "Dairy" during Michigan remarks?
No 52¢
resolved1 tracked trade
Will Trump say "Trump Account" this week?
Yes 65¢
resolved1 tracked trade
Will Trump say "Hell" 2+ times during tribute to Lindsey Graham?
Yes 32¢
resolved2 tracked trades
Will Trump say "Transgender" during White House Correspondents Dinner?
No 74¢
resolved1 tracked trade
Will Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during White House Correspondents Dinner?
No 54¢
resolved1 tracked trade
Will Trump say "Drone" during White House Correspondents Dinner?
No 51¢
resolved1 tracked trade
Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during Announcement on American Nuclear Innovation?
No 61¢
open1 tracked trade
Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026?
Yes 15¢
resolved1 tracked trade
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Yes 66¢
open1 tracked trade
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Yes 55¢
open1 tracked trade
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No 79¢
open2 tracked trades
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 2¢
open2 tracked trades
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 33¢
open3 tracked trades
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 19¢
resolved1 tracked trade
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Yes 86¢
resolved1 tracked trade
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Yes 61¢
resolved2 tracked trades
Kamala Harris 538 odds >65% on Friday?
No 36¢
resolved1 tracked trade
Will Trump say "Trans" during Elon interview?
No 98¢
resolved1 tracked trade
Will Trump say "Censor" or "Censorship" during Elon interview?
No 77¢
resolved2 tracked trades
Will Trump say "Crypto" during Elon interview?
Yes 16¢
resolved3 tracked trades
Will Trump say "Tesla" during Elon interview?
Yes 19¢No 80¢
Observed from public Polymarket activity — descriptive, not a recommendation. Not financial advice.