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Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?
ResolvedOutcome: Yes
Post-mortem
Smart money was split
1 of 4 tracked traders on Yes · 3 on other outcomes
Cohort P&L on this market
-$207.98
Outcomes
No
53¢
Yes
85¢
How they were positioned (4)
net lean55% YES leanYES notional$1.7kNO notional$488traders2