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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET

resolvedCrypto8 tracked tradestrade on Polymarket ↗last activity 4h ago
ResolvedOutcome: Down
Post-mortem
Smart money mostly called it
5 of 7 tracked traders on Down · 2 on other outcomes
Cohort P&L on this market
-$3.37
Read the post-mortem →

Outcomes

Up
27¢
Down
99¢

How they were positioned (7)

See full smart-money consensus →
net lean92% YES leanYES notional$2.9kNO notional$121traders6
BUYEVP-HalfKelly0x2277…6604Downsize$1.7kavg99¢pnl$17.04
BUYNotSAFEKelly0x3650…d17cDownsize$513avg99¢pnl$5.13
BUYPRESET10k0xb3b0…8501Downsize$410avg99¢pnl$4.10
BUYEfratYahav0x370a…cd77Upsize$186avg27¢pnl-$50.00
BUYMirkoJesusChrist0x2029…3124Downsize$122avg81¢pnl$22.62
SELLMirkoJesusChrist0x2029…3124Downsize$121avg98¢pnl-$2.42
BUYmoneymaker7480x5f02…c123Downsize$8avg98¢pnl$0.16