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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET

resolvedCrypto10 tracked tradestrade on Polymarket ↗last activity 1h ago
ResolvedOutcome: Down
Post-mortem
Smart money mostly called it
4 of 6 tracked traders on Down · 2 on other outcomes
Cohort P&L on this market
-$10.58
Read the post-mortem →

Outcomes

Down
100¢
Up

How they were positioned (6)

See full smart-money consensus →
net lean65% YES leanYES notional$684NO notional$147traders5
BUYrageefffect0xbd30…d288Upsize$380avg10¢pnl-$39.01
BUY0x9571…3e97Downsize$147avg93¢pnl$10.55
SELL0x9571…3e97Downsize$147avg100¢pnl-$0.15
BUYNAP7160x4e8a…56feDownsize$61avg97¢pnl$1.83
BUY0xa689…559bDownsize$60avg79¢pnl$12.60
BUYtat123450x2ef1…3bc8Downsize$36avg90¢pnl$3.60