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US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
Outcomes
No
39¢
Yes
61¢
Yes price over time
94¢
14¢
2026-06-12CLOB mid · not financial advice2026-06-18
Tiebreaker · cohort is split
YES camp: 60% hit rate · World · 3 traders
NO camp: 51% hit rate · World · 3 traders
Based on each camp's full resolved-trade record. Not financial advice.
Tracked-trader positions (9)
See full smart-money consensus →net lean48% YES leanYES notional$8.5kNO notional$3.0ktraders4