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Will the CDU/CSU win less than 20% of the vote in the German election?
ResolvedOutcome: No
Post-mortem
Smart money was split
1 of 2 tracked traders on No · 1 on another outcome
Cohort P&L on this market
-$0.07
Outcomes
No
100¢
How they were positioned (2)
net leanNeutralYES notional$44NO notional$44traders1